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How Worried Is The MPC About The Risk Of ‘Sticky’ Inflation?
The Bank of England raised Bank Rate this week for the first time in three years, to 4 per cent. Our view, set out in Thursday’s press notice and will develop in next week’s Economic Outlook, is that the Monetary Policy Committee is behind the curve given the size of the energy shock and the evidence that inflation expectations are already above levels consistent with the 2 per cent target.
Breathing Space, Not a Strategy
Today’s Budget has seen the Chancellor deliver some ‘breathing space’ to households struggling with cost-of-living pressures via a mild fiscal loosening, most obviously through changes to energy bills and council taxes.
The Return of the Energy Shock: Inflation Above 5% and a Split Rate Outlook
In this blog we present updated forecasts from our Multi-Recurrent Neural Network (MRN) model, extending the outlook from September 2026 to August 2027.1 This is our fourth MRN update of the year, following the February, May and July 2026 blogs.
Has Fiscal Policy Adjusted To A World Of Higher Interest Rates?
As all good economists know, fiscal sustainability comes down to the gap between the interest rate the government pays on its debt and the growth rate of the economy, r minus g. Think of this as a race. If r is lower than g, debt (the IOUs we’ve written in the past) will grow more slowly than the economy, exerting a downward force on debt as a share of GDP.
Budget 2026: When Fiscal and Monetary Policy Collide
This year’s Budget, scheduled for 28 October, takes place against a challenging economic and fiscal backdrop. Inflation looks set to go higher, as global energy prices remain elevated while there are concerns that this could also derail activity growth. Bond markets have reacted by pushing up US yields to their highest since 2002.
Unpicking The Economics Of The Bank’s QT Decision
The Monetary Policy Committee voted 6–3 to hold Bank Rate at 3.75 per cent on Thursday. Alongside this, it announced that the Bank will reduce its stock of gilts held for monetary policy purposes to zero by September 2034. Quantitative tightening—the unwinding of the asset purchases made between 2009 and 2021, which sit in the Bank’s Asset Purchase Facility—has run since February 2022 on an annual cycle, with the MPC voting each September on a target for the following twelve months.
Rising Gilt Yields: A Global Problem with UK Fiscal Consequences
Is this purely a problem for the United Kingdom? We might be forgiven for thinking so, given some of the reporting but in fact the rise in bond yields is a global phenomenon. Although 10-year gilt yields have risen by 65 basis points (bps) since the start of 2026, US yields have risen by 60bps while German yields are 49bps higher.
Should Burnham Front-Load The Fiscal Squeeze?
Andy Burnham becomes Prime Minister on Monday with a long list of economic questions waiting for him. One of the more consequential is whether to hold an expanded fiscal event this autumn, combining the Budget with a departmental spending review, as the press reported his team is exploring this week.
Now Is Not The Time To Weaken The UK’s Bank Rules
UK financial regulators are edging towards an important decision: whether to weaken one of the core safeguards introduced after the global financial crisis. The leverage ratio requires banks to fund themselves with a minimum amount of loss-absorbing capital relative to their overall exposures.
Housing Can Be Key To Rebuilding Faith In The Future
In recent years politicians have increasingly struggled to answer a question that now bedevils modern democracies: why are so many voters so deeply dissatisfied? Understanding the cause of that dissatisfaction is essential to ensure they can find answers. Much of today’s discontent is economic, with pressures having mounted since 2008.
When Should Regulators Bend? Time Consistency and Flexibility in Financial Regulation
For some time, and more insistently under the current government, ministers have been pressing the UK’s financial regulators to do their bit for growth. The Financial Services and Markets Act 2023 gave the PRA and FCA a new secondary objective to facilitate the competitiveness and growth of the UK economy; remit letters to the Financial Policy Committee now routinely invoke it; reviews of ring-fencing, the leverage framework and mortgage rules are all in train.
Taking Stock of Implementing Bernanke
It is now two years since Dr Bernanke published his review into the Bank of England’s forecasting practices. This feels like a good moment to take stock and ask whether the review has had the impact that was hoped for. Running through Dr Bernanke’s 12 recommendations were two main themes. The first was a call to invest significantly in the infrastructure—databases, models, software, staff capability—that the Bank uses to produce its quarterly forecasts.
Financial Conditions and Monetary Policy
The Bank of England’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report placed significant weight on the tightening in UK financial conditions as a reason for holding Bank Rate unchanged. This blog asks what exactly has tightened and why that matters for the MPC’s reaction function. TL;DR: UK financial conditions tightened sharply in March, but the tightening has not been broad-based.
How Did Brexit and COVID-19 Reshape UK Regional Supply Chains?
