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Articles by Chris Siniakov
How the RBA scores on its inflation goal
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Brace, brace, brace: The real issue behind the banking turmoil
Editor's Note: This article was first published by Franklin Templeton on 17 March 2023. The commentariat until recently had shifted from hard to soft landing to no landing at all. Suddenly, those lags in monetary policy don’t look so long and variable after all. But it’s highly unlikely that we are about to face another banking crisis, GFC style.
Brace, brace, brace: The real issue behind the recent banking turmoil
The commentariat until recently had shifted from hard to soft landing to no landing at all. Suddenly, those lags in monetary policy don’t look so long and variable after all. But it’s highly unlikely that we are about to face another banking crisis, GFC style. The tremors reverberating across the banking world from Silicon Valley to Zurich expose idiosyncratic weaknesses, but the risk is that markets focus on the headlines and miss the bigger issue building beneath the surface.
Is it all falling apart?
Years of rapid financialisation has led to colossal debt growth with low interest rates and QE helping to push asset prices ever higher. The tide is rapidly reversing - at least for now. Central banks are unable to ignore the inflation in front of them, but inflation is a lagging indicator, as is employment. We are now working through the consequences of the excessive fiscal and monetary stimulus delivered 18 months ago in the pandemic.
Australia: Caught In The Middle Of U.S.-China Trade Tensions?
As US-China trade tensions continue to make headlines, some investors may not realize the fallout will affect many other economies, one being Australia. Chris Siniakov, our managing director of Australian Fixed Income, explains why Australia's goods and services sectors depend on China. He also shares his view on why a potential trade war could negatively impact the country's education and tourism industries. That said, he's not alarmed by recent trade headlines - at least not yet.
Australia: Caught in the Middle of US-China Trade Tensions?
As US-China trade tensions continue to make headlines, some investors may not realize the fallout will affect many other economies, one being Australia. Chris Siniakov, our managing director of Australian Fixed Income, explains why Australia’s goods and services sectors depend on China. He also shares his view on why a potential trade war could negatively impact the country’s education and tourism industries. That said, he’s not alarmed by recent trade headlines—at least not yet.
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