Nate Silver on Muck Rack

Nate Silver Verified

New York
Editor-in-Chief, FiveThirtyEight

Editor-in-Chief, FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV). Sports/politics/food geek.

Sep 19, 2014

Is there's an anti-Roberts vote in #KSSEN, especially from conservatives, some of that might wind up with the Libertarian rather than Orman.

Sep 19, 2014

Small point, but Kansas polls should be including the name of Randall Batson, the Libertarian (many haven't been). 53eig.ht/1mmCzPI

Sep 19, 2014

FiveThirtyEight is about to hire a Director of Business Development. To learn more & apply, see here: bit.ly/1sEdOeT

Sep 19, 2014

A "polls only" model with a Dems at a 93% chance of winning the Senate today is [censored]. No way reasonable assumptions get you there.

Sep 19, 2014

For right now, not a shred of difference between "polls" and "polls+" Senate models. There's a difference between Wang's and everyone else's

Sep 19, 2014

Senate models: DailyKos GOP 54%, @FiveThirtyEight GOP 55%, HuffPollster GOP 56%, NYT/Upshot GOP 58%, WaPost GOP 62%, Sam Wang Dems 70% (?!?)

Sep 19, 2014

Overall, GOP has a 55% chance to win Senate control in our forecast, down from 57% before the Kansas news. 53eig.ht/1rMPY5W

Sep 19, 2014

We updated our model to reflect Kansas polls without Taylor on the ballot. Orman, the independent, up to 64% to win. 53eig.ht/1rMPY5W

Sep 19, 2014

Here's @ollie with a primer on the English football pyramid and the rise of Swansea City. 53eig.ht/1yjyT6P

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