Why do regional production networks matter? Output and trade figures capture the scale of economic activity; production networks describe how that activity is organised across industries and regions. A region’s output multiplier measures how much additional production each pound of final demand pulls through the chain of suppliers behind it, and depends on how deeply its industries are tied into domestic buying and selling.
Eventide Expands H90 Pedal’s Capabilities
Eventide, the inventor of the H910 Harmonizer in 1975, has announced the release of Harmonizer+, "a new suite of vocal effects for the TEC-Award winning H90 Harmonizer pedal. Previously exclusive to the flagship H9000, Harmonizer+ brings advanced vocal processing to the H90’s growing platform.
NIVA Statement on U.S. House Passage of the TICKET Act
NIVA, the National Independent Venue Association, has released a statement following the U.S. House of Representatives’ passage of the TICKET Actearlier today... The speculative ticketing ban in the TICKET Act is an important step toward restoring trust in the ticketing market. Artists, independent venues, and promoters fought tirelessly over the last two years to secure this critical protection. Any national ticketing law must truly ban speculative tickets without exception.
L'INTÉGRALE - #LeDriveRTL2 (15/03/24)
Les nouveautés du jour : - Livingston "Shadow" - Nina Nesbitt "Pages" Les sorties albums : - Lenny Kravitz "TK421" - Dandy Warhols "ROCKMAKER" - The Black Crowes "Happiness Bastards" - Kid Kapichi "There Goes The Neighbourhood" Le journal de la musique : - Brian Johnson et Mark Knopfler en vedette d'une série de documentaires L'album de votre week-end : The Stone Roses "The Stone Roses" Les classiques du jour : - The La's "There She Goes" - No Doubt "Hella Good" Le live du jour : Steely Dan...
Johns Hopkins Says Gun Control Will Prevent Second Civil War
A new study published by Johns Hopkins own Bloomberg School for Public Health outlines the action items on the billionaire-funded gun control lobby’s wish list and makes the claim that those specific gun control provisions are crucial to stopping an armed insurrection in the United States.
AstraZeneca in £80 Million ‘Covid’ Jab Compensation Claim Set to Be One of Biggest Battles of Its Kind
Claims from 35 alleged victims have been filed against AstraZeneca, accusing its Covid vaccine of causing rare complications leading to deaths and serious harm. The Telegraph has the details. Lawyers have issued the claims amounting to tens of millions of pounds in the High Court over complications they say were caused by the vaccine, months after launching two test cases.
WSJ Editor-in-Chief Admits To Davos Elites ‘We No Longer Own The News’
Thanks to the internet and (shrinking) press freedoms, legacy media outlets no longer have a monopoly on information and narratives. Case in point, during a WEF discussion at Davos entitled “Defending Truth,” Wall St. Journal EIC Emma Tucker lamented this loss of control over ‘the facts,’ as Modernity.news reports.
Two Thirds of Elite Americans Favour Food and Energy Rations to Combat Climate Change, Poll Finds
The profound disconnect between the attitudes shared by the ‘top’ 1% elites in American society and the rest of the population is laid bare by the results of an illuminating new poll.
Advocates Outraged That Feds Asked Banks To Search Customers’ ‘Religious Texts’ Purchases
Faith leaders and religious liberty advocates are up in arms over news that the federal government encouraged banks and other financial institutions to search customers’ private accounts using the search term “religious texts.” The “religious texts” search term was among those federal officials asked financial institutions to use following the Jan. 6, 2021, breach of the U.S. Capitol, a congressional source with direct knowledge confirmed to The Epoch Times on Jan. 18.
Smart motorways were plagued with summer of extended power outages putting drivers’ lives at risk
Smart motorways were plagued with a summer of extended power outages that put drivers’ lives at risk, it has been revealed. The safety systems shut down a total of 41 times last summer, which operate by detecting breakdowns on motorways with no hard shoulder and control the networks CCTV to detect people at risk.
What do they know? World’s billionaires including Mark Zuckerberg and Peter Thiel are building bunkers and assembling fortresses outside their mansions
Doomsday prepping’ used to be seen as a hobby relegated to the paranoid fringe — but ordinary Americans spent a staggering $11 billion on survival items, just last year, from April 2022 to April 2023. About a third of US citizens admit to prepping, surveys show, but few have the resources today’s billionaire bunker-builders have to devote to their own shelters.
