"This is why we should not predict the future," concludes journalism school dean Larry Abramson, after reading Jim Rutenberg's New York Times piece "The Republican Horse Race Is Over, and Journalism Lost" (at roughly 4,700+ shares right now). Rutenberg writes of 2016 so far "has been 'Dewey Defeats Truman' on a relentless, rolling basis." At Forbes, Miguel Helft further extrapolates, "Corollary to this NYT journalism-election column: we shouldn't take comfort in HRC will beat Trump predictions." Science Magazine's Michael Balter points out, "When even Nate Silver gets it wrong, we lose all confidence in our ability to make predictions. Relatedly, David Sirota with the International Business Times has a "Radical idea: maybe journalism shouldn't be about trying to predict the horse race, but about covering actual issues." Although not everyone was on-board with Rutenberg's thesis. "This is a bad column. We need to be separating pundits/prognosticators from reporters," argues Yahoo's Hunter Walker. But while we're on a roll here, "Should the Pulitzer judges recognize spectacular failure?" wonders Paul Richter at the LA Times.
Because we like irony and contradictions, our next stop is a 2016 prediction from David Roberts that the media will lift Trump up and tear Clinton down. "This sounds right: the media is going to turn the election into a close race because that’s what it’s built to do," reacts The Coral Project's Andrew Losowsky. And speaking of contradictions, here lie some of Trump's best. "Calling politicians flip-floppers as their thoughts evolve over decades is cheap and lazy. Trump a different animal," observes former Daily Press journalist Dave Fairbank, while Bloomberg's Tara Lachapelle notices, "only trump could brag about not bragging: 'I don’t have to brag. I don’t have to. Believe it or not.'" On flip-flopping, Trump has indeed flip flopped on taxes as well as wages as he turns his focus to the general election. "Trump on his OWN tax plan today: 'I am not necessarily a huge fan of that,'" shares MSNBC's Benjy Sarlin. We'll also take this moment to point out that Trump's new finance chair given twice as much to Democrats as to the GOP. Meanwhile, McCain was caught on tape admitting that Trump damages his reelection hopes. Politico's Scott Bland observes, "In public, GOP senators not worried about a Trump effect on their races. In private..."