Gary Kaltbaum
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Gary Kaltbaum,Pres,Kaltbaum Capital,Fox News Business Contributor,host,natl radio show, INVESTORS EDGE, technical analyst, pro wrestling nut!
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Articles by Gary Kaltbaum
NVIDIA, COREWEAVE AND MORE
NVIDIA down another whopping $18+ as we write this. WE HAVE NO CLUE HOW THIS FINISHES TODAY but we know about the influence in the markets and NVIDIA pretty much has driven the bus. There is going to potentially be another problem. Those that pay attention to us know we have asked how their massive amounts of circular financing had become so acceptable. We have been amazed how the acceptable used to be unacceptable.
RADIO SHOW 11/3- ELECTION DAY
RADIO SHOW 11/3- ELECTION DAY ByGary Kaltbaum November 3, 2026
RADIO SHOW 11/2- MORE AI CARNAGE
RADIO SHOW 11/2- MORE AI CARNAGE ByGary Kaltbaum November 2, 2026
AI COMING HOME TO ROOST
A couple of our favorite lines are: If the drop in stocks don’t scare, you had better be worried when they get the bonds. Too much debt will eventually have the chickens coming home to roost. Our poster child for many a month has been CoreWeave (CRWV)…amongst others but CoreWeave was one big gigantic sore thumb with massive losses, massive debt quickly approaching its market cap, dependence on others and insiders selling like the world is ending. The stock has been in trouble for a long while.
WATCH YIELDS PART 101
WATCH YIELDS PART 101. Seems like this is the 101st time we have stated to you to just watch yields. We were in hopes the past couple of weeks of action had yields trying to put in some sort of high. Until this morning, they were trying. And then another inflation number comes out and duh…not good. Let us not forget it is not just what you pay at the pump. It is also the thousands of products that are made with petroleum. It’s your Uber and Lyft driver. It’s the airlines and cruise lines.
RADIO SHOW 10/9- WHIPSAW WEEK IN REVIEW
RADIO SHOW 10/9- WHIPSAW WEEK IN REVIEW ByGary Kaltbaum October 10, 2026
MORE IMPROVEMENT
We repeat from Thursday: “Thinking yields putting in some sort of high today which would mean more than likely, a low for so many of the beaten up, stretched and extended broad market areas. Quite overdue. Bounces wont change their trend but relief back towards some sort of norm. Of course, yields will dictate but for today, feels like hit some sort of ceiling. Can only hope! Not blinking.” Since, 1 out of 2 as the broad market gets better but yields have not.
FROM YESTERDAY ON YIELDS AND MARKETS
We wrote this to you yesterday: “Short but hopefully sweet! Thinking yields putting in some sort of high today which would mean more than likely, a low for so many of the beaten up, stretched and extended broad market areas. Quite overdue. Bounces wont change their trend but relief back towards some sort of norm. Of course, yields will dictate but for today, feels like hit some sort of ceiling. Can only hope! Not blinking.” This morning, yields plunging off of a not good jobs report.
YIELDS CEILING? AND THE MARKET
Thinking yields putting in some sort of high today which would mean more than likely, a low for so many of the beaten up, stretched and extended broad market areas. Quite overdue. Bounces wont change their trend but relief back towards some sort of norm. Of course, yields will dictate but for today, feels like hit some sort of ceiling. Can only hope! Not blinking.
CONCENTRATION - Gary K
Just reporting the numbers that others are reporting but we have confirmed with our rusty abacus. We are open to any and all outcome. We know a lot of what we are seeing has to do with huge spikes in oil and yields and if that changes for the better, the broad market can get better but for this second: If 94% of the stocks in the S&P 500 went to ZERO leaving only the highest market cap stocks (top 6%) the index would still trade at 4400.
