Communicating with animal spirits in the bond market for @business. If you're one of them (or even if not): Opinions mine, etc.

Greece Standoff Gives Treasury ETF a Break From Record Outflows — Drama in Greece helped halt an outflow of cash from the biggest U.S. government bond exchange-traded fund last month. When negotiations between Greece and its creditors got bumpy last week, investors marching into safe assets such as Treasuries gave the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF its longest string of daily inflows in more than a year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Caught in Bond Liquidity Trap? Treasuries May Be First to Suffer — When you can't sell what you want, then be prepared to sell what you can. And for a growing number of fund managers concerned about a lack of bond-market liquidity, that means U.S. Treasuries.

Who Wins, Who Loses When Fed Raises Rates — The longest drumroll in the 102-year history of the Federal Reserve precedes its next interest-rate increase. That doesn't mean some of its effects won't be surprising. "This is a major inflection point," said Erik Davidson, chief investment officer for Wells Fargo & Co.'s private bank. "The end of free money is in sight."

Treasury Bond Traders Betting on Stability After Volatile Ride — Traders are beginning to speculate that Treasuries have found some stability after the recent global selloff in fixed-income securities. After yields on 10-year notes surged 55 basis points in the past two months, bond investors stepped in to pick up Treasuries. U.S.

Treasury Yields Drop From Eight-Month Highs After Retail Sales — Treasury 10-year note yields declined from an eight-month high after a report on retail sales failed to provide traders with enough conviction to send prices lower. Yields have climbed since the release of the May employment report prompted traders to push forward expectations for when the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates for the first time since 2006.

S&P Affirms U.S. AA+ Credit Rating, Maintains Stable Outlook — The U.S.'s AA+ credit rating was affirmed by Standard & Poor's, which cited the resilience of the economy and the status of the dollar. The U.S.'s strengths include a "diversified and resilient" economy, and its role as the issuer of the world's reserve currency, wrote analysts Lisa Schineller and John Chambers.

Treasury ETF Exit Is Quickest on Record, Outpacing Taper Tantrum — Investors fled the biggest government bond exchange-traded fund at the fastest pace ever during the recent sovereign-debt selloff. The $4.3 billion iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF saw investors withdraw $1.7 billion of cash in the six weeks ended June 5.

Taper Tantrum Looms Larger While Losses Pile Up: Reality Check — The latest selloff in bonds still looks mild next to the market tumult from 2013. Even before Friday's stronger-than-forecast U.S. jobs report sent prices tumbling again, the rout in fixed income since April 17 had wiped out about $800 billion in market value worldwide.

Wall Street Sounds Bond Warning as Holdings Shift Sparks Concern — More Wall Street executives are sounding alarms about the bond market. The latest to warn were Gary Cohn, president of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and Anshu Jain, co-chief executive officer of Deutsche Bank AG. The concern is bond investors looking to buy, or especially to sell, will face wide prices swings and higher costs to get a transaction done.

Dollar Weakness Undermines Treasuries as Crowded Trade Goes Awry — Add dollar weakness to the list of forces weighing on U.S. bonds. Overseas investors poured cash into Treasuries earlier this year, lured by analyst forecasts for a dollar rally and yields above those in Europe and Japan.
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Jul 02, 2015

My former colleague @mikejcasey wrote one heck of a farewell letter. I'm sure he will be missed.…

Jul 01, 2015

@maxabelson guessing someone told him that the world was *over*saturated with that stupid song and he was like "YES, PROUST, OF COURSE"

Jul 01, 2015

The standoff in Greece gave $TLT a break from record outflows.… v @business

Jun 29, 2015

Treasury market could be a "victim of its own liquidity" if investors flee bonds.… v @business - w/ correct link

Jun 27, 2015

PSA: The "Shipped to Timbuktu" episode of @replyall is on @ThisAmerLife. It is just the best thing and I've listened 3 times now.

Jun 26, 2015

RT @kimseverson: This text exchange from @dthomasg about what marriage equality really looks like won the internet today.

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