Communicating with animal spirits in the bond market for @business. If you're one of them (or even if not): ascaggs@bloomberg.net. Opinions mine, etc.

Goldman Names Shakhnovich to Merge Automated Trading Operations

bloomberg.com — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. named Konstantin Shakhnovich to lead an effort to combine automated trading operations from different units and desks as the firm looks to improve coordination and efficiency. As global head of fixed-income electronic trading and execution strategists, Shakhnovich will oversee the initiative dubbed Systematic Market Making, reporting to Chief Information Officer Marty Chavez and the fixed-income division's business heads, according to a memo obtained by Bloomberg.

The probability of negative U.S. rates is on the rise

lifehealthpro.com — (Bloomberg) -- Global central banks have opened the door to negative U.S. interest rates , in Wall Street's view. After the Bank of Japan cut some rates below zero last month to spur growth and inflation, strategists are weighing the Federal Reserve's options in case of a crisis.

Treasuries Gain as Inflation Outlook Falls to 7-Year Low

financial-planning.com — (Bloomberg) -- Treasuries climbed, pushing 10-year yields to the lowest in a year, as oil prices and stocks slid. With crude slumping, a gauge of the bond market's inflation outlook fell to its lowest in seven years. Treasuries are benefiting from speculation a weaker global and domestic economy will delay an interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve.

Negative Rates Seen as Option for Fed as BOJ, ECB Pave the Way

bloomberg.com — Global central banks have opened the door to negative U.S. interest rates, in Wall Street's view. After the Bank of Japan cut some rates below zero last month to spur growth and inflation, strategists are weighing the Federal Reserve's options in case of a crisis.
Feb 08, 2016

Negative Rates Seen as Option for Fed as BOJ, ECB Pave the Way bloom.bg/1nWRXoh via @business

Feb 08, 2016

While some big bond investors gird for higher yields, others seem increasingly prepared for negative rates in the US bloom.bg/1nWRXoh

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Treasuries Decline as U.S. Employment Report Signals Wage Growth

bloomberg.com — Treasuries declined as a report showed U.S. wage growth quickened in January even as the economy added fewer jobs than expected. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose after the Labor Department said the U.S. created 151,000 jobs last month, less than the 190,000 median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Bond Market Is Closer to No Fed Rate Increases Than One for 2016

bloomberg.com — The Federal Reserve won't even get close to raising interest rates this year, if bond traders are right. The bond market's balance tipped toward zero rate hikes this year after a report showed U.S. service industries grew in January at the slowest pace since April 2014.
Feb 03, 2016

Bond Market Is Closer to No #Fed Hike Than One for 2016 bloom.bg/1SsWbke via @markets @alexandrascaggs

Feb 03, 2016

Should the #Fed take a 2016 rate hike off the table? That's what the bond market's betting bloom.bg/1SsWbke #interestrates #bonds

Feb 03, 2016

Bond market is closer to no Fed rate increases than one for 2016 bloom.bg/1SsWbke via @markets

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Treasury 10-Year Yields Drop to Lowest Since April as Oil Falls

bloomberg.com — Treasuries gained, with 10-year note yields tumbling to the lowest in almost 10 months, as stocks and oil resumed declines that have dimmed the outlook for global economic growth. The benchmark U.S. security's yield touched its lowest level since April 21 as slides in crude prices as well as U.S.
Feb 02, 2016

Treasury 10-Year Yields Drop to Lowest Since April as Oil Falls bloom.bg/1KUdTFk via @business

Feb 02, 2016

DIDN'T THE #FED JUST RAISE RATES? Treasury Yields Fall to Lowest Since April bloom.bg/1KUdTFk via @business #Bonds #Markets

Feb 02, 2016

After the Fed raises rates... "Treasury Yields Tumble to Lowest Since April as Oil Resumes Drop" bloom.bg/1QFqtws

Bets on Fed Rate Hike This Year Fade After BOJ's Surprise Move

Jan 29, 2016

"It's hard for the Fed to be the sole holdout, the one that’s hiking while everyone else is cutting below zero." bloom.bg/1P1Qza8

Jan 29, 2016

Fed Hike This Year Seen as Practically a Coin Flip on BOJ Move bloom.bg/1P1Qza8 via @markets

Jan 29, 2016

Odds of Fed rate hike this year are practically a toss-up after BOJ's surprise move bloom.bg/1P1Qza8 via @markets @alexandrascaggs

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Treasury Traders Becoming ‘24 Hour Party People’

derivalert.org — By Alexandra ScaggsJanuary 27, 2016, Bloomberg Business If your idea of a party is staring at a computer screen in the middle of the night in New York, JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts have a market for you.

Fisher Investments MarketMinder - 1/27/2016 News Roundup

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Feb 09, 2016

RT @groditi: BREAKING: Investors buy securities with embedded option to boost yielda, become very upset at possibility option might actually be exercised

Feb 09, 2016

RBC strategists just put out a bank research consumer's handbook about all that negative rates talk circulating: pic.twitter.com/YVS9Frn2f5

Feb 09, 2016

"We're the true flannel people, we don't have to dress in the stylish flannel" - real NH voter dissing Vermont's "New York values" on @NPR 🤔

Feb 08, 2016

Remember last year when the 10-year was rallying bc everyone was freaked out about Europe? Welllllll pic.twitter.com/Buxr7lxHsT

Feb 08, 2016

@JoeWilesInFla Meant weird-funny, not ha-ha-funny! (Ex: Funny that the 10-yr yield is below 1.8% even with 4.9% unemployment. What gives?)

Feb 08, 2016

ICYMI: Negative rates might be in the Fed's toolbox now, after the BOJ and ECB cut below zero. bloomberg.com/news/articles/… v @business

Feb 05, 2016

@MatthewPhillips Fair point! I'm a child of the recession, so any wage growth looks strongish to me.


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