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Editor-in-Chief, FiveThirtyEight

Editor-in-Chief, FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise ( Sports/politics/food geek.

Planes, Trains And Taxis: When To Take Public Transit From The Airport — You can't spell "New York City's LaGuardia Airport" without C-A-B. Er ... actually you can. But for many New Yorkers, a journey to LaGuardia and a taxi ride are synonymous. There's no train or subway connection to the airport, and while there's a bus, most routes require multiple connections and an hour or more's travel.

Go For It! Saints Understand Value of Aggressive Play-Calling — UPDATE: Congratulations to the Saints and the city of New Orleans! Although it was mostly about the talent on the field, this game could do a lot of good for smarter NFL strategery. Expect a lot more onside kicks next season!

NFL Week 20 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Conference Championships — This has not been an enormously surprising NFL season. The four teams remaining in the playoffs - the Seattle Seahawks, New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts - were well liked by Vegas bettors before the season began. There are a couple of compelling story lines surrounding Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos.

Expand The College Football Playoff — Ohio State's national college football championship might seem to vindicate the playoff selection committee, which chose the No. 4 Buckeyes over two teams with similar resumes, No. 5 Baylor and No. 6 TCU. But there probably weren't a lot of people in Waco or Fort Worth, Texas, celebrating the Buckeyes' Monday night win.

We’re Hiring A Managing Editor — FiveThirtyEight's managing editor, Mike Wilson, is leaving at the end of the month to become editor of The Dallas Morning News. We're thrilled for Mike, but we're looking for his replacement. This is a big job for someone with extensive experience - ideally, having run a newsroom or large news desk at a major media outlet - and an ambitious vision for data journalism.

Romney And The GOP’s Five-Ring Circus — There's been rumors for months that Mitt Romney might run for president again in 2016. On Monday afternoon, though, the Washington Post's Robert Costa, Philip Rucker and Karen Tumulty - three top-notch journalists - reported that Romney was reassembling his campaign apparatus and had told a senior Republican he "almost certainly will" run.

The Most Clutch Postseason Quarterback Of All Time Is Eli Manning — Saturday's AFC divisional playoff game featured a matchup between two quarterbacks with clutch reputations: the Baltimore Ravens' Joe Flacco, who entered the game with a 10-4 lifetime postseason record, and the New England Patriots' Tom Brady, whose first three playoff seasons all yielded Super Bowl championships.

Week 19 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Divisional Round Edition — One blind spot of the analytics movement has been its underappreciation of postseason play. I don't necessarily mean that "COUNT THE RINGZ" is a better paradigm. But there are all sorts of interesting empirical questions raised by the playoffs that analysts have sometimes ignored.

Chris Christie’s Chances Are Overrated — The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza has New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie as the second most likely Republican presidential nominee after Rand Paul. University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato lists Christie as one of the top four candidates, along with Paul, Jeb Bush and Scott Walker.

Week 17 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Special Seahawks Edition — The Seattle Seahawks began the season ranked No. 1 in FiveThirtyEight's NFL Elo ratings. After flirting with the top position for the past two weeks, they reclaimed it on Sunday after crushing the Arizona Cardinals 35-6. The previous No. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating the New York Jets 17-16.
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Jan 23, 2015

(For an even deeper dive on the problems with Cuomo's LaGuardia plan, see here:

Jan 23, 2015

Also: Cuomo's proposed route for an AirTrain to LaGuardia might be a waste of $. Won't save most commuters much time.

Jan 23, 2015

Here's an easy one: it takes 2½ hours from get from DTW to downtown Detroit on public transit.

Jan 23, 2015

We collected data for the top 40 US airports. When should you take public transit and when should you take a cab?

Jan 23, 2015

Time for this month's edition of Totally Subjective 2016 Presidential Odds, with special guest @rembert -->

Jan 22, 2015

Tired of Candy Land? Here are some actually good board games to play with your kids:

Jan 22, 2015

Same-sex couples are considerably more likely to be mixed-age couples:

Jan 22, 2015

For "Brooklyn Theme Night", Knicks to pretend they're a shitty, aging team run by a megalomaniacal billionaire.

Jan 21, 2015

Today in serendipity: internet outage mistaken for mic drop.

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