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For the past seven decades, the United States’ extended deterrence commitment to the Republic of Korea (ROK) has been critical to advancing two central aims of the alliance: (1) deterring North Korean aggression and (2) preventing nuclear proliferation by giving South Korea a credible alternative to developing its own nuclear arsenal. Today, however, a shifting geopolitical environment has introduced new areas of uncertainty into the alliance.
National security. For insiders. By insiders. The United States faces a naval shipbuilding dilemma. On the one hand, China now has the world’s largest number of battle force ships, with over 370 platforms compared to 291 for the United States. China’s fleet is expected to grow to 435 ships by the end of this decade while the U.S. fleet will not change in size.
The second U.S.-North Korea summit will have major repercussions for the future of North Korea’s denuclearization and peace on the Korean Peninsula. Unpacking the second summit is going to be a long term process but it will be seen as a major turning point—both positively and negatively—on prospects for North Korea’s denuclearization, the extent of inter-Korean détente, and the future of the U.S.-ROK alliance. Experts from around the world will assess the implications of the summit.
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