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Here, we provide the first formal quantification, with rigorously defined uncertainty, of P. falciparum infection prevalence and disease incidence across sub-Saharan Africa from the year 2000 to the benchmark year of 2015, and of the role the major control interventions have had in causing these changes. Our approach evaluates not only point estimates, but also presents a full treatment of uncertainty through a Bayesian hierarchical model.
As a journalist, you can create a free Muck Rack account to customize your profile, list your contact preferences, and upload a portfolio of your best work.
