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Research article | Highlight paper | 03 Jun 2024 Research article | Highlight paper | | 03 Jun 2024 1 Introduction The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is a marine ice sheet of particular importance for future sea level rise (SLR), contributing ∼6.5 mm to global SLR between 1992 and 2021 (Otosaka et al., 2023). Within the WAIS, the Amundsen Sea sector has seen the largest SLR contribution over the satellite era (Shepherd et al., 2019).
We use an ice sheet model with realistic initial conditions to forecast how the Amundsen Sea sector of West Antarctica responds to recently observed rates of submarine melting. In these simulations, we isolate the effects of a positive feedback, driven by submarine melt in new ocean cavities flooded during retreat, by allowing the present climate, calving front and melting beneath existing ice shelves to persist over the 21st Century.
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