ofcs.it

Mentre il dibattito pubblico si perde nel rumore di fondo delle polemiche istantanee, la settimana geopolitica appena conclusa svela una trama molto più profonda.

This may be the central question in the current crisis between Washington and Tehran. Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust America, complicate its leadership, weaken its alliances, and make every American decision more costly? The answer is quite clear: Iran is not seeking a classic military victory. It knows that is impossible. The power gap is too great. But that does not mean Iran lacks a strategy. On the contrary.

Beyond AI Readiness: Cognitive Autonomy as the Core Variable of Systemic Competitiveness Abstract This essay offers a critical reexamination of the concept of “AI readiness,” shifting the focus from technological indicators to the cognitive capacity of political and institutional systems to manage complexity.

On June 17, US President Donald J. Trump signed the “Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding” (MOU) with the Islamic Republic of Iran. According to its text, the US undertakes to develop a plan “with at least USD 300 billion for the reconstruction and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran,” and appears to be a deal to talk about a deal — one that appears potentially to provide Iran’s regime with almost every concession it asked for.

El paradigma de la seguridad nacional en México se encuentra en un punto de inflexión teórica y operativa, en virtud de que el modelo tradicional del crimen organizado, caracterizado por corporaciones transnacionales oligopólicas con mandos verticales y liderazgos unificados, muestra signos evidentes de agotamiento estructural.

Il y a des guerres que l’on gagne sur le terrain, mais dont les conséquences politiques restent beaucoup plus difficiles à maîtriser. C’est peut-être l’une des grandes leçons de la guerre récente avec l’Iran. Sur le plan militaire, les États-Unis ont montré qu’ils restaient une puissance sans équivalent. Ils peuvent frapper loin, vite, fort.

Kurds, Persians, and the National Question in Iran This article refers to the existence of a geographical region now internationally recognized as Iran. However, historically, this region has been home to several distinct nations and peoples. Despite the lack of consensus among these nations, their territories have been politically integrated over the past hundred years under the name of Iran.

The European blind spot: “Fantapolitics” of a Geopolitical System in Unstable Equilibriu Abstract “The European Blind Spot” proposes a multilevel interpretive model to analyze the systemic effects of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on Europe’s geopolitical architecture.

Somalia y la guerra interminable contra Al Shabaab: entre las victorias tácticas y el fracaso estratégico La ofensiva impulsada por Hassan Sheikh Mohamud ha permitido recuperar la iniciativa militar frente a Al Shabaab.

El paradigma de la seguridad pública y nacional en México se encuentra atrapado en un colapso simultáneo de sus capacidades operativas y sus fundamentos doctrinarios; en ese orden de ideas, la transición del ecosistema criminal tradicional hacia un modelo descentralizado y atomizado no ha pacificado el territorio, sino por el contrario, ha desatado procesos de gobernanza criminal local que canibalizan los recursos económicos regionales [Felbab-Brown, 2024].