Communicating with animal spirits in the bond market for @business. If you're one of them (or even if not): ascaggs@bloomberg.net. Opinions mine, etc.

Treasuries Decline as U.S. Employment Report Signals Wage Growth

bloomberg.com — Treasuries declined as a report showed U.S. wage growth quickened in January even as the economy added fewer jobs than expected. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose after the Labor Department said the U.S. created 151,000 jobs last month, less than the 190,000 median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Bond Market Is Closer to No Fed Rate Increases Than One for 2016

bloomberg.com — The Federal Reserve won't even get close to raising interest rates this year, if bond traders are right. The bond market's balance tipped toward zero rate hikes this year after a report showed U.S. service industries grew in January at the slowest pace since April 2014.
Feb 03, 2016

Bond Market Is Closer to No #Fed Hike Than One for 2016 bloom.bg/1SsWbke via @markets @alexandrascaggs

Feb 03, 2016

Should the #Fed take a 2016 rate hike off the table? That's what the bond market's betting bloom.bg/1SsWbke #interestrates #bonds

Feb 03, 2016

Bond market is closer to no Fed rate increases than one for 2016 bloom.bg/1SsWbke via @markets

Show 4 more tweets from Paul Cox, Harry R. Weber and others...

Treasury 10-Year Yields Drop to Lowest Since April as Oil Falls

bloomberg.com — Treasuries gained, with 10-year note yields tumbling to the lowest in almost 10 months, as stocks and oil resumed declines that have dimmed the outlook for global economic growth. The benchmark U.S. security's yield touched its lowest level since April 21 as slides in crude prices as well as U.S.
Feb 02, 2016

Treasury 10-Year Yields Drop to Lowest Since April as Oil Falls bloom.bg/1KUdTFk via @business

Feb 02, 2016

DIDN'T THE #FED JUST RAISE RATES? Treasury Yields Fall to Lowest Since April bloom.bg/1KUdTFk via @business #Bonds #Markets

Feb 02, 2016

After the Fed raises rates... "Treasury Yields Tumble to Lowest Since April as Oil Resumes Drop" bloom.bg/1QFqtws

Bets on Fed Rate Hike This Year Fade After BOJ's Surprise Move

Jan 29, 2016

"It's hard for the Fed to be the sole holdout, the one that’s hiking while everyone else is cutting below zero." bloom.bg/1P1Qza8

Jan 29, 2016

Fed Hike This Year Seen as Practically a Coin Flip on BOJ Move bloom.bg/1P1Qza8 via @markets

Jan 29, 2016

Odds of Fed rate hike this year are practically a toss-up after BOJ's surprise move bloom.bg/1P1Qza8 via @markets @alexandrascaggs

Show 4 more tweets from Pedro da Costa, Joy Doreen BIIRA and others...

Treasury Traders Becoming ‘24 Hour Party People’

derivalert.org — By Alexandra ScaggsJanuary 27, 2016, Bloomberg Business If your idea of a party is staring at a computer screen in the middle of the night in New York, JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts have a market for you.

Fisher Investments MarketMinder - 1/27/2016 News Roundup

Treasuries Fall as Fed Holds Rates, Cites Gradual Pace of Boosts

bloomberg.com — Treasuries stayed lower after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and said it expects to raise borrowing costs at a "gradual" pace while monitoring how the global economy and markets affect the U.S. Bonds recovered from their weakest levels of the day following the Fed's decision to keep its target range at 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent, as predicted by Wall Street analysts.

Treasury Traders Becoming ‘24 Hour Party People,’ JPMorgan Says

bloomberg.com — If your idea of a party is staring at a computer screen in the middle of the night in New York, JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts have a market for you. The $13.2 trillion Treasuries market is getting pushed around more by global developments, the analysts wrote in a note titled "24 hour party people redux: Global liquidity in U.S.
Jan 27, 2016

To Finance Twitter folks who stare at your smartphones every night for the Asia open: You're not alone! bloomberg.com/news/articles/… v @business

Jan 27, 2016

RT @boes_: "If your idea of a party is staring at a computer screen in the middle of the night in New York..." bloom.bg/1JF5J8B (on UST futures)

Jan 27, 2016

Treasury Traders Become 24 Hr Party People staring at screens (Steve Coogan doesn't star in this one): bloom.bg/1JF5J8B via @business

Jan 27, 2016

Treasury Traders Becoming ‘24 Hour Party People,’ JPMorgan Says bloom.bg/1JF5J8B via @business @alexandrascaggs

Jan 27, 2016

If your idea of a party is staring at a computer in the middle of the night, the Treasury market has a job for you bloom.bg/1JF5J8B

Show 5 more tweets from Paul Cox, Greg Quinn and others...

Bond Bulls Bank on Fed Mention of Market Chaos as Drag on Growth

bloomberg.com — Bond bulls are looking to the Federal Reserve's decision Wednesday for vindication as Treasuries head for their best month in a year. The Fed is set to release its first policy statement since it raised interest rates from near zero last month.
Jan 27, 2016

Bond Bulls Bank on Fed Mention of Market Chaos as Drag on Growth bloom.bg/1lPLmds via @business

Jan 27, 2016

Bond investors are already trading like the Fed is super dovish, and its statement isn't even out yet. bloom.bg/1lPLmds v @business

Jan 27, 2016

RT @alexandrascaggs: Bond investors are already trading like the Fed is super dovish, and its statement isn't even out yet. bloom.bg/1lPLmds v @business

Show 8 more tweets from Mark Tannenbaum, Alexandra Scaggs and others...

Cracks Exposed in U.S. Bond Market as Liquidity Woes Warp Prices

bloomberg.com — In today's bond market, there's plenty of hand-wringing about liquidity, or rather, the lack of it. But it's become so pervasive that even in the market for U.S. Treasuries -- the deepest and most liquid on the planet -- buyers are gravitating to the newest, easiest-to-sell debt.
Jan 25, 2016

Cracks Exposed in U.S. Bond Market as Liquidity Woes Warp Prices bloom.bg/1K63ScS - @mccormickliz reports Basel rules may have effect

Jan 25, 2016

Cracks Exposed in U.S. Bond Market as Liquidity Woes Warp Prices bloom.bg/1K63ScS

More Articles →
Feb 05, 2016

@MatthewPhillips Fair point! I'm a child of the recession, so any wage growth looks strongish to me.

Feb 05, 2016

@MatthewPhillips I know! This is an overstatement, but strongish 2015 wage growth with 4.9% unemployment rate doesn't look too bad.

Feb 04, 2016

@LJKawa (everyone can tell I literally lost a jargon contest right? like a dance-off, but for poking fun at corporatespeak)

Feb 04, 2016

#TFW you lose a corporate jargon contest (name hidden to protect the guilty) pic.twitter.com/egxGlITqr5


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