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Pound Tumbles Amid Brexit Chaos, "Headline Havoc"
Cable traders are suffering through a news overload this morning, with the optimism and euphoria which sent the pound to two month highs as recently as 2 days ago fading fast on speculation whether UK PM Theresa May will be able to engineer a Brexit breakthrough in time. And following overnight speculation that her cabinet may revolt, and what one desk dubbed "headline havoc" this morning in which DUP sources saying that there will be no deal this week, it’s looking increasingly in jeopardy.
Bannon In Jeopardy: Trump Suspects Key Advisor Is Source Of Leaks
As special counsel Mueller's probe into Trump's "Russian collusion" allegations expands to include virtually all financial affairs of the president, Trump's own "witch hunt" for the source of White House leaks - so far unsuccessful - is likewise growing, and just weeks after Trump removed one of his two original advisors when he sacked Reince Priebus, overnight Axios' Jonathan Swan reports that Trump has told associates that "he believes Steve Bannon is behind damaging leaks about White House...
Russia Reveals First Pics Of Top-Secret Arctic Base Filled With Reindeer-Riding Special Forces
After an 'icy' (pardon the pun) meeting between Rex Tillerson and Russia Foreign Secretary Sergei Lavrov last week in Moscow, Vladimir Putin has just released the first public photos of a giant, top-secret military base recently built on the arctic island of "Alexandra Land." According to media reports, the base is believed to be fully-armed with missile systems and nuclear-ready fighter jets. A virtual tour of the facility can be viewed here.
Caught On Tape: Did The US Target Syrian Aid Convoy With Hellfire Missile?
Via Signs Of The Times blog, Hellfire Signature? Footage of the nighttime attack on the Syrian aid convoy in Aleppo has surfaced. But there's something curious about how the footage has been appearing on Western news reports. A commenter on the Moon of Alabama blog, PavewayIV, made the following observations about what appears in the video, and what it suggests.
Trump Campaign Responds To "Absurd" Melania Plagiarism Accusations
With the media closely following the latest Trump campaign snafu, the previously reported accusation that Melania Trump had plagiarized parts of Michelle Obama's 2008 convention speech, many were curious to see how the Trump would respond.
"Whatever It Takes" Has Failed - European Economic Confidence Crashes To 4-Year Lows
If the premise of central-banking largesse is to maintain (or inspire) economic confidence, then Mario Draghi's smoke and mirrors have officially failed. This morning's ZEW data on German and European Consumer confidence is a disaster. Both the current situation and expectations for Germany tumbled but most worryingly, the 'hope' for European economic growth has crashed to its lowest since Draghi promised to do "whatever it takes" in the summer of 2012.
"Black Power" Movement To Come Armed To Republican Convention
When last night we previewed next week's Republican National Convention, we noted the concern by one of the republicans who will actually participate: "one senior Republican National Committee official wrote that he is “concerned as heck about the potential for some homegrown violence/native ISIS type threat.
EIA Report Analysis 7-13-2016 (Video)
Spreading Democra ... (cough) ... Terrorism and Fundamentalist Islam His car prices are insane! When the banks have collapsed and the people are starving, the people will turn to whatever fairy tale is promised as a solution.
Only 15% Of S&P Names Are Making New Highs
"Everything is awesome" is the new narrative. How can it not be with stocks at record highs (just like they were in 2007 after Bear Stearsn liquidated two funds)? The only problem is, only 15% of S&P 500 members are at 52-week highs - less than half the 40% of names at a peak when the S&P 500 first breached 2007's record high in 2013.
Alan "Bubbles" Greenspan Returns To Gold
Authored by Bonner & Partners' Bill Bonner (annotated by Acting-Man's Pater Tenebrarum), Faking It Under a gold standard, the amount of credit that an economy can support is determined by the economy’s tangible assets, since every credit instrument is ultimately a claim on some tangible asset. […] The abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to use the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion of credit.
ISIS Releases Footage Of Russian Helicopter Shot Down Over Syria; Two Pilots Killed
Eight months after a Russian fighter jet was downed over Syria by Turkish forces alleging the Su-24 had crossed into the country's air territory on November 24, Russia suffered another major casualty in its ongoing air campaign against the Islamic State when on Friday ISIS militants shot down a military Mi-25 helicopter near Palmyra in Syria, killing two Russian pilots on board, Interfax news agency said, quoting Russia's defense ministry.
Goldman Now Sees A Two-Thirds Chance Of A Rate Hike In 2016
US employment growth rebounded sharply in June, according to Goldman's Jan Hatzius, and as a result, the bank confirms their expectation of about a two-thirds chance that the FOMC will raise rates this year, most likely in December... notably different from market expectations. MAIN POINTS: 1. Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 287k in June, a sharp rebound from a downward revised 11k rise in May. Net revisions for the prior two months totaled -6k.
A Nation Run by Idiots?
Authored by 'Ray' via The Burning Platform blog, If plastic water bottles are okay, but plastic bags are banned, — you might live in a nation (state) that was founded by geniuses but is run by idiots. If you can get arrested for hunting or fishing without a license, but not for entering and remaining in the country illegally — you might live in a nation that was founded by geniuses but is run by idiots.
