Chris Kimble
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I use the power of the chart pattern to find extremes in price to identify reversal and breakouts kimblechartingsolutions.com
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Articles by Chris Kimble
Servicing the debt eats into Britain’s already thin GDP
Britain’s debt problem is no longer a distant threat. It is here, and it is getting worse by the month. The national debt is closing in on three trillion pounds. At the end of July it stood at £2.984 trillion, or 94.1 per cent of GDP. That is the highest since the early 1960s. The interest bill alone is staggering. Debt interest is on track to hit £115 billion this year. That is more than the entire budget for policing, courts, and prisons combined.
Prolonged Hormuz crisis spells recession fears for Britain
The British economy is staring down the barrel of a potential recession, with the clock ticking on a geopolitical standoff that threatens to cripple global energy supplies. A stark new prognosis from the consultancy firm EY has laid bare the fragility of the UK’s economic resilience, warning that a prolonged conflict with Iran and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a significant economic contraction next year.
Lessons learned — British fleet lineup to change in response to new threats
The Royal Navy’s six Type 45 destroyers, the current backbone of Britain’s surface fleet, are now slated for retirement by the end of 2038, and in a move that signals a profound shift in naval doctrine, the previously mooted replacement by a next-generation Type 83 class has been scrapped.
Amazon’s car dealership play isn’t about burning the forecourt - it’s about owning the driveway
The digital showroom is finally getting its most serious test case, with Amazon preparing to bring its Autos platform to Europe and Britain lining up as the launchpad. According to industry reports, the service could go live on UK soil before the end of 2026, marking the first major expansion beyond the United States. Contrary to the usual Silicon Valley narrative of total disruption, this scheme isn’t about bulldozing the local car dealership.
The Red Wall Falls and the Populists Rise: The era of Labour dominance is already over
The results of the local elections, which concluded on May 7, 2026, were nothing short of a political apocalypse for the governing Labour Party and its leader, Keir Starmer. While the pundits predicted a rough weeks ahead, the sheer scale of the obliteration has left the party’s future hanging by a thread.
AI-dreams to replace Crypto-dreams: Another governmental fantasy hits the radio tower
The global AI scramble is heating up to a rather bloody boil, and while the Americans are busy throwing their weight around, the British are doing what they do best: hovering on the sidelines, hat in hand, hoping to nick a disgruntled tech giant from under Uncle Sam’s nose. The star of this little drama is Anthropic, the clever buggers behind the Claude model, currently sat on a valuation that would make your eyes water – roughly 380 billion dollars. Yes, billion with a ‘b’.
Gold and Oil, and Nothing Britain Is Known For: Why This Crisis Will Be Different
The abyss of another energy crisis is here, and naturally, it’s the British public left holding the bill. Britain is sleepwalking into a period of heightened energy risk, a situation so precarious it would be comical if it weren’t so utterly predictable. Gas storage levels are perilously low, and global supply lines are being squeezed like a stress ball by the escalating chaos in the Middle East.
Britain's Largest Peacetime Evacuation: 100,000 Brits Trapped as Middle East Erupts
The British government is scrambling to organise what is shaping up to be the largest peacetime evacuation in the nation’s history, with over 100,000 citizens now registered to flee the war-torn Middle East. Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper confirmed this morning that the figure has skyrocketed to 102,000, though the total number of Britons potentially trapped in the region could be as high as 300,000.
A Licence to Kill: UK Government Gives Publishers the Green Light to Pull the Plug
The government has reaffirmed its position on the acquisition of digital games, delivering a definitive response to a growing consumer movement that has captured public attention. This follows a parliamentary debate held on Monday, convened to discuss the Stop Killing Games campaign, which has galvanised significant support across Europe.
Wind and Sun Aren't Enough: UK Forges 'Atlantic Nuclear Pact' to Power AI Future and End Reliance on Putin
In a move to bolster energy security and advance nuclear power, the United Kingdom and the United States announced plans on Monday to sign an agreement aimed at accelerating the development of nuclear energy, including the establishment of new power plants. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer characterised this initiative as building a golden age of nuclear energy that would position both nations at the forefront of global innovation.
