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Articles by Gab Timov
Billions Of Lives Are At Stake As China Threatens India With War
Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com, It could be argued that there’s never been a time in history, where so many Americans thought that we were on the brink of another major war. If you pay attention to the constant news stream of stories regarding Syria, North Korea, or Russia, you’d be hard pressed to deny it.
Cable Vol Is Collapsing As 'Confident' Brexit Traders Lift Hedges
Having exploded from 20 to 50 last week, implied volatility for 1 week Sterling is collapsing as it appears confident traders are rapidly unwinding hedges as 'Bremain' hopes run high... Precious metals protection has been fading modestly as fiat currency protection exploded. With brokers doubling or tripling margins, it is little surprise that anyone short the pound has been forced to manage their exposure (whether polls/odds are correct or not)...
Hillary Clinton Rants That "Trump Would Throw Us Back Into Recession"
After a Gallup poll was released earlier this month showing that 53% of Americans prefer Donald Trump for handling the economy compared to 43% who prefer Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee felt the need to address the issue during a speech on Tuesday. "Liberals and conservatives say Trump's ideas would be disastrous. The Chamber of Commerce and labor unions.
Orlando Gunman Reportedly Scouted Disney World As Potential Target
Despite being investigated by the FBI twice before Sunday's tragedy in 2013 and 2014, Orlando gunman Omar Mateen managed to legally buy weapons and scout various venues for his attack before the weekend's disaster at Pulse nightclub. Perhaps even more worrisome is that he recently scouted Walt Disney World as a potential target, a federal law enforcement source tells People magazine. Omar Mateen and his wife, Noor Zahi Salman, visited Walt Disney World in April, the source says.
Democrats Fear Violence At Convention: "Don't Want To Go Back To '68 Riots"
Any way you slice it, the Democratic National Convention coming up in Philadelphia in late July promise to be tumultuous. Though Hillary Clinton and the party insiders long ago expected the 2016 primary to be a formality (which conspicuously few hopefuls in the race), the grassroots voters are feverishly demanding Bernie, and vehemently against the establishment candidate who is widely known for her duplicity and dishonesty.
Hawk & Hawker Send Stocks Negative For 2016, Yield Curve Crush Continues
From uber-doves to ultra-hawks in 3 weeks (and a few hundred Dow points), today's FedSpeak did not rescue stocks as everyone assumed it did as Dudley's Dud dropped risk... "Sell In May" is working once again... And while The Dow craped back into green, S&P 500 closed red for 2016... This week's chaos is more clearly seen in futures with every rip sold and every dip bought...
Gartman! The Musical
Submitted by Tim Knight from Slope of Hope on 05/06/2016 17:13 -0400 That got me thinking..............and I'm inclined to agree! Just imagine the song list: Act One My Girl Courtney It's Good to See You (It's Good to Be Seen) The Stopped-Out Blues Marry Me, Melissa Lee Long of Love The Broken Clock Song (Ensemble) Act Two Gently, Quietly, Pleasantly Flip Flop Fever The King of Commodities Marry Me, Melissa Lee (reprise) CNBC For You, For Me I Love You (In Yen Terms) Not in My Lifetime
Fitch Downgrades Chicago After "Worst Possible Outcome" In State Supreme Court Pension Reform Bid
Last week, Rahm Emanuel got some bad news. The Illinois Supreme Court agreed with Cook County judge Rita Novak’s ruling that the Chicago mayor’s scheme to put worker pension plans on a sustainable path was unconstitutional. "These modifications to pension benefits unquestionably diminish the value of the retirement annuities the members of (the city workers and laborers funds) were promised when they joined the pension system,” the high court wrote in its opinion.
Fewer People Wiping More Bottoms: Minimum Wage Hikes Explained
More money for everyone. That sounds like a great idea. Much like free healthcare for everyone. And just “free shit” in general. Unfortunately, “there’s no such thing as a free lunch” is one old adage that generally turns out to be true in almost all cases. Be that as it may, advocates of a sharply higher minimum wage don’t seem to understand that most corporations exist to maximize profits.
Eric Hunsader Explains To CNBC That "Markets Are Always Rigged" And What He May Spend His $750,000 Prize On
Once upon a time it was anathema the publicly proclaim two things: i) that central banks manipulate and intervene in the markets and that ii) the market is rigged.