Caught On Tape: US Destroyer Comes 'Dangerously Close' To Russian Patrol Boat In The Med
Another day, another report of a US encounter with Russia - it is certainly becoming a routine event. In a statement made on Tuesday, the USS Gravely approached the Yaroslav Mudry, a Russian frigate, on June 17, passing at a distance of 55 meters (180ft), the Defense Ministry said in a statement. The US guided-missile destroyer Gravely breached international safety rules by coming withing dangerous proximity of the Yaroslav Mudry in the eastern Mediterranean, the Russian Defense Ministry said.
MythBusted - Rising "Not In Labor Force" Only Partly Due To Retiring Boomers
Submitted by Chris Hamilton via Economica blog, Conventional wisdom has it that the fast rise of the "not in labor force" since 2000 is due to 55+yr/old baby boomers moving into retirement. The answer to this question... sorta yes and sorta no. First, what is "not in labor force"? The labor force is made up of the employed and the unemployed, 16 years old or older. The remainder—those who have no job and are not looking for one—are counted as "not in the labor force".
Clinton's Plan For Millennials: Loan Forgiveness
If Bernie Sanders and his supporters are still waiting to see whether or not Hillary Clinton is willing to move far enough left on some issues, the release of Clinton's Tech & Innovation Agenda yesterday should make everyone a little bit less concerned. According to the Clinton campaign website, Hillary's Tech & Innovation Agenda has five key parts, much of which Clinton has touched on in the past.
Gun Salesman-In-Chief: 52,600 Weapons Sold Daily Under Obama Admin
The Obama administration’s pro-gun control stance has done nothing but make the gun culture stronger and cause firearms arms to fly off gun store shelves. As PlanetFreeWill's Joseph Jankowski notes, under Obama, background checks for guns reached 141.4 million through the end of May, amounting to sales of about 52,600 a day, according to the FBI... And 2016 is on pace to surpass last year’s record. In the wake of the Orlando shooting, we noted that guns were flying off the shelves at gun stores.
Americans Are Now The Top Silver Investors In The World
By the SRSrocco Report, According to the figures in the 2016 World Silver Survey, Americans now lead the world in physical silver investment. This is quite an interesting change as India has been the number one market for silver bar demand in the past. For example, Indians purchased more than 100 million oz (Moz) of silver bar in 2008 of the approximate world total of 125 Moz. However, silver bar demand is only one segment of total global physical silver investment.
S&P Futures Halted Limit Down As VIX Spikes Above 26
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Frontrunning: June 20
Britain's rival EU camps resume campaign as polls show momentum for 'In' (Reuters) Britain's 'In' campaign wins more support, buoys markets (Reuters) Brexit Campaigners Are Deceiving Voters, Cameron Says (BBG) German trade body lowers export forecast: 'Brexit is poison' (Reuters) Beyond the Turmoil, Central Bankers Dread Brexit’s Shadow (BBG) With oil price near $50, resilient U.S. shale producers eye new chapter (Reuters) In the Birthplace of U.S. Oil, Methane Gas Is Leaking Everywhere (BBG)...
The PhD Bubble Has Burst: Graduating 'Doctors' Are Having Trouble Finding Work
Spending nearly a decade in college, racking up significant amounts of debt, and emerging with that coveted PhD designation isn't what it used to be... in fact it is safe to say the PhD bubble has burst. The percentage of new doctorate recipients without jobs or plans for future study climbed to 39% in 2014, up from 31% in 2009 according to a National Science Foundation survey.
If It Seems Too Good To Be True...
By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at When my children were born I watched mesmerized as my wife did what countless women before her had done. The physical act of giving birth must be quite simply one of the most painful experiences known to man. Or in this case to women. For some women, childbirth can go on for literally days. And when the baby finally comes, sometimes it’s so bad they have to bring out those salad tongs to help the process along.
"We Have Reached The Point That Keynes Warned Of In His General Theory"
Now that new warnings about failing central bank policy are emerging every single day, from Deutsche Bank, Citigroup and Bank of America, among others, here courtesy of Bloomberg's Christopher Maloney is a brand new one, one which take a different angle, and suggests that none other than Keynes predicted just the outcome that the world finds itself in right now.
Smith & Wesson Revenues Hit All Time High, Up 200% Since Obama Election
Moments ago, America's legendary gun company reported Q4 earnings which, not surprisingly, beat estimate on the top and bottom line, reporting EPS of $0.66, far above the $0.54 expected, on revenue of $221.1 million, $7 million higher than consensus had expected. The stock, while not at its all time high which it hit earlier this year, is surging on the results, however, it was the tremendous topline growth in revenue that has to be seen to be believed.
CLuB BiLDeRBeRG...
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Caught On Tape: The Day The Teleprompter Died...
Remembering The Greatest NeoCon knockout punch of all time.
