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Chief Economics Writer, FiveThirtyEight
As seen in:  Yahoo, Wall Street Journal

Chief economics writer for @fivethirtyeight. Formerly with the Wall Street Journal. Links/RTs are not endorsements.

The Conventional Wisdom On Oil Is Always Wrong

fivethirtyeight.com — In 2008, I moved to Dallas to cover the oil industry for The Wall Street Journal. Like any reporter on a new beat, I spent months talking to as many experts as I could. They didn't agree on much. Would oil prices - then over $100 a barrel for the first time - keep rising?

The Wealth Gap Between Whites And Minorities Is Growing

fivethirtyeight.com — The economy is improving, but the wealth gap between white and minority families is only growing wider. In 2013, the net worth of the typical white family was nearly 13 times that of the typical black family, and 10 times that of the typical Latino one.

November’s Jobs Report Crushed It

fivethirtyeight.com — Last month, I wrote that it was time to retire clichés about the "slow but steady" recovery in the job market. The recovery had found its footing; there was no longer anything "slow" about it. But I had one caveat: Job growth was strong, but employers weren't raising pay.

Minor Crimes Get Unusually High Attention In Eric Garner’s Neighborhood

fivethirtyeight.com — On Tuesday night, thousands of New Yorkers took to the streets to protest a Staten Island grand jury's decision not to indict police officer Daniel Pantaleo in the killing of Eric Garner. One often-expressed complaint among protesters was that Garner died while being arrested for the fairly minor crime of selling loose cigarettes - hardly a capital offense.

Hurricane Katrina, Peer Pressure and Energy Conservation

fivethirtyeight.com — Every Monday, the National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit organization made up of some of North America's most respected economists, releases its latest batch of working papers. The papers aren't peer-reviewed, so their conclusions are preliminary (and occasionally flat-out wrong).

Toward 2020 | FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com — FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver's newly launched website at ESPN, uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about politics, science, economics, lifestyle, and sports.

The Census Is Still Trying To Find The Best Way To Track Race In America

fivethirtyeight.com — At FiveThirtyEight, we use census data all the time to track demographic and social trends, from the aging of the U.S. population to the decline in marriage and shifts in immigration patterns . But the census not only reveals societal changes, it responds to them.

The Census Still Doesn’t Know How Many Same-Sex Couples There Are

fivethirtyeight.com — At FiveThirtyEight, we use census data all the time to track demographic and social trends, from the aging of the U.S. population to the decline in marriage and shifts in immigration patterns . But the census not only reveals societal changes, it responds to them.

It’s Incredibly Rare For A Grand Jury To Do What Ferguson’s Just Did

fivethirtyeight.com — A St. Louis County grand jury on Monday decided not to indict Ferguson, Missouri, police officer Darren Wilson in the August killing of teenager Michael Brown. The decision wasn't a surprise - leaks from the grand jury had led most observers to conclude an indictment was unlikely - but it was unusual.

The U.S. Census Is Trying To Get A More Accurate Count Of Arab Americans

fivethirtyeight.com — At FiveThirtyEight, we use census data all the time to track demographic and social trends, from the aging of the U.S. population to the decline in marriage and shifting immigration patterns . But the census not only reveals societal changes, it responds to them.
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Dec 19, 2014

@davidconnell @urbaninstitute Censorship! No worries at all. It IS the Friday before Christmas, after all.

Dec 19, 2014

@jschwabish Thanks for the critique, Jon. I left a fairly lengthy response in the comments.

Dec 19, 2014

Cards (e- and otherwise) from PR firms are one of the odder holiday traditions.

Dec 19, 2014

Oil prices are up today, but don't let anyone tell you they know where they'll head next. 53eig.ht/1C2wnCP

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