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Articles by Bob Deen
Managed Disorder
Topics Availability: Non-RAND Year: 2026 Pages: 34 Document Number: EP-71428 This publication is part of the RAND external publication series. Many RAND studies are published in peer-reviewed scholarly journals, as chapters in commercial books, or as documents published by other organizations. RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.
NATO Public Forum and Industry Defence Forum streaming live from The Hague!
The Hague will host the NATO Summit. The simultaneous programme, the NATO Public Forum, is co-organised by Clingendael. At the NATO Summit Industry Defence Forum, Clingendael experts are moderating key panels. These sessions are streamed live from the summit venue.
NATO Public Forum streaming live from The Hague!
The Hague will host the NATO Summit. The simultaneous programme, the NATO Public Forum, is co-organised by Clingendael and is streaming live from the summit venue. Organised by NATO and the Dutch government, together with Clingendael Institute, the Netherlands Atlantic Association, and HCSS, the Public Forum will feature key debates, panels, and interactive sessions.
NATO’s new Russia strategy requires a better understanding of the threat from Moscow (and how to counter it)
This article was originally published by the Atlantische Commissie. As NATO’s leaders gather in The Hague for the summit on June 24-25 to debate the Alliance’s future, one question looms large: what threat does the Russian Federation really pose to NATO, and how should the Alliance respond? Despite NATO being founded primarily to deter Soviet (and subsequently Russian) aggression, opinions on how to deal with Russia have diverged widely within the alliance for decades.
European defence: the urgency of shifting to fifth gear
In short For continued military support to Ukraine, air and missile defence is the top priority in view of the large-scale use of drones and missiles by Russia at the front line and at longer distances. To enhance self-reliance in defence, Europe’s defence-industrial priorities should continuously be based on the NATO requirements for collective defence.
Grabbing Ukraine’s minerals is a recipe for further instability
In short Trump's aim to take Ukraine's minerals in exchange for US military aid highlights the risks of resource-driven foreign influence. While Ukraine itself is using its minerals as a bargaining chip, exploiting its vulnerable position could perpetuate 'resource curse' dynamics. The EU could help facilitate local value creation and sector development beyond securing mineral supplies for export.
Clingendael participates in the Munich Security Conference ‘25
From 13-16 February the Clingendael Institute participates in the Munich Security Conference. The MSC brings together high-level policy-makers and leading think tanks to look at a wide array of issues affecting European and global security. It will now be one of the first opportunities for a high-level US delegation to discuss the foreign policy priorities of the Trump administration in Europe with an international audience. This year, Clingendael’s primary focus will be on Ukraine.
Belarus on thin ice
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko take part in a hockey game at Shayba Arena in the Black Sea resort of Sochi, Russia February 15, 2019 © Reuters Behind the veil of seeming stability, Belarus is facing a crisis that could potentially become existential.
USA | Clingendael
The Transatlantic Periscope by Bertelsmann Foundation is an interactive, multimedia tool that brings together expert commentary, high-quality media coverage and official policy documents. It focuses on the bilateral relationships between the United States, and European Union member states, and the United Kingdom. Together with other research institutes, Clingendael is a curation partner.
Central Asia emerging from the shadows
In short Since the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine, there has been an increased interest in the countries of Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan The relations between these countries have much improved, yet challenges remain, in particular related to water, energy, and food security In Central Asia, Russia is a systemic factor and China has also taken on a leadership role.
International Expert Group advises Ukraine's Minister of Foreign Affairs
Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Andrii Sybiga received a delegation of the International Expert Group on Clause 10 of the Peace Formula, led by Bob Deen, as part of a group of independent experts from India, Germany, Norway, Switzerland, Japan. The Clingendael Institute has been asked by Ukraine and a number of other countries to advise on how to achieve a comprehensive, just and lasting peace.
Clingendael expert panel at Central European Forum
Insights on securing Ukraine’s just end to the war On 9 November, Clingendael hosted a panel in Kyiv, Ukraine, as part of the two-day Central European Forum organised by the Foreign Policy Council “Ukrainian Prism.” The discussion focused on the intersection of global electoral developments, their potential impact on international support for Ukraine, and the role of process expertise in peace negotiations.
Key elections in EU candidates Georgia and Moldova
In short Moldova and Georgia face elections decisive for their democratic development and geopolitical orientation Moldova's government pursues a pro-Western course, but struggles with other promises and reforms The Georgian government, despite professing EU ambitions, appears to drift from the West, risking democratic backsliding The EU should devise clear strategies for dealing with the potential outcomes In October two of the newest EU candidate countries, Moldova and Georgia, face...
News | Clingendael
Visit by chairman of the parliament of Georgia on EU perspective
Freedom isn’t Free | A cost-benefit analysis of support for Ukraine
New joint HCSS/Clingendael publication | More than ten years after the Russian annexation of Crimea and two years after the large-scale invasion, Ukraine is still holding its own against Russia. This is not only due to the courage and efforts of the Ukrainians themselves, but also thanks to the extensive military, economic, and financial support packages from Europe and the US.
How the war might change Russia: 6 possible futures
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has an enormous impact on the current and future security of Europe. This Clingendael Spectator series analyses how Europe’s relation with Ukraine and Russia will be affected. In the third episode, Clingendael experts Niels Drost and Bob Deen explore what Russia might look like in the future. While the Russian invasion of Ukraine is truly existential for Ukraine, its outcome will also profoundly shape the future of the Russian Federation – and vice versa.
After Putin, the deluge?
Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine is by now not only existential for Ukraine. It also seems to have become existential for Vladmir Putin’s regime itself, which equates its own security and continuity with Russia’s national security. How the war ends will be an important factor that shapes the future of the Russian Federation. The inverse is also true: whether or not the Russian regime remains stable is also a key factor that determines when and how the war ends.
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