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Storm Prediction Center May 19, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
Categorical Graphic Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MARGINAL 105,774 14,403,629 Jacksonville, FL...Virginia Beach, VA...Raleigh, NC...Norfolk, VA...Greensboro, NC... Probabilistic Graphic Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point. Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop.
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Storm Prediction Center May 19, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
Categorical Graphic Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MODERATE 72,678 5,309,919 Oklahoma City, OK...Tulsa, OK...Springfield, MO...Norman, OK...Broken Arrow, OK... ENHANCED 100,185 12,020,087 Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Kansas City, MO...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX... SLIGHT 152,306 12,979,158 Omaha, NE...Wichita, KS...St. Louis, MO...Lincoln, NE...Des Moines, IA...
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Storm Prediction Center May 19, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
Categorical Graphic Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MODERATE 73,766 5,343,067 Oklahoma City, OK...Tulsa, OK...Springfield, MO...Norman, OK...Broken Arrow, OK... ENHANCED 116,479 12,628,004 Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Kansas City, MO...Arlington, TX...Wichita, KS... SLIGHT 195,304 16,835,255 Nashville, TN...Omaha, NE...St. Louis, MO...Lincoln, NE...Des Moines, IA...
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Storm Prediction Center May 19, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MARGINAL 76,283 11,717,573 Virginia Beach, VA...Raleigh, NC...Norfolk, VA...Greensboro, NC...Chesapeake, VA... Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area 5 % 75,175 11,554,612 Virginia Beach, VA...Raleigh, NC...Norfolk, VA...Greensboro, NC...Chesapeake, VA...
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Storm Prediction Center May 19, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

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By Tennessee Valley.., Tennessee Valley, Upper Midwest
| spc.noaa.gov
May 19, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook Updated: Mon May 19 17:30:58 UTC 2025 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table Categorical Graphic Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area ENHANCED 97,816 10,507,064 Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Knoxville, TN...Huntsville, AL... SLIGHT 154,462 17,674,598 Indianapolis, IN...St. Louis, MO...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...
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Storm Prediction Center May 19, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
May 19, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Mon May 19 05:58:57 UTC 2025 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table Categorical Graphic Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MODERATE 48,379 4,141,275 Oklahoma City, OK...Tulsa, OK...Norman, OK...Broken Arrow, OK...Fort Smith, AR... ENHANCED 142,532 13,836,629 Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Kansas City, MO...Arlington, TX...Wichita, KS...
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Storm Prediction Center May 18, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
May 18, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook Updated: Sun May 18 17:32:55 UTC 2025 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table Categorical Graphic Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area ENHANCED 171,144 15,312,643 Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Oklahoma City, OK...Kansas City, MO...Tulsa, OK... SLIGHT 174,731 16,125,710 Nashville, TN...Omaha, NE...St. Louis, MO...Lincoln, NE...Des Moines, IA...
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Storm Prediction Center May 18, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

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By Mid-Mississippi Valley, tornadoes. With
| spc.noaa.gov
Categorical Graphic Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area ENHANCED 53,440 5,854,593 Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Huntsville, AL...Clarksville, TN...Murfreesboro, TN... SLIGHT 179,344 20,094,562 Indianapolis, IN...St. Louis, MO...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY... MARGINAL 151,122 24,279,229 Charlotte, NC...Atlanta, GA...Raleigh, NC...Greensboro, NC...Durham, NC...
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Storm Prediction Center May 18, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
Categorical Graphic Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MODERATE 22,590 897,876 Wichita, KS...Hutchinson, KS...Hays, KS...Derby, KS...Newton, KS... ENHANCED 117,957 3,356,152 Oklahoma City, OK...Norman, OK...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Edmond, OK... SLIGHT 204,348 17,323,285 Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Tulsa, OK... MARGINAL 256,027 16,411,798 Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Birmingham, AL...Shreveport, LA...Columbus, GA...
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Storm Prediction Center May 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

| spc.noaa.gov
May 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Sun May 18 20:05:30 UTC 2025 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table Categorical Graphic Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MODERATE 22,590 897,876 Wichita, KS...Hutchinson, KS...Hays, KS...Derby, KS...Newton, KS... ENHANCED 117,957 3,356,152 Oklahoma City, OK...Norman, OK...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Edmond, OK...
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