National economics correspondent, The Wall Street Journal

Global Growth Woes Threaten to Beset U.S. Economy

online.wsj.com — The specter of deflation in Europe and a slowdown in China and other emerging markets are threatening to hobble the U.S. economy at a time when the world could use a reliable growth engine. Storms abroad have threatened to capsize the U.S. economic expansion in each of the past four years.

Yes, Market Volatility Is a Job-Killer

blogs.wsj.com — Last week's financial market volatility could cost the U.S. around 8,000 jobs, according to a rough estimate published Tuesday by Renaissance Macro Research. Neil Dutta, the firm's head of economics, calculated the figure by relying on an analysis of global market volatility and labor markets published last month by Andrew Foerster at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City .

How Much Will Student Debt Drag on Housing?

blogs.wsj.com — Soft entry-level housing demand has fanned fears that rising student loan burdens may be crimping home purchases. But new data suggests that student debt may lead young adults to defer homeownership rather than skip out on it entirely.

Don’t Hold Your Breath for Double-Digit Increases in Housing Starts

blogs.wsj.com — Friday's report on housing starts does little to change the overall trajectory of the sector's uneven recovery. Single-family construction, after ramping up from extremely depressed levels in 2011 and 2012, appears to have recovered from last year's slowdown. Single-family starts rose 7% in the third quarter compared with one year ago.

Industrial Production Jumps 1% in September

online.wsj.com — WASHINGTON-Industrial production rebounded solidly in September, a sign that a key sector of the U.S. economy held steady ahead of recent convulsions in financial markets due to slowing global growth. Industrial production, which measures the output of U.S. manufacturers, utilities and mines, rose 1% in September, the Federal Reserve said Thursday.

iPhone Couldn’t Save September’s Disappointing Retail Numbers

blogs.wsj.com — Sales at electronics and appliance stores in September posted their largest monthly gain since April 2013, with sales rising 3.4%, the Commerce Department reported on Wednesday. That likely reflects a big boost in sales from Apple's iPhone 6. But the iPhone bump couldn't make up for big declines at other retailers.

U.S. Retail Sales Fall 0.3% in September

online.wsj.com — Spending at U.S. retailers declined in September, suggesting many Americans remain cautious heading into the final months of the year.

Mortgage Rates Fall To Lowest Level Since June 2013

blogs.wsj.com — Mortgage rates fell to a 16-month low last week, reprising a familiar turn of events in which concerns about the global economy have sent investors seeking the safety of U.S. bonds. The upshot is that American borrowers could once again benefit from global growth jitters.

U.S. Producer Prices Decline 0.1% in September

online.wsj.com — A gauge of U.S. inflation eased in September, the latest sign that price pressures remain soft across the U.S. economy.

Why Mortgage Demand Was Better Than Initially Reported Last Year

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Oct 22, 2014

"The investigation found well over half [of 150 papers] contained plagiarized passages" accounting for 25% of content newsobserver.com/2014/10/22/425…

Oct 22, 2014

The Mortgage Bankers Association revised up 10% its forecast for 2014 originations. Predicts a 15% increase next year mba.org/NewsandMedia/P…

Oct 22, 2014

@djheakin All of the loans the GSE securitize, including those in this effort, would have PMI fill the gap. It's required by their charters.

Oct 22, 2014

"Russia’s economy, hit by Western sanctions, stopped growing in September, data from the economy ministry showed." on.wsj.com/1wnGIDk

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