I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, demographics, and polling. Pacific Northwest expat.

Sharing Polling Numbers on Twitter: Decoding a Mystery

nytimes.com — Perhaps the most bizarre electoral news since the midterms is the allegation that Republican operatives and outside groups used clandestine Twitter accounts to share polling data. The Twitter accounts, which had no followers, tweeted polling results for House races in what might have been an effort to circumvent laws that preclude coordination between parties and outside groups.

Hispanic Voters Are Important for Republicans, but Not Indispensable

nytimes.com — President Obama 's plan to defer deportation and grant work permits for up to five million undocumented migrants is having two utterly predictable results: outrage from congressional Republicans, and speculation about how the politics will play in 2016. The country's growing Hispanic population was widely credited with tipping Mr. Obama's re-election in 2012.

Why Voter ID Laws Don’t Swing Many Elections

nytimes.com — Many people have understandably blamed low turnout for the Democratic Party's misfortune on Nov. 4, but some have gone a step further. They argue that turnout was so low because of voter suppression, particularly laws requiring voters to present photo identification.

Keystone Vote Unlikely to Change Odds for Mary Landrieu

nytimes.com — It is not much exaggeration to suggest that there's one real reason that the Senate voted on whether to advance the Keystone pipeline: Senator Mary L. Landrieu. Ms. Landrieu, a Democrat from Louisiana, faces a runoff election on Dec. 6, after failing to win the 50 percent necessary to win her re-election bid outright on Nov.

Evaluating the Success of Democratic Get-Out-the-Vote Efforts

nytimes.com — The Democrats invested millions of dollars in a vaunted field operation to mobilize the young and nonwhite voters who do not usually participate in midterm elections. Yet it was not enough to save Democrats from a Republican landslide.

From The Upshot: A Look at the Next Big Election

nytimes.com — Enthusiasm for President Obama brought out younger and nonwhite voters in 2008 and 2012, but demographic changes are set to have the same effect.

Why the Voters of 2016 Are Likely to Be Younger and More Diverse

nytimes.com — A midterm election has come and gone, and now begins a new round of speculation about whether the Democrats can remobilize young and nonwhite voters in 2016. The question hinges on how much of the growing nonwhite share of the electorate is the result of President Obama's unique appeal.

The Enduring Republican Grip on the House

nytimes.com — Whatever doubts existed about the Republican grip on the House should now be gone. By picking up at least a dozen House seats in the elections last Tuesday, the Republicans cemented a nearly unassailable majority that could last for a generation, or as long as today's political divides between North and South, urban and rural, young and old, and white and nonwhite endure.

G.O.P.’s Path to Presidency, Tight but Real

nytimes.com — After five of six presidential elections in which the Republicans have lost the popular vote, this year's midterm elections point toward a plausible Republican path to winning the White House. The Democratic losses were not simply because of low turnout. Republicans often made significant gains among rural, white voters.

What Happened in Virginia? Democrats Didn’t Show Up

nytimes.com — Some weak Democratic performances in the midterm elections Tuesday are hard to explain. Virginia is not. Senator Mark Warner, the Democrat who unexpectedly finds himself ahead by just 16,000 votes in a race he was expected to dominate, received the weakest turnout of any Democratic candidate in a competitive Senate race.
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Nov 28, 2014

Wendy Davis vote > Kaepernick QB rating tonight (cc @LoganDobson )

Nov 27, 2014

RT @Adv_NFL_Stats: Kaep has 90 passing yards and 2 ints, good for exactly 0.0 adjusted yards per pass attempt.

Nov 27, 2014

RT @abbygoodnough: Gov. Matt Mead of Wyoming - a Republican - releases plan for Medicaid expansion, would need federal approval: bit.ly/1uXfsO1

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