Mr. 48%: Obama at or near 48% in all our recent polling… Is that a good thing or bad thing?... The importance of FL, OH, and VA… The importance of cell phones, too… Given the JP Morgan and Facebook news, does any political candidate want to be tied to Wall Street right now?... Romney’s singular message vs. Obama’s multiple ones… Romney unveils a new TV ad… And Obama heads to Iowa.By NBC's Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Brooke Brower *** Mr. 48%: What’s striking about our new NBC/WSJ poll -- as well as our new round of NBC-Marist polls -- is the consistency of the numbers for President Obama: He’s at or near 48% every way you slice it. In our new national ... Continue reading →
WASHINGTON -- Sen. Scott Brown and his Democratic challenger are nearly tied in the race for a Massachusetts Senate seat, according to a poll released Wednesday night. This new result suggests that relentlessly negative news coverage over allegations that Warren embellished her biography have had little impact on a race that has remained deadlocked for months. The new poll, conducted by the Suffolk University Political Research Center and sponsored by Boston television station 7News, gave Brown a one percentage point edge over Warren (48 percent to 47 percent), with just 5 percent undecided. The survey of 600 likely voters in Massachusetts was conducted from May 20 to 22. The new results are a close match to two surveys conducted by other organizations in early May. ... Continue reading →
WASHINGTON -- Is the presidential race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney shaping up as a "virtual tie" in Tennessee? Is the likely Republican nominee leading the U.S. Senate race in North Dakota? Headlines making both assertions have appeared in the last week, but both depend on reading too much into poll results based on populations being sampled either too broadly or too narrowly. In Tennessee, a poll of adults sponsored by the Nashville Tennessean and conducted by Vanderbuilt University's Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions showed President Barack Obama running just a single percentage point behind former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (41 percent to 42 percent). The result for adults led the Tennessean poll story and the headline chosen matched that tally: "Obama ... Continue reading →
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Depressing that a US congressman doesn't know what makes a survey scientific. Cc @yahelc http://t.co/McwNiCDJ Continue reading →
