Ben Casselman

Chief Economics Writer, FiveThirtyEight


Chief economics writer for @fivethirtyeight. Formerly with the Wall Street Journal. Links/RTs are not endorsements.

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Big story on long-term unemployment landing tomorrow morning on @fivethirtyeight. Incredibly important (and depressing) subject.
@M_C_Klein Yes, absolutely. And my finding (or non-finding) is consistent with Rothstein et al's work with state-level data.
@M_C_Klein To be clear, this is a v. prelim analysis. Noisy data, no attempt to control for, well, anything. But no sign of a bump so far.
RT @realclearpolicy: Losing unemployment benefits hasn’t pushed people to get back to work, @bencasselman writes in @FiveThirtyEight: http:…
Readers noted it’s hard to detect 3-mo change amid 10 yrs of data. Fair point. We've updated.
Don't know details, but as general rule, seems non-ideal to change survey design exactly when it's most relevant.…
@erinwhite I'm not even close to dumb enough to comment. Especially w/o knowing whether you've had lunch. (Oops, guess I am that dumb.)
@salimfurth I was trying to show the longer-term trend, but if you're interested, here's one year of unsmoothed data.
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