Local communities thrilled to host giant metal fans - terms and conditions apply
The government has unveiled a sweeping new strategy to revive onshore wind investment in England after a nine-year de facto blockade, outlining over 40 key measures to accelerate development. Central to the plan is unlocking 10 GW of capacity by resolving conflicts between wind turbines and military/aviation infrastructure – a longstanding bottleneck that stalled projects across strategic sites.
UK-US Trade Deal takes effect: automotive and aerospace gains amid steel uncertainty
A landmark trade agreement between the United Kingdom and the United States came into force on 30 June 2025, delivering immediate tariff reductions for British automotive and aerospace exports while leaving critical steel negotiations unresolved. The deal, finalised by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and US President Donald Trump at the G7 summit, marks a strategic win for two of Britain’s most vital industrial sectors but exposes lingering vulnerabilities in steel trade.
Sale and purchase of disposable e-cigarettes in effect: choose your alternative addictions
As of 1 June, the UK has implemented a ban on the sale and purchase of disposable e-cigarettes, marking a significant step in public health and environmental policy. The new legislation, introduced amid rising concerns over youth vaping and electronic waste, targets the elimination of single-use vapes, which have surged in popularity despite their presumed risks.
Starting on 1 January 2026, British crypto holdings will become a 'completely transparent joke'
The United Kingdom is tightening its regulatory grip on the cryptocurrency sector. From 1 January 2026, all firms operating in this space will be required to collect and submit detailed user and transaction data. These new rules, implemented by HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC), align with the international Cryptoasset Reporting Framework (CARF), designed to combat tax evasion and bring ‘greater transparency’ to crypto markets, mirroring oversight in traditional banking.
Quietly, the UK-US trade deal is taking shape
Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves asserted on Thursday that the UK and United States possess a clear pathway to negotiate a bilateral trade agreement aimed at dismantling tariff barriers established during the Trump administration. Her remarks, delivered during an interview with US broadcaster Newsmax, acknowledged historical policy divergences between the two nations but emphasised their shared objective of enhancing commercial integration through reduced import duties.
U.S. Dollar Selloff Testing Important Support... For The 3rd Time!
The U.S. Dollar has been pretty darn weak for the past several weeks. Since December, it’s fallen from around 109 to 100. Is this short-term freefall almost over? Or just beginning? Depends on what King Dollar does next. Below is a “weekly” chart of the U.S. Dollar. And, as you can see, the greenback has struggled of late. BUT, it is currently trading into important support for a 3rd time with an oversold RSI.
Liberation Day is upon us—will new tariffs spare the UK? - Talk Finance
The United Kingdom braces itself for a potentially damaging trade war with the United States, as Donald Trump appears set to implement his much-publicised threat of imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Europe.
If U.S. Equities Stumble Here, Would Be Warning To Global Investors
It’s been a heck of a run for U.S. Equities. But as we enter uncertain times, we must ask ourselves if that leadership and out-performance may be pausing. “The facts, Ma’am. Just the facts.” – Joe Friday With the market experiencing increased volatility amidst fears of a broader selloff, it’s time to look at some market leadership indicators.
US Dollar Struggles Ahead of NFP—Why EUR/USD Dips Are a Buy | Investing.com NG
This week's FX price action has been dominated by two stories: the re-rating of the euro () on the back of looser fiscal and tighter monetary policy expectations and the weaker . Today's focus will be on the US currency and whether a soft merely adds to fears of a sharper US slowdown USD: The Dollar Is Fragile This week's events have added to the appeal of FX as an asset class.
Is US Dollar Topping Pattern Pointing to Broader Concerns?
The rallied sharply into inauguration day. Since then, it’s been very weak. Could things get worse for King Dollar? Today, we share a “weekly” chart highlighting a potential topping pattern As you can see, the peaked on inauguration day at (1). But the broader pattern may be more concerning — a head and shoulders topping pattern. And recent weakness is raising concerns about a break down perhaps back to support around 100.
Is U.S. Dollar Topping Pattern Pointing To Broader Concerns?