Parents’ fury after primary school closes SIX times in just three months due to brand new £358,000 [Net Zero initiative] heat pump system breaking down
A primary school in Kent has been forced to close six times in just three months because of problems with its new £358,000 heat pump system. The green energy source was installed at Kingsnorth Primary in Ashford, Kent, in the summer as part of an initiative to help schools cut their carbon footprint. But classrooms have been left without power or heating several times since due to faults with the heat pump.
mRNA Technology Is the Culprit Behind Faulty Immune Response, IgG4 Study Shows
IgG4 refers to a special rare subclass of antibodies instructing our immune system to ignore a pathogen rather than fight it. We learned that repeat Covid vaccinations cause immune tolerance in boosted people, which makes them less able to fend off repeat infections. While IgG4 antibodies may naturally appear in allergies due to repeat immune stimulations with allergens, they are inappropriate for replicating pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2.
Discover Affordable High-Quality Smartphones at Samsung UK
Are you in the market for a new smartphone but don’t want to break the bank? Look no further than Samsung UK, where you can find a wide selection of high-quality smartphones at affordable prices. Samsung UK is your go-to destination for finding high-quality smartphones at unbeatable prices. Whether you’re looking for the newest model or a more affordable option, Samsung UK has you covered.
WTAF IS 100 - We Are Centenarians
We are 100, thank you all for your continued support. We hope the show has helped your get through the past three plus years as it has for us. We got through the Covid Scam together so World War 3 should be a doddle. VIDEO VIDEO VIDEO WATCH THE FULL SHOW ON ICKONIC.COM EVERY SUNDAY
“I’m a Public Health Fascist”: Journalist Who Led Calls for Lockdown Publishes Book Demanding We Prepare to Do it All Again But Harder (So it Works This Time)
Do you think we need a Pentagon for public health to wage war on new pathogens? Not likely, and that is based on recent experience. The pandemic planners wrecked our lives. We have yet to recover. Cities are still suffering from business closures, learning losses and school absenteeism, and rampant crime. Trust in once-revered institutions is at an all-time low, as is public health generally (depression, obesity and substance abuse). We could go on and on.
Denver Hospital Caught Injecting LIVE Ebola Vaccine In Workers Now Overwhelmed by Illegals, Has Racked Up $136M In Unpaid Care In 2023 Alone
“Since President Joe Biden took office and the southern border has been overrun with immigrants from all over the world, the cost of unpaid care at Denver Health has risen dramatically,” reports Cortney Weil of The Blaze. “In 2020, the hospital had about $60 million in unpaid care.
Biometric Surveillance Options Increase for US Police
Proving that it is not always good to be right, public and private video surveillance is gaining critical mass in U.S. cities and towns, just as privacy advocates have warned. Sensors over highways, on food delivery robots and police vests, hanging from public buildings and convenience store awnings, and attached to porches and doorbells are feeding faces and sounds to the cloud, where law enforcement strains it through biometric recognition software for coordinated action.
World Economic Forum is Greatest Threat to Humanity. No - humanity is the greatest threat to humanity by standing for it
Representatives of governments and international organisations, billionaires, entrepreneurs, academics, NGOs and press corps have spent the last few days in Davos, Switzerland deciding our futures yet again whether we like it or not. Some of them are self appointed, unelected leaders of the world who have vast influence over almost every nation and still there are too many people unaware that they exist let alone that they have been kow-towing to their agenda and demands for the last few years.
EU’s Top Diplomat Accuses Israel of Financing Hamas
EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell has openly accused the Israeli government of funding Hamas, an allegation Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has denied. Borrell did not elaborate on the claim, which has been repeatedly made by opponents of Netanyahu and the Israeli media. Speaking at the University of Valladolid in Spain, Josep Borrell said Hamas “was financed by the Israeli government in an attempt to weaken the Palestinian Authority led by Fatah,” according to El Pais newspaper.
‘It’s the town of the Damned’: Residents living in ‘hell hole’ town plagued by drugs, gangs and unemployment compare it to the ‘Wild West’ where desperate locals are ‘deserting’ as quickly as they can
Residents who live in a ‘hell hole’ town plagued by drugs, gangs and unemployment have compared it to the ‘Wild West’. Tilbury in Essex has been described as ‘the town of the damned’ by desperate locals who say neighbours are ‘deserting’ as quickly as they can. Crime sprees, shoplifting, drug taking and dealing, empty shops and little work opportunities are some of the reasons people are fleeing the historic dock town on the River Thames.
“We Have To Make Tough Choices”: After Already Laying Off Thousands, Google Prepping For More Layoffs
The illusion of a booming labor market may not last for much longer. At least if Google is any barometer, that it. The tech giant has joined a long list of names that has informed its employees that layoffs are on their way, according to a new report from The Verge. Following “thousands” of layoffs the company has already made, CEO Sundar Pichai sent out a message to employees this week that additional layoffs would be on their way.
