Ben Casselman on Muck Rack

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Chief Economics Writer, FiveThirtyEight
As seen in:  Yahoo, Wall Street Journal

Chief economics writer for @fivethirtyeight. Formerly with the Wall Street Journal. Links/RTs are not endorsements.

The Census Still Doesn’t Know How Many Same-Sex Couples There Are

fivethirtyeight.com — At FiveThirtyEight, we use census data all the time to track demographic and social trends, from the aging of the U.S. population to the decline in marriage and shifts in immigration patterns . But the census not only reveals societal changes, it responds to them.

It’s Incredibly Rare For A Grand Jury To Do What Ferguson’s Just Did

fivethirtyeight.com — A St. Louis County grand jury on Monday decided not to indict Ferguson, Missouri, police Officer Darren Wilson in the August killing of teenager Michael Brown. The decision wasn't a surprise - leaks from the grand jury had led most observers to conclude an indictment was unlikely - but it was unusual.

The U.S. Census Is Trying To Get A More Accurate Count Of Arab Americans

fivethirtyeight.com — At FiveThirtyEight, we use census data all the time to track demographic and social trends, from the aging of the U.S. population to the decline in marriage and shifting immigration patterns . But the census not only reveals societal changes, it responds to them.

Undocumented Immigrants Aren’t Who You Think They Are

fivethirtyeight.com — In a prime-time address on Thursday, President Obama laid out his plan to grant work permits to millions of unauthorized immigrants, as part of a broader overhaul of immigration enforcement. Obama says he has the legal authority to carry out the policy without congressional approval, although Republicans are already making plans to fight the changes.

Explaining The Slow Death Of American Entrepreneurship

fivethirtyeight.com — Americans are starting fewer companies. New research released Thursday provides some of the first hints about why. I've written several times about the long decline in U.S. entrepreneurship. It's a counter-intuitive claim given the nearly constant buzz about "disruption" in Silicon Valley, but the data is clear: Multiple sources show the startup rate has been falling for decades.

What The Surprise Japanese Recession Says About Economic Forecasting

fivethirtyeight.com — Japan's economy has fallen into a recession. What's especially scary about that is that virtually no one expected it. Japanese gross domestic product shrank at a 1.6 percent annual rate in the third quarter of the year, according to preliminary figures released Monday. That follows a 7.3 percent contraction in the second quarter.

Hurrah For Quitters

fivethirtyeight.com — More Americans are quitting their jobs. That's a good sign for the economy. Nearly 2.8 million Americans quit their jobs voluntarily in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Thursday. That's 10 percent more than in August and the most since April 2008.

Risk-Averse Culture Infects U.S. Workers, Entrepreneurs

online.wsj.com — Americans have long taken pride in their willingness to bet it all on a dream. But that risk-taking spirit appears to be fading. Three long-running trends suggest the U.S. economy has turned soft on risk: Companies add jobs more slowly, even in good times. Investors put less money into new ventures.

Recent Veterans Still Struggle To Find Work

fivethirtyeight.com — The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are mostly over. But many recent veterans now face a new challenge: getting a civilian job. The unemployment rate for veterans - in this case, defined as anyone who served on active duty in the armed forces - was 4.5 percent in October, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Friday.

Parenting, Pollution And Media Bias

fivethirtyeight.com — Every Monday, the National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit organization made up of some of North America's most respected economists, releases its latest batch of working papers. The papers aren't peer-reviewed, so their conclusions are preliminary (and occasionally flat-out wrong).
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Nov 25, 2014

RT @paras360: @bencasselman rarely? i would hardly consider 33% "rare." less likely - sure. but the narrative some in the media are trying to paint is …

Nov 25, 2014

~2/3 of same-sex married couples in 2010 census were actually opposite-sex. Census is trying to do better in 2020. 53eig.ht/1ybvOmV

Nov 25, 2014

The Census doesn't know how many same-sex couples there are (but it's trying to find out): 53eig.ht/1ybvOmV

Nov 24, 2014

MSNBC reporting no-fly zone in #Ferguson. Similar move in Aug. was aimed at limiting media coverage, per @AP. bigstory.ap.org/article/674886…

Nov 24, 2014

@Mike_Norwood Does it justify violence? Of course not. Was it a good strategy to minimize trouble? That seems like a fair question.

Nov 24, 2014

RT @SRLoranc: @bencasselman They wanted to get kids home from school and to clear rush hour traffic. Take or leave that explanation.

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