The U.S. Dollar Index rallied sharply into inauguration day. Since then, it’s been very weak. Could things get worse for King Dollar? Today, we share a “weekly” chart and highlight a potential topping pattern… As you can see, the U.S. Dollar peaked on inauguration day at (1). But the broader pattern may be more concerning — a head and shoulders topping pattern. Leave this field empty if you're human: And recent weakness is raising concerns about a break down… perhaps back to support around 100.
Gold/US Dollar Ratio Repeating Historical Breakout Pattern?
prices continue to move swiftly higher as gold nears $3000/ounce. Feels like a big rally already. But gold may be in the early innings of a longer-term run… especially if today’s chart pattern proves to be as bullish as it looks. Is Gold/Dollar repeating the pattern of its past? Notice that the ratio traded sideways for 15 years before posting a historical break out in the early 2000’s… and rallying for years.
Gold / U.S. Dollar Ratio Repeating Historical Breakout Pattern?
Gold prices continue to move swiftly higher as gold nears $3000/ounce. Feels like a big rally already. But gold may be in the early innings of a longer-term run… especially if today’s chart pattern proves to be as bullish as it looks. Below is a long-term “monthly” chart of the ratio of Gold to the U.S. Dollar. Notice that the ratio traded sideways for 15 years before posting a historical break out in the early 2000’s… and rallying for years.
Gold / U.S. Dollar Ratio Repeating Historical Breakout Pattern?
Gold prices continue to move swiftly higher as gold nears $3000/ounce. Feels like a big rally already. But gold may be in the early innings of a longer-term run… especially if today’s chart pattern proves to be as bullish as it looks. Notice that the ratio traded sideways for 15 years before posting a historical break out in the early 2000’s… and rallying for years. Then gold repeated that 15 year sideways trading pattern before attempting to break out again more recently. History in the making?
Homebuilders ETF (XHB) Testing Important Up-Trend Support!
So goes the housing market and real estate, goes the U.S. economy. Well maybe not exactly, but the housing market plays an important role in the economy. And the past few years have been pretty darn good. BUT, will the good times continue? Today we look at a “weekly” chart of the Homebuilders ETF (XHB) and highlight why we are at an important juncture right now! Leave this field empty if you're human: First and foremost, we need to point out that the trend for homebuilders remains up! … for now.
Foreign wheat imports reach a local record this year, with most of the grain coming from Germany and Canada
This season, the United Kingdom has become increasingly reliant on foreign wheat imports, reaching unprecedented levels. By November, the UK had imported a record 1.45 million tonnes of wheat, the highest volume since electronic records began in the 1995/96 season. In November alone, imports surged to 295,000 tonnes, marking a 71% increase compared to the same month last year and doubling the five-year average for that period.
Will 30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Repeat 2007?
We have repeated several times the importance and implications of rising/falling interest rates. And today we come back to this theme while discussing long-term US treasury bond yields. Above, we share a “monthly” chart of the treasury bond yield. And, as you can see, we highlight a potential topping pattern set up by a bearish reversal this month. But this isn’t any old topping pattern; this is a potential deja vu.
Gold - US Dollar Attempting 14-Year Breakout!
Looking at the price of Gold in US Dollars is critical to understanding its trend for US investors. Today we look at a “monthly” chart of the Gold to US Dollar ratio to highlight why Gold may be breaking out. As you can see below, the ratio has broken out to new highs and is testing breakout support at (1). Note that this is 14 years in the making so it is a big deal.
Less work, same money—what could go wrong? - Talk Finance
The United Kingdom is witnessing a significant shift in its labour market as 200 companies have committed to permanently implementing a four-day work week without reducing wages. This change, affecting over 5,000 employees, is part of a broader campaign spearheaded by the 4 Day Week Foundation. Advocates of this model argue that the traditional five-day work week, established over a century ago, is outdated and incompatible with modern realities.
Historical Deja Vu: Will 30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Repeat 2007?
We have repeated several times the importance and implications of rising/falling interest rates. And today we come back to this theme while discussing long-term US treasury bond yields. Below we share a “monthly” chart of the 30-year treasury bond yield. And, as you can see, we highlight a potential topping pattern set up by a bearish reversal this month.