SEMIS/SOFTWARE/OIL/YIELDS - Gary K
On September 8th, we wrote this: “Nothing is 100% sure especially in this noisy, news driven environment emanating from the farce of DC and we mean farce, but on Friday, it seems the down and out SEMIS/AI trade woke up and at the very least, captured some decent relative strength versus the market. It has been a while. To be sure, many names are toast, down 30, 40, 50%+. Something that bounces 20% after being down 50% is still down 40%. But this morning, more of the same.
RAISING RATES TO LOWER RATES!
Raising rates to lower rates. Huh!? We are not so sure the many understand that the raising of rates could potentially lower rates. Say what? The fed moves fed funds or the short term rates, the rates banks charge each other for overnight loans. That’s the definition. Of course, also influences consumer borrowing and savings rates. Of course, the illness of Powellitis decided to play God, print up to $9 trillion, take rates to 0%, took over the bond market and created massive inflation.
SEMIS/AI RETURN - Gary K
Nothing is 100% sure especially in this noisy, news driven environment emanating from the farce of DC and we mean farce, but on Friday, it seems the down and out SEMIS/AI trade woke up and at the very least, captured some decent relative strength versus the market. It has been a while. To be sure, many names are toast, down 30, 40, 50%+. Something that bounces 20% after being down 50% is still down 40%. But this morning, more of the same.
WATCH YIELDS - Gary K
WATCH YIELDS! How many times do we have to say that? How many times have we said those 2 words recently? WATCH YIELDS!. The bond market is in a bear market, not only here but many areas around the globe. That means yields are heading higher and right now, persistently higher. For example: Germany’s 10 year at a 15 year high. Japan 2 year at a 31 year high. The 10 year hit 3% for 1st time since 1996. France 10 year yield an 18 year high. When one has a chance, take a gander at other countries.
EASY MONEY, GOLD, CRYPTO, TARIFFS AND MORE
Leaked: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent could tap into Treasury’s $1 trillion General Account to buy back bonds! So yields down this morning. He tried something last week with yields selling down for one day and turned right back up. Hey…let’s double down. No. Let’s $1 trillion down! Let us be quite blunt! If you wanted another big dose of inflation, this is how you do it. We thought we got rid of Jay Powell. This takes us to GOLD and CRYPTO.
NOT SO THRILLING RANDOM THOUGHTS
“If Space X was selling pipes, the IPO would have come out at $13.50!” That has been our quote before the IPO and after and that would still give it a $177 billion market cap which would have been almost 10x sales. 10x sales is still very expensive. We said this knowing or at least thinking their growth would be very strong going forward.
NOTES - Gary K
As we stated, most often, the day after the fed day will reverse. As we write this, the NASDAQ 100 which was down 297 today…is close to being even for the day. Before the deluge, they are all over SEMIS and AI stuff. They are all over the SEMIS and AI stuff in after hours. Names from Friday strong in after hours. Usual suspects. No…had no inclination to be a hero late. If nothing changes, NDX up 290 of the 297 loss right now. Interesting times. Will be up early to see where things open.
RADIO SHOW 6/17- THE NEW FED GUY
RADIO SHOW 6/17- THE NEW FED GUY ByGary Kaltbaum June 17, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/16- SPACE X- A MOMENT?
RADIO SHOW 6/16- SPACE X- A MOMENT? ByGary Kaltbaum June 16, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/15- THE BIG GAP
RADIO SHOW 6/15- THE BIG GAP ByGary Kaltbaum June 15, 2026
RULES OF SOCIALISTS AND MARXISTS
While we are watching Bernie, Elizabeth, AOC and a few other socialists and Marxist control freaks having freakouts over Elon and his trillions, we figured it was time to again roll out the rules of these people. Socialists and Marxists loathe wealth and success because they know wealth and success do not need socialists and Marxists. You will never hear the words wealth, success or upward mobility from socialists and Marxists. Those words are their enemy.
