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Articles by Bryan A. Stuart
Social Insurance with Imperfect Eligibility Screening: Theory and Evidence from Pandemic UI
We study the extent of imperfect screening by identifying anomalous payments using administrative tax data and UI policies, finding $214 billion in potentially improper payments — concentrated in the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) program — with approximately half detectable ex-ante through improved federal-state data sharing. There is substantial geographic variation, and a border design shows this is partly due to policy decisions made by states.
The Welfare Impacts of Urban Renewal and Forced Relocation: Evidence from Chicago’s HOPE VI Demolitions
Focusing on Chicago, we estimate a neighborhood choice model combining administrative records tracking displaced public-housing residents with Census Bureau data capturing citywide sorting and prices. Demolitions generate large welfare losses driven by displacement costs, partially offset by housing vouchers. Demolitions also raise housing prices and reshape neighborhood composition, with gains concentrated among higher-income homeowners.
A Unified Framework for Transparent Quasi-Experimental Research
The outcome weight measures how much each observation’s outcome contributes to an estimate, and its sign defines effective treatment and control groups. We show that estimates take a Wald form, equal to the weighted outcome difference between these groups divided by an effective first stage that quantifies the identifying treatment contrast.
The Welfare Impacts of Urban Renewal and Forced Relocation: Evidence from Chicago’s HOPE VI Demolitions
The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System. This paper builds on and incorporates material from an earlier working paper, Urban Renewal and Inequality: Evidence from Chicago's Public Housing Demolitions, NBER Working Paper No. 30838, January 2023, which it supersedes.
Social Insurance with Imperfect Eligibility Screening: Theory and Evidence from Pandemic UI
For helpful comments and questions, we thank Peter Ganong, Dmitri Koustas, Pascal Noel, Dhiren Patki, Evan Soltas, and numerous seminar participants. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or the official positions of the U.S. Department of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System or the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Inequality Research Review: Gender Gaps in the Labor Market
Economists have four explanations for why mothers focus on child care while fathers focus on paid labor. First, women may earn less than men on average, so that couples simply allocate their time in a way that maximizes total income. Second, childbirth could affect a mother’s health and, thus, her ability to work. Third, women may face discrimination in the labor market, and this discrimination may encourage them to focus on child care.
Inequality and Racial Backlash: Evidence from the Reconstruction Era and the Freedmen’s Bureau
Skip to main content For helpful comments and discussions, we thank Bhash Mazumder and Patrick Testa. We also thank Katherine Cohen, Bethany Falcon, Cristine McCollum, and Vanessa Ntungwanayo for valuable research assistance. This project benefited from software developed by Joung Yeob Ha and Henry Mo. The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System.
Inequality Research Review: Intergenerational Economic Mobility
Newly available data show that there is substantial economic mobility, but also lingering inequality, with American Indian and Black children tending to achieve worse economic outcomes than children from other races who have parents at the same income level. This is a concern for anyone who cares about the economy, because intergenerational economic mobility shapes the economy’s overall productive capacity.
Urban Renewal and Inequality: Evidence from Chicago’s Public Housing Demolitions
This paper studies one of the largest spatially targeted redevelopment efforts implemented in the United States: public housing demolitions sponsored by the HOPE VI program. Focusing on Chicago, we study welfare and racial disparities in the impacts of demolitions using a structural model that features a rich set of equilibrium responses.
The Effects of Racial Segregation on Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from Historical Railroad Placement
This paper provides new evidence on the causal impacts of citywide racial segregation on intergenerational mobility. We use an instrumental variable approach that relies on plausibly exogenous variation in segregation due to the arrangement of railroad tracks in the 19th century. Our analysis finds that higher segregation reduces upward mobility for Black children from households across the income distribution and White children from low-income households.
How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay
Skip to main content This work was generously supported by the University of Michigan (UM) Department of Economics (MITREG022729) and the UCLA Department of Economics. We gratefully acknowledge the use of the services and facilities of the California Center for Population Research at UCLA (P2C HD041022), which receives funding from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD). During work on this project, Bryan A.
Urban Renewal and Inequality: Evidence from Chicago's Public Housing Demolitions
Skip to main content The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflects the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System. We thank Francisco Gallego, Jesse Gregory, and Andrii Parkhomenko for insightful discussions.
The Effects of Racial Segregation on Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from Historical Railroad Placement
Skip to main content For helpful comments and suggestions, we thank Patrick Bayer, Fernando Ferreira, Allison Shertzer, Matthew Turner, and seminar participants at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Dalhousie University, and Loyola Marymount University. The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System, or the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Racial Inequality in Unemployment Insurance Receipt and Take-Up
For helpful research assistance, we thank Bennett Adamson, Justin Burcat, Shatakshi Gupta, Vanessa Ntungwanayo, Connor Walz, and Ngodoo Zume. Support from the Institute for International Economic Policy at George Washington University is gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System, or the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Changes in the US Gender Gap in Wages in the 1960s
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The Effect of Social Connectedness on Crime: Evidence from the Great Migration
Skip Nav Destination March 01 2021
Stimulus steps the US should take to reduce regional economic damages from the COVID-19 recession
The coronavirus pandemic seems likely to trigger a severe worldwide recession of uncertain length. In addition to responding to the public health needs, policymakers are debating how they can respond with creative new economic policies, which are now urgently needed. One strategy they should consider is both traditional and yet oddly missing from the current discussion.
The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act
We gratefully acknowledge the use of the services and facilities of the Population Studies Center at the University of Michigan (funded by NICHD Center Grant R24 HD041028). During work on this project, Bryan Stuart was supported by the NICHD (T32 HD0007339) as a UM Population Studies Center Traineeas well as by a generous gift from Peter Borish to the University of Michigan Department of Economics.
Urban Population and Amenities: The Neoclassical Model of Location
For their help and input we thank David Agrawal, Rebecca Diamond, Jesse Gregory, Andrew Haughwout, Jordan Rappaport, and Will Strange; conference participants at the 2012 Urban Economics Association annual meeting, 2012 National Tax Association annual meeting, 2013 American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association annual meeting, 2013 Canadian Economics Association annual meeting, 2013 National Bureau of Economic Research Summer Institute meeting in Urban Economics, 2013 Housing Urban...
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