The morons who call themselves doctors: Mum ‘in tears’ after being ordered to mention ‘one problem per appointment’ at doctors surgery but GPs say it is for patients’ ‘own safety’. Maybe it’s because the doctors can’t walk and chew gum at the same time
A mum claims she was left ‘in tears’ after being told to mention only ‘one problem per appointment’ at her doctors surgery. Patients at Park View Medical Centre, in Crumpsall, Greater Manchester, have been receiving the stark warning via text when they receive confirmation of their appointments. Ela Kluczkowska claims she left an appointment in tears after a GP told her she wasn’t allowed to bring up more than one symptom.
Massachusetts Hospital Warns Patients Who Commit Microaggressions Could Be Denied Care
A public hospital in Massachusetts has issued a warning that patients who violate their new code of conduct by using “racist” or “discriminatory” words or body language could be told to seek non-emergency medical care elsewhere. In early January, Milford Regional Medical Center (MRMC) implemented a new “patient and visitor code of conduct” which describes a list of ‘microaggressions’ that could serve as grounds for denial of treatment.
Dr Reiner Fuellmich’s Personal Statements
Dear friends, comrades-in-arms and fellow human beings interested in the truth, for the first time after 6 weeks in custody I would like to personally and deeply thank everyone who has written to me. There are thousands and I read everything.
A Rant for Everyone Who Thinks Government and Masters Are Vital and Necessary
“To be GOVERNED is to be watched, inspected, spied upon, directed, law-driven, numbered, regulated, enrolled, indoctrinated, preached at, controlled, checked, estimated, valued, censured, commanded, by creatures who have neither the right nor the wisdom nor the virtue to do so.
Sinead O’Connor and the death of free speech
OVER the Christmas break I watched a documentary on the late Sinead O’Connor, or Saint Sinead if you live in Ireland. O’Connor is best known for her haunting voice on Nothing Compares 2 U and for ripping up a photo of the then Pope John Paul II on Saturday Night Live in 1992.
Global Warming? North America Snow Coverage Hits “Decadal Highs”
Americans suffer from climate catastrophe fatigue after leftist corporate media outlets push endless climate doom headlines that seemingly never come true. Another round of climate doom headlines came this week at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Many elites attending the event who spoke and or commented on the sidelines sound like broken records. They warn of imminent doom that never comes.
How World War III Targets Your Mind
Dr. Michael Nehls, a German medical doctor, is an internationally-renowned molecular geneticist. He deciphered the genetic causes of dozens of hereditary diseases at German and international research institutions. His revolutionary 2024 book The Indoctrinated Brain: How to Successfully Fend Off the Global Attack on Your Mental Freedom is not available in hardcopy, but as a paperback, and an ebook. Most people think only about our physical immune system.
WEF-UN calls for censorship, digital IDs and artificial intelligence everywhere
Moderna employed online surveillance partners to help censor vaccine sceptics. Moderna is a partner of the World Economic Forum (“WEF”) which as an organisation promotes censorship as the way to “build trust.” At WEF’s annual meeting in Davos, the Czech Foreign Minister called for a global solution against “false content,” and the United Nations Secretary-General proposed linking people’s digital identities (“IDs”) to their bank accounts and using digital IDs to censor unapproved speech.
The Totalitarian Mind of Donald G. McNeil
Do you think we need a Pentagon for public health to wage war on new pathogens? Not likely, and that is based on recent experience. The pandemic planners wrecked our lives. We have yet to recover. Cities are still suffering from business closures, learning losses and school absenteeism, and rampant crime. Trust in once-revered institutions is at an all-time low, as is public health generally (depression, obesity, and substance abuse). We could go on and on.
Biometric surveillance options increase for US police
Proving that it is not always good to be right, public and private video surveillance is gaining critical mass in U.S. cities and towns, just as privacy advocates have warned. Sensors over highways, on food delivery robots and police vests, hanging from public buildings and convenience store awnings, and attached to porches and doorbells are feeding faces and sounds to the cloud, where law enforcement strains it through biometric recognition software for coordinated action.
Oh, fantastic. The world is such a better place now: UK successfully fires high-powered laser weapon that’s as fast as the speed of light and so accurate it can hit a £1 coin from half a mile away. Wow, amazing. So impressed.
The UK has successfully fired a high-powered laser weapon as fast as the speed of light at an aerial target for the first time. In secret trials the DragonFire laser-directed energy weapon (LDEW) system proved so accurate it could hit a £1 coin half a mile away. The high-power laser was fired from a Ministry of Defence station in the Hebrides. Its range, like much of the technology behind it, remains classified. But its intense beam can cut through targets, such as drones, in its line of sight.
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