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Chief Economics Writer, FiveThirtyEight
As seen in:  Yahoo, Wall Street Journal

Chief economics writer for @fivethirtyeight. Formerly with the Wall Street Journal. Links/RTs are not endorsements.

Inequality, Unemployment Benefits And Pollution

fivethirtyeight.com — Every Monday, the National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit organization made up of some of North America's most respected economists, releases its latest batch of working papers. The papers aren't peer-reviewed, so their conclusions are preliminary (and occasionally flat-out wrong).

The European Central Bank Just Made Your Gas Cheaper

fivethirtyeight.com — If it costs you less the next time you fill up your car's gas tank, you may want to thank Mario Draghi and Janet Yellen. Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, announced plans Thursday to buy more than $1 trillion in bonds in an effort to revive Europe's struggling economy.

A Cheat Sheet For Obama’s 2015 State Of The Union Speech

fivethirtyeight.com — State of the Union addresses, by their nature, combine lofty rhetoric, bold claims and policy proposals that stand little chance of becoming law. But underlying all the hyperbole are, or at least should be, facts.

Few New Parents Get Paid Time Off

fivethirtyeight.com — The Obama administration on Wednesday evening announced new proposals to give more Americans access to paid family leave. Right now, the vast majority of workers don't get paid if they take time off after the birth or adoption of a child. A significant minority don't get any paid sick days either.

There Are More Jobs For Fewer Workers, So Why Aren’t Wages Rising?

fivethirtyeight.com — On Friday, shortly after the government released its latest in a series of strong monthly job reports, I asked Labor Secretary Tom Perez about the state of the job market. After touting the recent gains - 3 million new jobs in 2014, the fastest decline in the unemployment rate in a generation - Perez said the economy still isn't back to full health.

Yes, Some Companies Are Cutting Hours In Response To ‘Obamacare’

fivethirtyeight.com — On Friday, I posted this chart, showing that nearly all the job growth since the recession ended has been in full-time jobs. Part-time employment is pretty much flat. I wasn't trying to make a political point, but many readers saw one anyway.

2014 Was The Best Year For Jobs Since 1999

fivethirtyeight.com — The jobs keep coming. The raises still aren't. The U.S. economy added 252,000 jobs in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday. That's the 11th month in a row that job growth topped 200,000, the first time that has happened since the mid-1990s.

Economists Are Finally Reconnecting With The Real World

fivethirtyeight.com — While you were nursing your post-New Year's hangover this weekend, thousands of economists gathered in Boston for the annual meeting of the American Economic Association. The three-day conference was packed with panels and presentations on everything from the causes of income inequality in the United States to agricultural productivity in India.

2015 Will Be The True Test Of The Economic Recovery

fivethirtyeight.com — Every January since the recession ended in 2009, economists have predicted that this was the year the recovery would take off. In 2014, they were finally right. The year didn't get off to a good start. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic output, shrank in the first three months of the year, something that's rare outside of recessions.

How The Economist Got Its List Of Top Economists Wrong

fivethirtyeight.com — The Economist just published a list of the world's 25 most influential economists. Twitter - or at least the insular corner of Twitter where I spend an unacceptably large portion of my day - quickly noticed two things. First, everyone on the list was a man.
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Jan 30, 2015

RT @MadiganWSJ: Today's GDP report shows NO INFLATION in 4Q over 3Q. Zip. Nada, even as growth slows to 2.6% on.wsj.com/1Eu3JeT via @WSJ

Jan 29, 2015

Drinking at Lone Star with @WaltHickey is basically a list of media ppl who should be here with us. @JHWeissmann @PamEngel12 @TheStalwart

Jan 29, 2015

Why are Super Bowl ticket prices suddenly rising? It's a class short-squeeze, explains @ollie: 53eig.ht/1tz7Oe1 pic.twitter.com/XewFnGWsm9

Jan 29, 2015

RT @NeilShahWSJ: In any 2-year period, over 40% of U.S. households see a gain or drop in income of over 25%. on.wsj.com/1ERMTnH pic.twitter.com/kqUFKFYDcp

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