Writer for The Washington Post's politics blog, The Fix. philip.bump@washpost.com

Donald Trump’s polling no longer looks like a bubble set to burst

washingtonpost.com — We noted early this month that Donald Trump's lead in the polling emerged quickly and ferociously -- but that it was hardly unprecedented. In the 2012 cycle, both Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich saw similar surges into the lead, only to watch those leads recede just as rapidly a few weeks later.
Aug 28, 2015

Trump's polling lead is where the Perry and Gingrich bubbles were -- but sustained. j.mp/1F3qKCb

Aug 28, 2015

If anything, Trump’s polling lead is starting to look like … someone else from 2012. j.mp/1F3qKCb pic.twitter.com/qOx61bDoXX

Aug 28, 2015

RT @pbump: If anything, Trump’s polling lead is starting to look like … someone else from 2012. j.mp/1F3qKCb pic.twitter.com/qOx61bDoXX

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Why in the world is Jeb Bush embracing Eric Cantor?

washingtonpost.com — On Thursday, news broke that former House majority leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) would endorse Jeb Bush's presidential bid. It prompted an almost-universal response: Why? The immediate and obvious answer is that Cantor's roots still run deep in the political fundraising world in Virginia -- the state he represented in Congress for 13 years before his stunning ouster in a primary last summer.
Aug 28, 2015

So, why exactly is Jeb Bush embracing Eric Cantor? Most likely answers: $, August, un-Trump. j.mp/1EppkXR

Donald Trump’s most frequent campaign stop? His house.

washingtonpost.com — There was a layer of symbolism to Donald Trump's June 16 campaign announcement that may not have been obvious on the day of the event. As is now legendary, Donald Trump arrived at the lectern from which he would ramble his way into contention by escalator, riding down the shiny motorized stairway from the main lobby of Trump Tower into the food court below street level.
Aug 28, 2015

RT @TheFix: How Donald Trump is basically running for president from his home, in 1 map. wpo.st/O1XX0 pic.twitter.com/HsjZ0HhnIs

Aug 28, 2015

Donald Trump's campaign appearances have been largely been at or from his house. j.mp/1NYdi7D

Aug 28, 2015

Nice graphic illustrating Trump's campaign travel. The guy's a homebody! washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/w…

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The mystery hidden in Hillary Clinton’s sinking trustworthiness

washingtonpost.com — Let's stipulate that Hillary Clinton's lead over her competitors is not what it once was, no matter how much some might try to wish that away.

OK, Donald, we get it: Your hair is real

washingtonpost.com — In case you cared, Donald Trump's hair is real. The wisps you see creating a natural brim above his eyes is growing out of his head. How do we know this? Because Trump repeatedly insists on proving to everyone that it is -- on having women verify that it is legit.

Obama is right that guns kill more Americans than terrorism. So do lots of things.

washingtonpost.com — In an interview with a local television station in Philadelphia on Wednesday, President Obama drew a distinction between the effects of gun violence and terrorism. "What we know," he told ABC in an interview that will air Thursday, "is that the number of people who die from gun-related incidents around this country dwarfs any deaths that happen through terrorism."
Aug 27, 2015

Obama is right that guns kill more Americans than terrorism. So do lots of things. wpo.st/j5-X0 pic.twitter.com/oKyuYgMKof

Aug 27, 2015

Obama is correct: Far more Americans die from guns than terror. However. j.mp/1EmHBFg

Aug 27, 2015

RT @pbump: Obama is correct: Far more Americans die from guns than terror. However. j.mp/1EmHBFg

Aug 27, 2015

Obama is right that guns kill more Americans than terrorism. So do lots of other things. wpo.st/2O-X0 pic.twitter.com/YK4HnX7A15

Aug 27, 2015

Well, geez, why's everyone complaining about guns when, you know, CANCER! washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/w…

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What the stage at the second Republican debate will look like

washingtonpost.com — Another national poll from an outfit with CNN's blessing allows us to look at which candidates will get to star in the network's prime-time debate on Sept. 16. And, as expected, the picture hasn't changed much. This is slightly different than last time around, for two reasons.
Aug 27, 2015

Fiorina still well shy of making the next GOP debate. In fact, she's still behind Rick Perry. washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/w… pic.twitter.com/npetO4N3Fj

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Donald Trump’s Republican lead is only 7 points smaller than Hillary Clinton’s Democratic one

washingtonpost.com — What a world, in which the tightening Democratic race is the big news from a national 2016 poll, and the continued lead of Donald Trump among Republicans is the ho-hum, who-cares storyline. Let's dispatch with Trump quickly: In Quinnipiac's new national survey the Bouffant Bruiser continues to Godzilla his way through the Republican field.
Aug 27, 2015

Donald Trump's GOP lead is only 7 points smaller than Hillary Clinton's Democratic one. wpo.st/zJMX0 pic.twitter.com/NyR2VBNBh2

Aug 27, 2015

Trump's lead in the GOP is only 7 points smaller than Clinton's Democratic one. j.mp/1Lyd4Ut

Aug 27, 2015

Donald Trump's Republican lead is only 7 points smaller than Clinton's Democratic one. wpo.st/m1zW0 pic.twitter.com/gTJioRlQRW

Aug 27, 2015

This is not what we might have expected the primary polling to look like. j.mp/1Lyd4Ut pic.twitter.com/bMhqkVLjjf

Aug 27, 2015

RT @pbump: This is not what we might have expected the primary polling to look like. j.mp/1Lyd4Ut pic.twitter.com/bMhqkVLjjf

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Since President Obama took office, 85 of 98 state legislative bodies got more Republican

washingtonpost.com — There are two reasons commonly cited for the fact that far fewer Democrats than Republicans are running for president in 2016. One is that Hillary Clinton was (and largely still is) considered a formidable candidate that, for most politicians, isn't worth the energy and money to try and defeat.
Aug 27, 2015

The Democrats' current and future depth problem: There are 900 fewer Dems in state legislatures than in 2009. washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/w…

Aug 26, 2015

RT @TheFix: Since President Obama took office, 85 of 98 state legislative bodies got more Republican. wpo.st/XdwW0 pic.twitter.com/zcgRfmZsVp

Aug 26, 2015

Since President Obama took office, 85 of 98 state legislative bodies got more Republican wpo.st/wzuW0 pic.twitter.com/GnZbfEUfIX

Aug 26, 2015

Since 2009, there are over 900 fewer Democrats in state legislatures. j.mp/1hfWzC3

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The GOP’s emerging Carly Fiorina problem

washingtonpost.com — Carly Fiorina's campaign is mad, and with good reason. Her strong performance in the Aug. 6 undercard debate has propelled her upward in subsequent polling. Before the debate, she polled at, at most, 2 percent in the eight most recent polls.
Aug 26, 2015

@aedwardslevy @dceiver Yeah, she’d need 20 more polls like the last CNN one to move the average so she’s in 10th. washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/w…

Aug 26, 2015

If polling of the GOP field mirrors the most recent CNN one, Fiorina needs 20 more of them to make the debate stage. j.mp/1i2pKcl

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More Articles →
Aug 28, 2015

That's a Simpsons joke, but she does ask where Trump got his "guts" for the "necessary confrontation" with "radical activist" Jorge Ramos.

Aug 28, 2015

Best question Palin asked: "Mr. Trump, your campaign seems to have the momentum of a runaway freight train. Why are you so popular?"

Aug 28, 2015

It's weird, but this interview is actually sort of too small-time for Trump at this point?

Aug 28, 2015

This Palin-Trump conversation is a remarkable document. j.mp/1EodVas


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