Chief International Economics Correspondent @BloombergNews in London. Previously in Washington and Paris. Likes cricket

Rokos Hires Nomura Economist Cailloux Before Hedge Fund Startup

bloomberg.com — Chris Rokos, a former top trader at Brevan Howard Asset Management, hired economist Jacques Cailloux from Nomura Holdings Plc to help start his new hedge fund. Cailloux, who took over as Nomura's chief European economist in 2012, will join later this year as head of macro research, said Alan Kilkenny, a spokesman for Rokos in London.

Greece Not Yet Lost as Europe Waits for Voters to Decide on Euro

bloomberg.com — Greece still has an escape hatch from even greater economic ruin. The trick will be navigating a way to it given the political and financial obstacles ahead.

Greek Combat Makes Compromise Riskier Than Contagion for Europe

bloomberg.com — For Europe, compromise with Greece looks increasingly costlier than contagion. As German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her fellow euro-area leaders cast Greece's July 5 referendum as a choice on whether to remain in the currency, the strategy suggests confidence the rest of the 19-country region is inoculated from any infection.

Wall Street Shortens Odds on Greece Spinning Out of Euro Area

bloomberg.com — Wall Street is shortening the odds on Greece spinning out of the euro area ahead of Sunday's snap-referendum. Mohamed El-Erian is at the high end. The former chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. sees the chance of Greece leaving the euro at 85 percent in the next few weeks.

The Future of Global Central Banking Is Already Upon Us

bloomberg.com — A brace of interest-rate cuts delivered 11,000 miles apart this month reveals how central banks are finding a modern way to keep monetary policy easy. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and Norges Bank both reduced benchmark borrowing costs within a week of each other despite signs of overheating asset markets in both nations.

ECB Has Your Back If Greece Breakdown Tips Markets Into Turmoil

bloomberg.com — This time, the European Central Bank should have what it needs to do whatever it takes. If Greece fails to secure the extension of aid needed to avert a default as soon as next week, President Mario Draghi's ECB would again prove to be the defensive front line should financial markets be thrown into turmoil.

Who Is Getting It Right? Citi Trades Places With Goldman on Fed

bloomberg.com — Wall Street economists are trading places on just when Janet Yellen will raise interest rates. Reflecting how hard it is to call the timing of the Federal Reserve's first rate increase since 2006, Citigroup Inc. revised its forecast on Thursday to show it happening in September rather than December.

Lagarde Rehearses Greece Dealmaker Role as IMF Seeks Compromise

bloomberg.com — Christine Lagarde has played multiple parts in Greece's debt saga. Now she's prepping for her defining role. At the outset more than five years ago, she was France's finance minister, exhorting Greece to play by the euro area's rules.

You’ve Been Warned: Central Bankers Turning Less Market-Friendly

bloomberg.com — Some things seem permanent. Greece is fighting for a bailout. A Bush and a Clinton are running for the White House. FIFA is plagued by scandal. But for those who track the world's central banks, change is afoot.

Brace for Inflation as Morgan Stanley Declares End of Lowflation

bloomberg.com — Goodbye lowflation. Hello reflation. Having begun the year warning a battle against excessively sluggish inflation would be the dominant economic theme for financial markets in 2015, Morgan Stanley economists led by Elga Bartsch now scent victory for central banks. "The stage is set for global reflation," said Bartsch and colleagues in a report to clients on Monday.
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Jun 24, 2015

RT @EdConwaySky: Today's emergency Tsipras meeting in Brussels might be a bit delayed. My flight from LHR, which contains Mario Draghi, is running late

Jun 24, 2015

RT @RJ_FXandRates: The World's Biggest Economies About to Feel Impact of China's Slowdown bloom.bg/1TLjsMN by @_AilingTan & @MalcolmS…

Jun 22, 2015

RT @FTI_EMEA: Delighted to welcome @Bloomberg today to meet our Strat Comms team, incl new Bureau Chief @Simonjkennedy @HharrisEMEA @MattCampbel

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