Simplicius the Thinker

Yesterday, Yemen’s Ansar Allah succeeded in a shock capture of a large swath of territory previously held by Saudi-backed national forces. The Crown Prince MBS even begged Trump to intervene by striking the “rebels”, as reported by Axios, which Trump allegedly declined to do.

Last night Iran launched another massive attack against US assets in the region, its largest such attack since early in the year. The target was Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan, as well as US naval assets around the region.

Last night Germany’s much-maligned AfD party won a crushing and historic victory. The victory is already being downplayed by many, owing to the fact that Saxony-Anhalt is technically one of Germany’s smallest and least consequential states.

Something has been not-so-quietly brewing in the Pentagon. Called by some the “revolt of the generals”, a leak has exposed that a handful of senior US commanders have formally dissented against Hegseth while warning that US’s Middle East plans are unsustainable.

There continue to be major signs of internal turmoil in Ukraine. The latest occurred yesterday when a gunfight erupted between the two security apparatuses of the SBU and GUR, with multiple operatives being shot and wounded. The below video showcases the initiating moments, but the gunfights were said to last for hours afterwards: It all apparently began over the SBU’s detention of a “Russian legion” commander part of a GUR sub-group.

We finally have the answer as to what Zelensky’s next big exploit will be—and it is sure to escalate the conflict to its ultimate stage.

Is this why Russia is winning the war? We have long seen that much of “serious” Western analysis has been based on posts from Twitter. It started as far back as the highly classified ‘Pentagon leaks’ from a now-jailed Massachusetts National Guard airman, which listed loss figures for both Russia and Ukraine based on shoddy OSINT and laughable official Ukrainian numbers.

What follows is a special premium report on the current situation surrounding major escalations playing out in Ukraine. The nearly ~4,000-word article will be the most comprehensive coverage you will find on the developing situation, and will seek to answer the most important questions on what is happening, including the true reason behind the CIA director’s visit to Moscow.

The latest WSJ report sheds new light on the origins of Trump’s Iranian debacle, which confirms virtually everything we had already guessed: It begins by describing how Netanyahu reassured Trump Iran was at its “weakest point in decades”, while Trump’s own intel analysts via Gabbard’s DNI warned him that killing Khamenei would merely install much more hardline figures who would rush to close the Strait of Hormuz, amongst many other things which predicted the eventualities that ensued almost...

Things are afoot, as evidenced by CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s sudden surprise visit to Moscow via C-17 military cargo plane. The commentariat is aswirl with rumor as to what his visit could signify. But let us first contextualize with a reminder that this is the first visit to Russia by a CIA director since the fateful November 2021 arrival of CIA Director William Burns, which was marked by the US’s last attempt to thwart Russia from launching its invasion just over two months later.