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Chief Economics Writer, FiveThirtyEight
As seen in:  Yahoo, Wall Street Journal

Chief economics writer for @fivethirtyeight. Formerly with the Wall Street Journal. Links/RTs are not endorsements.

Election Day Could Bring Raises To 680,000 Low-Wage Workers — Tuesday's election could give nearly 700,000 Americans a raise. Voters in five states - Alaska, Arkansas, Illinois, Nebraska and South Dakota - will decide on ballot initiatives proposing an increase in the states' minimum wages. Four of the initiatives would be binding; in Illinois, the ballot measure is only advisory.

In The Papers: Inequality, Youth Unemployment And Retirement Incentives — Every Monday, the National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit organization made up of some of North America's most respected economists, releases its latest batch of working papers. The papers aren't peer reviewed, so their conclusions are preliminary (and occasionally flat-out wrong).

Are Corporate Jets More Dangerous Than Commercial Aircraft? — Christophe de Margerie, chief executive of French oil giant Total, was killed Monday night when his private jet hit a snowplow while taking off in Moscow. News reports say the plow driver was drunk. Three crew members also died in the accident.

U.S. High School Dropout Rates Fall, Especially Among Latinos — Five years ago, educators at Elkhart Community Schools realized they had a problem. Their dropout rate was too high. More than one third of the northern Indiana school district's students weren't graduating from high school on schedule. Among Hispanics, who make up about a third of the student body, the figures were even worse.

When To Pay Attention To The Stock Market (And When To Ignore It) — After a long period of quiet, the markets are once again taking investors on a wild ride. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 173 points on Wednesday, the fourth big drop in five trading days. The Dow was down a more modest 25 points on Thursday, but only after another day of gyrations, both up and down.

The Law Of Supply And Demand Suddenly Applies To Oil, Too — Pick up a copy of Wednesday's Wall Street Journal, and you'll see a pretty remarkable headline stripped across the top of page one: "Global Oil Glut Sends Prices Plunging." U.S. oil prices have fallen to $82 a barrel, down from more than $100 in midsummer. Global prices have fallen even faster.

Slow Hiring Shows That The Job Market Isn’t Fully Healed — Friday's jobs report delivered some good news about the U.S. recovery. New data Tuesday provided a reminder of how far that recovery still has to go. U.S. employers posted 4.8 million job openings at the end of August, the most since the recession ended more than five years ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, known as JOLTS.

September’s Jobs Report Was Good, And August’s Got Better — Breathe a sigh of relief. The jobs recovery is still on track. U.S. employers added 248,000 jobs in September, the most since June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday. What's more, August wasn't quite as lousy as last month's initial jobs report suggested: The government now says the economy added 180,000 jobs in August and 243,000 in July, a combined 69,000 better than previously believed.

Still No Recovery For U.S. Entrepreneurship — More Americans are finding jobs. But so far, at least, they don't appear to be starting more businesses. Back in May, I wrote about what I called the "slow death of American entrepreneurship." For all the buzz about the Silicon Valley tech boom, the actual rate at which Americans start businesses has been falling for more than 30 years.

Marriage Isn’t Dead - Yet — Fewer Americans of all stripes are getting married. But beneath that overarching trend lies an important distinction: Some groups are merely delaying marriage, while others are skipping it entirely. The Pew Research Center last week released a big report on the decline in marriage in the United States.
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Oct 31, 2014

RT @ChadwickMatlin: Bruce Springsteen namedrops 34 authors in this interview about what he reads. Two are women.…

Oct 31, 2014

Wow, @ThisIsFusion keeps hiring amazing people. I really look forward to one of them explaining to me what it is.

Oct 31, 2014

@toristilwell Real lesson: We need better wage data! U.S. is really bad at this.

Oct 31, 2014

Four days to election day, but basically all anyone in the @FiveThirtyEight office can talk about is @serial.

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