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Articles by Alex Joiner
IFM Australia CPI regimes
Australia does not just have an inflation rate. It has an inflation process. Our latest research, Re-thinking inflation: A regime-based framework for Australia, identifies four distinct regimes behind the CPI. The dominant one is broad domestic pass-through, the regime most closely linked to underlying inflation. The RBA can look through a narrow price shock. The Bank cannot look through inflation that spreads across the economy, becomes persistent and risks embedding itself in expectations.
Australia GDP | Alex Joiner
Australian national accounts released for the June quarter: growth risks not slowing fast enough for the RBA to reach its inflation objectives. Real GDP growth remained stable on a quarterly basis in Q2 at 0.4%qoq (after a 0.3%qoq in the March quarter). This was a touch better than market expectations and slightly better than the 0.36%qoq expected by the RBA.
Australia national accounts
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Australia CPI Q3 2024
For the RBA, the September Quarter inflation print was a Goldilocks outcome. The all-important ‘trimmed mean’ measure came in at 0.8% qoq and 3.5% yoy – as both the Bank and market expected (with revisions seeing this decelerate from $.0%yoy in Q2). Headline inflation was 0.2% qoq and, through the year, at 2.8% yoy, slightly weaker than the RBA’s implied forecast and the market’s.
Australia Q4 GDP
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The easing cycle to come risks being the same as the last
Monetary policy in Australia has been through a period of review, change and intense scrutiny. With a new year, a new statement of conduct and potentially a new direction for rates this year, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) arguably also has once-in-a-generation licence to do things a bit differently. Globally, the year is shaping up as one where central banks cease their aggressive policy tightening in favour of some cautious easing once inflation allows or their economies demand.
From backstage to spotlight
Raised in Sydney's North Shore, navigating male-dominated spaces has been second nature for Helen de Mestre her whole life, in part due to having three older brothers. Today, as a mother of three boys, she jokingly quips that the male-driven narrative of her life shows no signs of letting up. I've learned that you can't take things personally in times of change. Often, it's about structural adjustments rather than individual headcounts.
Featured Profile
It was a fascination with Australian flora and fauna that led to Cullen Gunn to pursue a career in agriculture. Three decades later, and as Kilter Rural ... Vince Scully established Life Sherpa 10 years ago to democratise financial advice. With finfluencer heavyweights in his corner, the founder and chief ... In the throes of the Global Financial Crisis, JANA general manager of investment strategy Kirsten Temple packed her bags for Australia and a different ...
Piecing the puzzle
Born and raised in Australia's capital, Aware Super head of retirement Jacki Ellis says her parents, who worked as public servants, made clear the value of working in a field that benefits the community. "Doing good for others, having a purpose in what you do for work - that's always been omnipresent for me and always felt important," she explains.
Cultivating success
If Cullen Gunn had to describe the Australian landscape in one word, it would be 'remarkable'. Gunn's strong connection to the environment started in his teens, after being introduced to sustainable farming through a family friend. Fast forward to today, and as founding director and chief executive of Kilter Rural, Gunn and his team work hard to transform yield profiles in Australian farmland, biodiversity and water assets.
The influencer
In the early 1980s, Ireland was experiencing one of the worst prolonged recessions marked by, among other upheavals, soaring inflation and sky-high unemployment. After graduating Trinity College in Dublin with an engineering degree during the depths of the depression, Vince Sully, like many of his classmates, decided to move elsewhere to seek better opportunities. There is a place for everybody on social media.
Over the hedge
Hailing from the country town of Armidale in New South Wales, Kirsten Temple dared to cut the cord, venturing away from the familiar to embark on an investment industry odyssey. Her journey led her to London, whereby after a series of temporary jobs and an unpleasant stint at a hedge fund, she landed an investment research analyst role at Aon. As an investment research analyst, Temple met with managers, formed recommendations, and presented them to consultants.
Born to innovate
Hailing from a quaint village near Cambridge in the United Kingdom, Angus Whiteley fondly recalls his rural upbringing. At the age of 13, he attended boarding school for his formative years of education. After completing his studies, he pursued a law degree at Pembroke College, University of Cambridge. However, even though he embarked on a journey of legal studies, his true passion remained elsewhere. Historically we've had a pretty low profile.
Economic Update August 2019
Summary Monetary efforts entrenched The era in which major global central banks have sought to remove post-financial crisis monetary stimulus has now officially drawn to a close. This comes with the US Federal Reserve easing its policy rate for the first time since 2008. But the Fed is only the latest in a list of global central banks highlighting downside global economic risks and weaker inflationary pressures.
Will further rate cuts solve Australia’s economy uncertainty?
Photo by In Pictures Ltd./Corbis via Getty Images. Financial markets and an increasing number of economists believe the RBA will cut Australia’s cash rate this year. An improvement in Australia’s budget position has also lead to speculation of additional or larger tax cuts in the April budget. Beyond those possible measures to support Australian economic growth, reforms to help lift productivity levels would also be helpful to the economy.
'Monetary policy: too much, for too long' | The New Daily
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) had markets moving this month, particularly the Australian dollar.
What we can expect the world's central banks to do next | The New Daily
Evidence continues to mount that the era of extraordinary central bank policy accommodation is at an end.This comes as a growing number of monetary policymakers consider following the US Federal Reserve’s (FED) lead to ‘normalise’ policy settings.However, there remains considerable disparity between the so-called hawks and doves – or perhaps more accurately, the hawkish-doves and the more cautious policymakers.Prominent amongst the former are the Fed who are already raising rates and now also...
Funding new infrastructure: Global perspective on a U.S. challenge
Aging infrastructure is stunting growth around the globe. Aware of the challenges posed by crumbling roads, airports and railways, President Donald Trump's administration has pledged to spend $1 trillion on infrastructure over the next decade. Other countries, such as the U.K. and Australia, have faced similar challenges in reinvigorating public infrastructure spending.
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