RADIO SHOW 6/12- SPACE X
RADIO SHOW 6/12- SPACE X ByGary Kaltbaum June 12, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/11- VERTIGO
RADIO SHOW 6/11- VERTIGO ByGary Kaltbaum June 11, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/10- OOPS
RADIO SHOW 6/10- OOPS ByGary Kaltbaum June 10, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/9- SHAKEN
RADIO SHOW 6/9- SHAKEN ByGary Kaltbaum June 10, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/8- BOUNCE
RADIO SHOW 6/8- BOUNCE ByGary Kaltbaum June 8, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/5- HARROWING FRIDAY
RADIO SHOW 6/5- HARROWING FRIDAY ByGary Kaltbaum June 5, 2026
SCREW YOU DEMOCRATIC LEADERSHIP
Screw you Democratic leadership! Everyone pretty much knows I can’t stand anybody in Washington DC. Everyone pretty much knows how sick and tired I am of all the BS that is spewed by both sides of the aisle. This comes from the top down. Everyone knows that we’re now going to be at $40 trillion of debt at any moment brought to you by both parties. Everyone knows about the self dealing insider trading. No love for any.
RADIO SHOW 6/4- THE DOW
RADIO SHOW 6/4- THE DOW ByGary Kaltbaum June 5, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/3- STILL SEMIS
RADIO SHOW 6/3- STILL SEMIS ByGary Kaltbaum June 3, 2026
RADIO SHOW 6/1- BIG MOVE SOFTWARE
RADIO SHOW 6/1- BIG MOVE SOFTWARE ByGary Kaltbaum June 1, 2026
RADIO SHOW WEEKEND- SOFTWARE TIME
RADIO SHOW WEEKEND- SOFTWARE TIME ByGary Kaltbaum May 31, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/28- 60 DAYS
RADIO SHOW 5/28- 60 DAYS ByGary Kaltbaum May 28, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/27- OIL DUMP
RADIO SHOW 5/27- OIL DUMP ByGary Kaltbaum May 27, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/26- UNREAL SEMICONDUCTORS
RADIO SHOW 5/26- UNREAL SEMICONDUCTORS ByGary Kaltbaum May 26, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/22- WEEK IN REVIEW
RADIO SHOW 5/22- WEEK IN REVIEW ByGary Kaltbaum May 22, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/22- NEWS DRIVEN
RADIO SHOW 5/22- NEWS DRIVEN ByGary Kaltbaum May 22, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/20- AS OIL GOES
RADIO SHOW 5/20- AS OIL GOES ByGary Kaltbaum May 20, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/18- FLIP FLOP
RADIO SHOW 5/18- FLIP FLOP ByGary Kaltbaum May 19, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/15- WEEK IN REVIEW
RADIO SHOW 5/15- WEEK IN REVIEW ByGary Kaltbaum May 15, 2026
YIELDS - Gary K
YIELDS ByGary Kaltbaum May 15, 2026 Yields are breaking out to the upside. Watch them yields! The higher, the ——!
RADIO SHOW 5/14- CHINA
RADIO SHOW 5/14- CHINA ByGary Kaltbaum May 14, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/13- SEMIS/AI WOW
RADIO SHOW 5/13- SEMIS/AI WOW ByGary Kaltbaum May 13, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/12- FLIP FLOP
RADIO SHOW 5/12- FLIP FLOP ByGary Kaltbaum May 12, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/11- THE CONSUMER
RADIO SHOW 5/11- THE CONSUMER ByGary Kaltbaum May 11, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/6- PERSISTENCE
RADIO SHOW 5/6- PERSISTENCE ByGary Kaltbaum May 6, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/5- 1999
RADIO SHOW 5/5- 1999 ByGary Kaltbaum May 5, 2026
RADIO SHOW 5/1- SPIRIT AIR
RADIO SHOW 5/1- SPIRIT AIR ByGary Kaltbaum May 2, 2026
RADIO SHOW 4/30- ANOTHER MOVE?
RADIO SHOW 4/30- ANOTHER MOVE? ByGary Kaltbaum May 1, 2026
RADIO SHOW 4/29- ABOLISH THE FED
RADIO SHOW 4/29- ABOLISH THE FED ByGary Kaltbaum April 29, 2026
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