Power Outage: Utilities (XLU) Lag Stock Indices Over Past 27 Months
Today we provide a quick update on three key components to Dow Theory, looking at the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Dow Jones Transportation Average and the Utilities Sector ETF (XLU). More specifically, we look at performance over the past 27-months. As you can see in the chart below, Utilities (XLU) have been a major laggard. Seems like we hear we need more power nearly every day… If this is the case, then why has XLU made just 5% in 27-months – asking for a friend.
Poundland discount store chain is in crisis: 800 stores are at risk
Poundland, a stalwart of the UK’s discount retail sector, faces an unprecedented crisis that threatens its extensive network of 800 stores across the country. The financial woes of its parent company, Pepco Group, have cast a shadow over the future of this popular chain, known for providing affordable products to millions of British consumers. The gravity of the situation became apparent following the release of Poundland’s financial data for the final quarter of 2024.
Are German Government Bond Yields Changing 44-Year Trend?
Interest rates continue to dominate our recent research. And rightfully so. Big swings in interest rates have ramifications for the domestic and global economy. Whether it is falling bond yields/interest rates in China (as we ) or rising bond yields/interest rates in the U.S. (as we ), it is important for investors to follow the bond market. Today, we look at elevated yields, on a long-term “monthly” basis. As you can see, German interest rates are trading at the top of a 44-year falling channel.
Will Nasdaq 100 Equal Weight Index Continue Under-Performing?
When analyzing the stock market’s health & balance, investors have several unique indicators at their disposal. One indicator that I like to look at is equal weight indices. An equal weight index treats stocks the same regardless of market cap. Today we look at the Equal Weight Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQEW). As you can see in the chart below, QQEW’s performance has netted a total return of 10.5% in 36 months.
Are German Government Bond Yields Changing 44 Year Trend?
Interest rates continue to dominate our recent research. And rightfully so. Big swings in interest rates have ramifications for the domestic and global economy. Whether it is falling bond yields / interest rates in China (as we highlighted last week) or rising bond yields / interest rates in the U.S. (as we highlighted this week), it is important for investors to follow the bond market. Today we look at elevated German government bond yields (on a long-term “monthly” basis).
30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Targeting 6.5% or Higher?
In just 4 years, the trend (and investment theme) of low interest rates has been turned on its head. During this time, home and auto loan rates have gone from consumer-friendly to unfriendly. Quite frankly, whether you look at the or treasury bond yield, both are rising. Today we look at the latter. Above is a long-term quarterly chart of the 30-year Treasury Bond Yield. Using applied Fibonacci, we can see that the 30-year yield spent nearly two years testing the 23% Fibonacci level.
Chinese Bond Yields Collapse While US, German Yields Test Key Levels
There are a lot of moving parts across the global economy. From commodity prices to employment data to bond yields, investors pay attention. Today we look at government bond yields (i.e. interest rates)… and how they are moving in opposite directions in China compared to the US and Germany. As you can see on the “weekly”, Chinese government bond yields are falling… and falling fast of late. Economic worries continue to swirl.
Electronic Travel Authorization required to enter the UK: virtually no exclusions
Starting January 8, 2025, tourists from the United States, Canada, and several other countries will be required to obtain an Electronic Travel Authorization (ETA) to enter or transit through the United Kingdom, even if they are travelling visa-free. This new requirement applies to citizens of over 40 countries, including Australia, Japan, Israel, Mexico, Argentina, and more than thirty others. The ETA is a digital travel authorization that must be obtained in advance of travel.
Russell 2000 at Important Risk-On vs Risk-Off Crossroads! Original
The stock market has been charging higher into year end. Then came the and comments. But even a couple weeks before this, an area of the stock market was already pulling back: the small-cap . The small cap index tested its 2021 highs a couple of weeks ago, where a bearish weekly pattern occurred. Basically, the small caps are still trading within a 4-year trading range (red and green lines). And the Russell 2000 is now testing an important trend line support at (1). Bulls are hoping it holds.
Nasdaq to S&P 500 Ratio: Outperformance May Have Double Topped at Year 2000 Peak
In February 2021, the stock index began to underperform the … and this has continued for the past 45 months. Today, we highlight the long-term chart of this Nasdaq to S&P 500 ratio price performance, along with key observations and concerns. Looking at the chart below, we can see that the long-term trend for this ratio remains up. That said, the past 45 months of underperformance is concerning.
