Notes on the Crises
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Notes on the Crises covers the play by play of the current pandemic-induced global depression and how policymakers should respond to it as well as assessing how they actually are responding. There will normally be multiple articles a week. There will be periodic paid guest writers and articles will be professionally edited by a part-time editor. The more subscriptions Notes on the Crises gets, the more it will be able to produce. Source
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| Scope | National |
|---|---|
| Language | English |
| Country | United States of America |
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Recent Articles
Search ArticlesThat’s Not the Warsh of It: The End(ish) of Forward Guidance and the Rise(?) of Treasury Monetary Policy
This is a free piece of Notes on the Crises. Take out a paid subscription to support our work here. Publisher Note: I’ve been off for two weeks because of a family medical emergency. Everything is fine now, but as you are likely aware, medical emergencies take up an enormous amount of time. I have a large backlog of pieces, especially OMB pieces, so we should be back to our regular schedule as of this piece. Thank you for bearing with me.
Spreading Jesus Through the OMB: The Final Levers OMB Has Over Agencies are “Management Initiatives”
This is a free piece of Notes on the Crises. All pieces in our OMB coverage will be free. Please take out a paid subscription to support this work. Or leave a tip. Joshua Lawrence is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and graduate of Sarah Lawrence College. Find himon Bluesky here. Juan Hanes is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and a Journalism student at NYU. Find himon Bluesky here. This is the final part of a 5-part series. Read Part 1, Part 2, Part 3.
The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 Was First and Foremost a Liquidity Crisis: Lessons for the Data Center Financial Crisis Debate
This is a Premium piece of Notes on the Crises. While I give Ed Zitron a chance to respond to my initial piece, I want to provide some more context about the Great Financial Crisis for readers, especially his readers (If you haven’t read my initial piece, I strongly recommend reading it before reading this one). Part of the disconnect I think his readers had with my first piece is that they are clearly not used to contextualizing big numbers macroeconomically or macrofinancially.
A Hidden Geopolitical Threat to the Global Financial System? Oddities in the U.S.-Japanese Yen Intervention
This is a Premium Piece of Notes on the Crises. If Notes on the Crises gets enough paid subscriptions or tips associated with this piece, it will be unlocked. Given that I’ve committed to making the Notes on the Crises OMB series completely free, I need to paywall more of my financial market commentary. I am way overdue on commentary on international financial and currency markets.
*Sigh* No Ed Zitron, AI bond issuance is not AI’s "Subprime Mortgage Crisis”
EDITORIAL NOTE: Given the importance of this issue, and in a desire to be fair when writing such a critical piece, I sent a draft of this article to Ed Zitron to review and give his response to. I've clarified a few points here and there in response to his comments but we mutually decided that it would be best for him to lay out the core disagreement (or misunderstanding) between us in a response piece that I would then respond to.
Christmas is Not Essential: the Levers OMB has Over Agencies under Continuing Resolutions and Government Shutdowns
This is a free piece of Notes on the Crises. All pieces in this OMB series will be free. Please take out a paid subscription to support this work. Or leave a tip. Joshua Lawrence is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and graduate of Sarah Lawrence College. Find himon Bluesky here. Juan Hanes is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and a Journalism student at NYU. Find himon Bluesky here. This is Part 4 of a 5 part series. Read Part 1, Part 2 & Part 3.
BREAKING: HUD is Planning on Hobbling Federal Financial Assistance for Housing by Burying it in Paperwork.
This is a free piece of Notes on the Crises. Please take out a paid subscription so that breaking news coverage like this can be kept free. Or leave a tip. Have non-public information about the Trump Administration Unitary Executive and Impoundment Crisis? Get into contact! Notes on the Crises has an "Investigative Journalism Source Wish List". Juan Hanes is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and a Journalism student at NYU. Find him on Bluesky here.
The Oil Market is a Conventional Wisdom Processor
Dear Editors: If you want to commission a simplified version of this piece, . One of the most frustrating things about being sick this winter and spring is that I had so many thoughts about the run up to- and beginning of- the Trump-Iran war. My biggest thoughts were focused on how the ideas that I developed about the stock market as a “conventional wisdom processor” applied- or would apply- to the behavior of the oil market given Trump’s behavior.
Notes on the Crises on Bloomberg Odd Lots: Lev Menand and Nathan Tankus on Why Fed Independence Is Now Hanging by a Thread
Thanks to Joe and Tracy for having me on and thanks to Lev Menand for joining me on Odd Lots. I think this conversation documents, in a comprehensive manner, the tensions and complexities coming out of the Supreme Court’s adoption of “Unitary Executive Minus the Fed” Theory. Thanks also to Odd Lots for letting me take the rough transcript and clean it up (with thanks to Juan Hanes for taking the first pass on short notice).
The Devil is in the Footnotes: The Fourth and Fifth Levers OMB Has Over Agencies
This is a free piece of Notes on the Crises. All pieces in this OMB series will be free. Please take out a paid subscription to support this work. Or leave a tip. Joshua Lawrence is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and graduate of Sarah Lawrence College. Find him on Bluesky here. Juan Hanes is a research fellow at Notes on the Crises and a Journalism student at NYU. Find him on Bluesky here.