Welcome to The Forecheck, The Globe and Mail's home for 2017-18 NHL predictions. Developed by Globe journalists and data scientists, The Forecheck ranks among the best models in predicting NHL games. Here's how it all works. What exactly are you predicting? All game outcomes, along with each team's chances of making the playoffs. How often are your predictions updated? How does this process actually work?
With less than half the season left, the Oilers are running out of time to salvage their year and make a second consecutive playoff appearance. Edmonton's chances of reaching the postseason have plummeted to 4.8 per cent, down from 67 per cent at the outset of the season, thanks to a recent rough patch. In other words, the Connor McDavid-led squad will need something close to a miracle to reach the playoffs. Those playoff odds weren't plucked out of thin air, either.
@CBCFletch@perreaux Hey Robson, I worked on The Forecheck so I can answer this (sort of). Our model does seem to “dislike” the Jets for some reason, though we’re not sure why – may have something to do with the rough patch they’ve had these past few years…
@dellowhockey@PREDStotheCUP Oh, I wish! Bear in mind that:
1) The first grab of source data (before we disentangled it all) was at different levels of aggregation. So game stats, season stats, lifetime stats for players, teams
2) This goes back 30y
3) It's JSON so it's just heavy generally
Muck Rack makes it simple to find people, tweets, or articles that mention any name, keyword, company, hashtag etc. We've compiled this guide to help you make the most of your search.
Selecting a term
Start searching tweets, articles from media outlets, articles mentioned in tweets, journalists'
names, titles and bios with some suggested searches:
Companies or Topics (e.g. iPhone, Microsoft)
Phrases (e.g. "cloud computing") — use quotes to keep the terms together
Twitter handles (e.g. @username) — returns those who have mentioned or replied to
Names (e.g. "David Pogue")
Hashtags (e.g. #sxsw, #london2012)
Bio details (e.g. vegan, Olympics, father)
Muck Rack's Advanced Search allows for many boolean operators.
Find results that mention multiple specified terms, use AND or
+. For example, ensure each result contains both Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg by
searching Musk AND Zuckerberg or Musk + Zuckerberg.
Use the operators OR or , to broaden your search when you'd like either of
multiple terms to appear in results. (This is the default behavior of our search when no operators
are used). For example, results will contain either cake or cookie by searching cake OR cookie or cake,cookie
Use NOT or - to subtract results from your search. For
example, searching Disney will yield results about the Walt Disney Company as well as Walt Disney
World Resort. To exclude mentions of Disney World, search for Disney -World or Disney
When using one of these operators with a phrase, enclose it in quotation marks. For example, you can
find results about smartphones excluding Apple's iPhone 4S by searching smartphone -"iPhone
Exact case matching or punctuation
If you're searching for a brand name or keyword that relies on specific punctuation marks or capitalization, you can
find results that match your exact query by adding matchcase: before the keyword you're searching for, like matchcase:E*TRADE .
Use parentheses to separate multiple
boolean phrases. For example, to find journalists talking about having fun in Disney World or
Disneyland, search for ("disney world" OR disneyland) AND fun.
An asterisk can be used to search for any variation of a root word truncated by the asterisk. For example, searching for admin* will return results for administrator, administration, administer, administered, etc.
A near operator is an AND operator where you can control the distance between the words. You can vary the distance the near operation uses by adding a forward slash and number (between 0-99) such as strawberries NEAR/10 "whipped cream", which means the strawberries must exist within 10 words of "whipped cream".