Semiconductors (SMH) Bullish Trend Nears Pivotal Crossroads
For much of the past two years, the Semiconductors sector has lead the Nasdaq and S&P 500 higher. Lead by Nvidia, the Semiconductors have been a market force displaying strong leadership for tech stocks. But the past four months or so have seen the Semiconductors sector ETF (SMH) pull back, perhaps in a consolidation pattern. Or perhaps in the start of a bigger pullback. Today we look at a “weekly” price chart of SMH to highlight what we are watching. “The facts, Ma’am.
Did Nasdaq Out-Performance Double Top At Year 2000 Peak?
In February 2021, the Nasdaq Composite stock index began to underperform the S&P 500… and this has continued for the past 45 months. Today, we highlight the long-term chart of this Nasdaq to S&P 500 ratio price performance, along with key observations and concerns. Looking at the chart below, we can see that the long-term trend for this ratio remains up. That said, the past 45 months of underperformance is concerning.
Nikkei Trading Near 1989 Stock Peak: Double Top?
If you have been investing for 35 years, you likely remember the fervor heading into the Japanese stock market index peak. And most investors of any age likely have viewed charts and read about it. Why? Because there was a bullish mania to buy Japanese stocks and its peak in 1989 turned into a massive decline that lasted years. And 35 years later, the Nikkei is just now testing its highs. Note that we first highlighted this stock market phenomena and price resistance back in mid-October.
Did Nasdaq Out-Performance Double Top At Year 2000 Peak?
In February 2021, the Nasdaq Composite stock index began to underperform the S&P 500… and this has continued for the past 45 months. Today we highlight the long-term chart of this Nasdaq to S&P 500 ratio price performance with key observations and concerns. Looking at the chart below, we can see that the long-term trend for this ratio remains up. That said, the past 45 months of underperformance is concerning.
Nikkei Trading Near 1989 Stock Peak; Double Top?
If you have been investing for 35 years, you likely remember the fervor heading into the Japanese Nikkei stock market index peak. And most investors of any age likely have viewed charts and read about it. Why? Because there was a bullish mania to buy Japanese stocks and its peak in 1989 turned into a massive decline that lasted years. And 35 years later, the Nikkei is just now testing its highs. Note that we first highlighted this stock market phenomena and price resistance back in mid-October.
Historical Indicator Points To Interest Rates Decline
The Federal Reserve lowered the key interest rate by .25 last week. This is the second reduction in the past 2 months (the first was a .50 cut). During this time, bond yields (interest rates) have risen sharply. What?!? That said, it may be time for interest rates to finally follow the FED lower… if today’s chart follows history. Today we look at a historical chart of 10-Year treasury bond yield versus the Copper/Gold ratio. Historically, these have had a high correlation.
US Dollar Rally Near Critical Inflection Point
In a world where the still makes the world go round, it’s vitally important that investors pay attention to potential pivot points for the buck. There’s a reason why we call it King Dollar. When it is weakening, we often see a tailwind for gold and other commodities and sometimes stocks and bonds. And when strong, the opposite. Lately, we have seen a stronger Dollar that’s rising with interest rates (and that’s hurt bonds). But that could be coming to a halt.
US Dollar Rally Near Critical Inflection Point!
In a world where the US Dollar still makes the world go round, it’s vitally important that investors pay attention to potential pivot points for the buck. There’s a reason why we call it King Dollar! When it is weakening, we often see a tailwind for gold and other commodities and sometimes stocks and bonds. And when strong, the opposite. Lately we have seen a stronger Dollar that’s rising with interest rates (and that’s hurt bonds). BUT that could be coming to a halt.
US Dollar Rally Near Critical Inflection Point!
In a world where the US Dollar still makes the world go round, it’s vitally important that investors pay attention to potential pivot points for the buck. There’s a reason why we call it King Dollar! When it is weakening, we often see a tailwind for gold and other commodities and sometimes stocks and bonds. And when strong, the opposite. Lately we have seen a stronger Dollar that’s rising with interest rates (and that’s hurt bonds). BUT that could be coming to a halt.
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