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Screen dump from Copernicus C3S climate pulse showing the status on sea surface temperature (SST) on July 6, 2026. The curve on the left shows the global mean SST -record-high – and the right hand panel presents SST anomailes in the Pacific where the classical El Nino signature is readily seen. Source: https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu There is a new El Niño out there and it was officially declared already on June 11 by NOAA.

Unforced Variations: July 2026 1 Jul 2026 by group Leave a Comment This month’s open thread on climate topics. Impending El Niño, fossil fuel funded wedges, retirements, heat waves, and the same old, same old, from the usual suspects. Try to discuss these things calmly! Reader Interactions

This month’s open thread on climate topics. Please be respectful and substantive.

The 4th UArctic congress on the Faroe islands finished with the message that the Arctic Council is still alive. It has overcome recent setbacks with difficulties concerning two of its member states, Russia and the US. The Arctic Council represents 8 nations together with indigenous peoples and has observers from around the world, and this wide-ranging diversity of course coloured the congress.

The fantasy version of the normal updating of scenarios for a new round of CMIP simulations doing the rounds is bad faith BS. As climate folk will know, the community is currently embarking on a new round of climate model simulations to support analyses and projections for the next IPCC report (due in 2028/9). This new effort has been dubbed CMIP7, because it is the sixth iteration of the CMIP effort (IYKYK), that started in the late 1990s.

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Somewhat belated open thread for this month! (Oops). Please stick to climate related topics, and remain respectful.

Confirmation bias and a profound lack of curiosity mark the latest ABC (Anything But Carbon) contrapalooza in DC this week and a decade-old albedo error trips them up. I occasionally dip into the contrarian-sphere to see if there is anything new that might be of actual interest. I am usually disappointed, and last week’s escapade was no different.

We previously highlighted Roy Spencer’s poor practices in comparing models with observations, but we’ve now dug down a little deeper, and it’s not pretty. A few weeks ago, the email exchanges of the CWG authors were published after a court ordered them to be made public. In them, there is an interesting exchange between Steve Koonin and Roy Spencer. Koonin wanted Spencer to address the (obvious) complaint that Roy’s comparison of ‘Corn Belt temperature trends’ figure was a cherry pick.