Terminal American Apathy - A Population Perfectly Ripened For Authoritarian Control
When considering the cause of national apathy, Americans are evidently physiologically and socially similar to the junk food addled laboratory rat. Both tolerate repressive environments while confined against their will in a maze. In the natural desire to escape and find freedom, like the affected rat, Americans passively accept their confinement, acquiescing without struggle to a life of controlled stimulation and manipulation by all manner of drugs, tests, and mandated choice of direction.
One Trader Explains Why He Did Not Chase Yesterday's Buying Panic
Yesterday, we reported that at least one prominent money manager, Geneva Swiss Bank, had called "time" on the bear market rally, and after scooping up a 7% profit following the post-February 11 short squeeze, cashed out. This followed another post of ours from yesterday morning, in which we showed quite vividly that while stocks are surging on the latest algo-driven stop hunt and CTA squeeze, bonds could care less. It appears at least one trader read between the lines of what was happened.
Collapse In 'Hope' Sends Americans' Consumer Confidence Tumbling Near 3-Year Lows
Driven by a collapse in 'hope' - future expectations dropped to 78.9, the lowest since Feb 2014 - The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence headline dropped from 97.8 to 92.2, the weakest since July 2015. Amid the so-called best jobs market in decades, near-record low gas prices, and a resurging stock market, it appears the 'everyday American' is not amused as all the 'increases in animal spirits' since QE3 have evaporated. Consumer Confidence is hovering near 3 year lows...
MEeeT GRaViTY THe BaRe...
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Markets Ignore Fundamentals And Chase Headlines Because They Are Dying
Normalcy bias is a rather horrifying thing. It is so frightening because it is so final; much like death, there is simply no coming back. Rather than a physical death, normalcy bias represents the death of reason and simple observation. It is the death of the mind and cognitive thought instead of the death of the body.
"The Heart Of The Economic Disorder Is A World Financial System That Has Gone Rogue"
By Will Hutton, originally posted in The Guardian The world economic order is collapsing and this time there seems no way out Europe has seen nothing like this for 70 years – the visible expression of a world where order is collapsing. The millions of refugees fleeing from ceaseless Middle Eastern war and barbarism are voting with their feet, despairing of their futures.
Ranking The Peasants: China Introduces Orwellian "Citizen Scores"
The following is extraordinarily creepy and disturbing. It’s also extremely clever, from a jackbooted, fascist thug perspective. When massive censorship itself isn’t enough... China’s plan to control the hearts, minds and internet connections of its citizens continues unimpeded. That’s the great thing about authoritarian regimes: rollout of mandatory programs is usually only a problem of logistics, not opposition. The Chinese government has mandated a rating system for all of its connected citizens.
Why This Feels Like A Depression For Most People
Submitted by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog, Everyone has seen the pictures of the unemployed waiting in soup lines during the Great Depression. When you try to tell a propaganda believing, willfully ignorant, mainstream media watching, math challenged consumer we are in the midst of a Greater Depression, they act as if you’ve lost your mind. They will immediately bluster about the 5.1% unemployment rate, record corporate profits, and stock market near all-time highs.
Middle-East Migration - The Problem/Opportunity Dilemma
Pictures of migrant-exiles from the Middle East, not just Syrians but Iraqis and Afghanis as well, are currently being transmitted by CNN, Aljazeera English and other news giants to homes all over the world in customary repetition which most of us would agree exceeds the canons of proper news reporting.
Chinese Stocks Open Down Hard As PBOC Strengthens Yuan By Most Since 2010 & Default Risk Hits 2-Year High
From the moment Japan opened, USDJPY buying took off (standard 100 pip rip on absolutely no news whatsoever) as yet another manipulated market breathed new life into equity longs dreams. That 'help' combined with the fact that, as SCMP's George Chen reports, 50 China brokerages will jointly contribute 100 bln RMB capital to the government margin finance agency to start "new round of market rescue" provided some stability after US markets' collapse.
Why Devaluing The Yuan Won't Help China's Economy
Submitted by Frank Shostak via The Mises Institute, Earlier this month, the Chinese government decided to depreciate its currency on three consecutive occasions. On August 13, the price of the US dollar was trading at 6.413 — an increase of 3.3 percent against July. The key factor behind the central bank’s lowering of the yuan is a sharp decline in the growth momentum of exports with the yearly rate of growth falling to minus 8.3 percent in July from 2.8 percent in June.
