Partner at SK Ventures. Bloomberg contributing editor. Lapsed golf course maintenance guy. Reclusive enigmatic; previously genius.

Google's Microsoft moment - Business Insider

businessinsider.com — When might Google have its Microsoft moment? That is, when will it begin its inexorable decline - as most aging tech companies do when their growth stalls, and as Microsoft did - largely unbeknownst to (and even denied by) most observers? How might we know?

Google, Microsoft, Stall Points, and Growth

blog.kedrosky.com — April 7, 2015 When might Google have its Microsoft moment? That is, when will it begin its inexorable decline - as most aging tech companies do when their growth stalls, and as Microsoft did - largely unbeknownst to (and even denied by) most... | Paul Kedrosky | Svbtle

Tech Bubbles, FOMO & Revenge Effects

blog.kedrosky.com — What are we missing in all the chatter about fear of missing out (FOMO), scarcity, and the current technology bubble among late-stage private companies? I'll posit a few things, some obvious, some less so, and a couple deranged and hypothetical: Lots of people took this 2001 bumper sticker very seriously: Knowing that most of the money is made by being early to prominent tech IPOs, they did the rational thing: They bought earlier.

The Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect

paul.kedrosky.com — By · · · Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray's case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues.

Conversation with @billjaneway, @pmarca and @danfrost

Conversation with @billjaneway and @pmarca

Proper labeling of axes is absolutely crucial.

The Hunt for the Dumbest VC

paul.kedrosky.com — I somehow missed this highly entertaining article when it came out back in 2001: Bonehead Safari - My Hunt for America's Dumbest VC.

Americans Less Aware of Top US Entrepreneurs Than of Celebrities Politicians and Athletes

kauffman.org — Americans Less Aware of Top US Entrepreneurs Than of Celebrities Politicians and Athletes Raising awareness of influential entrepreneur "role models" could inspire more individuals to pursue an entrepreneurial path, contributing to U.S. economic vitality (KANSAS CITY, Mo.), Nov. 12, 2013 - Americans know their celebrities, living or dead: a full 96 percent recognize the name Marilyn Monroe.

pkedrosky soundtracked "Feels Like We Only Go Backwards" by Tame Impala

soundtracking.com — The SoundTracking iPhone app is the best way to share the soundtrack to your life. Post the music playing around you in your daily adventures, and share that moment with your friends on Facebook and Twitter.
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