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Articles by Barry Naisbitt
Should the MPC Have Acted Differently To Control Inflation?
The Monetary Policy Committee has come in for much criticism of late. Do you think that had they raised rates in 2021, we would not be seeing the 9% inflation rate we are now? There was a strong case for starting the process of raising interest rates in the summer of last year, about 6 months before the MPC started its very tentative rate rises.
Time for the Bank to Walk the Walk
Lockdown ended on 19 July; the furlough will end on 30 September. The economy is set to reach its pre-pandemic activity level, but the Bank of England’s extreme monetary accommodation appears to go on forever. It is past time for the Bank to act to bolster its credibility and to act to avoid un-anchoring inflation expectations. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee has put itself in an unenviable position.
National Institute Economic Review : Volume 251 - | Cambridge Core
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THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview | National Institute Economic Review | Cambridge Core
Ball, L.M., and Mazumder, S. (2019), ‘A Phillips Curve for the Euro Area’, NBER Working Paper No. w26450, November. Caldara, D., Prestipino, A., Iacoviello, M., Molligo, P. and Raffo, A. (2019), ‘The economic effects of trade policy uncertainty’, International Finance Discussion Papers Number 1256, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Carreras, O. and Kirby, S. (2016), ‘Is the global trade slowdown a risk to our forecast outlook?’, National Institute Economic Review, February, 235, pp.
The UK’s Brave New World
One reason for the UK leaving the EU was the promise of ‘taking back control’ of trade policy. The UK would give up its influence and vote on EU policies in return for the freedom to negotiate its own trade agreements with countries around the world. It is more than four decades since the UK last took the lead in trade negotiations. Back then, exports were mostly domestic manufactured goods where a pound of exports meant a pound of local profits and wages.
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