Travails Of Empire - Oil, Debt, Gold & The Imperial Dollar
This is the key theme of Larry Wilkerson's presentation. He never really questions whether empire is good or bad, sustainable or not, and at what costs. At least he does not so in the same manner as that great analyst of empire Chalmers Johnson. It is important to understand what people who are in and near positions of power are thinking if you wish to understand what they are doing, and what they are likely to do. What ought to be done is another matter.
Sometimes They Do Ring The Bell At The Top
Submitted by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog, I’m starting to get the feeling the scorn and ridicule heaped upon Dr. Hussman by the Wall Street shysters is about to be thrown back in their faces. Of course, he isn’t an I told you so type of person. He’s an analytical investor who bases his thinking upon historical facts and valuation methods that have proven accurate over the last 100 years of investing. His two key principles on investing are flashing red.
The Meaning Of 'Trust'
The risk that bail-ins pose to companies, trade, commerce, employment and entire economies is something at which we have looked frequently in recent months. Indeed, we think we are largely alone in...
WSJ Notes "Chances That China's Data Is Real Is Very Low" Then Promptly Scrubs It
Last night, when China reported a trifecta of better than expected data, coming at just the wrong time when everyone was hoping for even more PBOC easing and government intervention to bolster the rigged (by now nobody doubts there no longer is a Chinese stock market but merely yet another "policy tool") market's upward trajectory.
"New Silk Road" Could Change Global Economics Forever, Part 1
Beginning with the marvelous tales of Marco Polo’s travels across Eurasia to China, the Silk Road has never ceased to entrance the world. Now, the ancient cities of Samarkand, Baku, Tashkent, and Bukhara are once again firing the world’s imagination. China is building the world’s greatest economic development and construction project ever undertaken: The New Silk Road. The project aims at no less than a revolutionary change in the economic map of the world.
Apple Watch: Epic Dud?
With Apple Watches still on back-order (due to defective supply, not abundant demand) and the sell-side confused as to whether it will be a great success (Morgan Stanley's exuberant extrapolation of Google searches) or a damp squib (KGI cut estimates on demand slowing), the latest projections from Slice Intelligence suggest things are definitely going so well for the world's largest gadget-maker.
Mainstream Media Presidential Campaign Coverage (Summed Up In 1 Cartoon)
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Oil Tumbles After Saudis Declare End To Yemen Aerial Bombing Campaign
Saudi Arabia said its campaign of airstrikes in Yemen have succeeded in removing threats to the kingdom and other regional countries, bringing to an end Operation "Decisive Storm." As Bloomberg reports, the Saudi Defense Ministry said a coalition of mostly Sunni Muslim nations has “successfully eliminated the threat to the security of Saudi Arabia and neighboring countries,” by destroying the heavy weaponry and ballistic missiles held by the Shiite Houthi rebels.
Gold-Backed SDR "Is Quite Likely To Happen", LSE's Lord Desai Warns
As many are increasingly coming to terms with the 'obvious failure of fiat currency', the inevitavble question arises "what next?" Earlier this year, we discussed the possibility of a Chinese- or Russian-currency backed by gold, amid the increasing calls (domestically and abroad) for an end to USD Reserve hegemony; but this weekend, as Bloomberg reports, Lord Meghnad Desai, chairman of The Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, stated that IMF Special Drawing Rights (SDR) should...
Is Inequality A Bad Thing?
We couldn’t believe what we were seeing when coming across the following headline at Reuters recently: “Fed’s Yellen says research needed to understand inequality issue”. Seriously? Maybe we can help the good chairwoman out a bit. First of all, human beings are already born unequal. With that we not only mean that they are born in different social strata, but that they are usually born with unequal talents, brains, physique, and so forth.
"Chinese Economic Activity Has Probably Slowed To Less Than 3%"
In a world in which sell-side research (and even that of independent third-parties) is not only meaningless - because as we first said in 2010 the only thing that matters in the New Paranormal is 'the Fed's H.4.1 statement' - there are few sources of insightful, non-conflicted analysis. One place which stands out is Cornerstone Macro - yes, it costs a lot of money, but it's worth it.
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