Massive Suicide Bomb Attack Near US Embassy In Afghanistan Kills Over 28, Injures Hundreds
A massive Taliban suicide bomb as well as a gun attack on a government security office in central Kabul near the US embassy during rush hour on Tuesday killed at least 28 people and wounded more than 320 in Afghanistan earlier today, a week after the militant group announced a spring offensive. President Ashraf Ghani condemned the assault "in the strongest possible terms" in a statement from the presidential palace, only a few hundred meters away from the scene of the blast in the Afghan capital.
Global Markets, S&P500 Futures Fall After Brussels Suicide Bombings
This morning's Brussels suicide attacks have led to risk-off sentiment across European asset classes, with Bunds higher and equities firmly in the red, although if the Paris terrorist attacks of November are any indication, today's tragic events may be just the catalyst the S&P500 needs to surge back to all time highs. FX markets have also been dominated by events in Brussels, with USD and JPY strengthening, while EUR and GBP softening throughout the European morning.
Copying Japan: the Big Banks Confess
Hold your real assets outside of the banking system in one of many private international facilities --> http://www.321gold.com/info/053015_sprott.html Back at the end of 2008, Western central banks (led by the Federal Reserve) embarked upon the most radical, extreme, and simply insane monetary policies ever contemplated in our modern economic era as a supposed response to the Crash of ‘08. Zero-percent interest rates. “Quantitative easing.” Hyper-inflationary levels of money printing.
BOJ Intervenes After USDJPY Plunges To QQE2 Lows, Nikkei Crashes 700 Points
Nikkei futures rallied post-Fed into the Japaense open (despite weakness in USDJPY) and then when trade data struck (and exposed the utter failure of competitive devaluation), everything went into freefall. The Nikkei crashed 700 points and USDJPY plunged to its lowest since QQE2... and then - on cue - "someone" started panic selling JPY... And just as USDJPY hit QQE2 lows - so someone stepped in large... Which juiced NKY back up...
The New "Big Short"? - Australia's Housing Bubble Is "In the Grip Of Insanity"
We haven’t written about Australia’s residential real estate bubble for some time (readers may want to check out last year’s post “Australia’s Bubble Trouble”, which contains numerous relevant charts and data). Our friend Jonathan Tepper of Variant Perception has recently visited Australia for a fact-finding tour (more on this further below), so we felt we might as well take the opportunity to write an update on the topic. House prices in Sidney vs.
"What The Hell Is Going On?"
The last few days have been "odd" according to one veteran trader and today's moves, with USDJPY plunging, S&P 'steady', and XIV (the inverse VIX ETF soaring) left the same trader exclaiming "what the hell is going on?" More unwinds from equity market-neutral funds? OPEX impacts? Or just the death-throes of a Fed-fueled market gasping its last breaths... The chaos in equity market-neutral funds continues with weak/strong momo stocks extremely volatile this week...
Apple Analysis (Video)
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Where Is The Outrage: With Shkreli Under House Arrest, Drug Prices Are Still Soaring
Last September, when Martin Shkreli was doing his best to become the "most hated person in America" with his highly profiled 5000% price increase of a Turing Pharma toxoplasmosis drug, in an article titled "Dear Martin Shkreli: This Is How You Hike Drug Prices" we said hate him if you must, but not for his price hiking practices for one simple reason: everyone else does that.
FBI Releases Video Of Shooting Death Of Oregon Occupier
On Tuesday, the FBI and state troopers arrested Ammon Bundy, his brother Ryan, and several others on their way to a speaking event some 20 miles north of Burns, Oregon. Robert “LaVoy” Finicum - the self-styled “spokesperson” for the militiamen occupying the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge - was shot and killed by authorities in the arrests. In the wake of Finicum’s death there were conflicting accounts as to what exactly led police to shoot the 55-year-old Arizona rancher.
Gundlach Slams Yellen: "The Market Will Humiliate You"
In just 44 somewhat anger-and-frustration-filled seconds, DoubleLine's bond guru Jeffrey Gundlach unleashes some very uncomfortable truths on Janet Yellen and the "idiots" at The Fed... "they have got to dial this [hawkish] rhetoric back or the markets are going to humiliate them." Gundlach slams the #Fed – here’s are his shocking comments https://t.co/epPyuSdKp5 Some would argue that has already begun...
Renault Plunges 20% After French Authorities Raid Offices In Apparent Emissions Probe
Don’t look now, but Renault may be pulling a Volkswagen. The French company’s shares fell by as much as 23% on Thursday after an apparent raid on what a union official described as “sites that have to do with standards testing and engine certification.” Earlier, AFP reported that the agents from the fraud office of France’s Economy Ministry visited the sites last week seizing computers as part of an apparent probe into emissions testing.
Bank Of America Is "Confused" Why Retail Spending Refuses To Pick Up
One month ago, when looking at the latest Bank of America credit and debit card spending data, we presented something that the retailers knew all too well: US retail spending was plunging: "in today's follow up report BofA reveals that if one goes off actual credit card spending - which conveniently resolves the debate if one spends online or in brick and mortar stores as it is all funded by the same credit card - the picture is even more dire.
Goldman Closes "Top Trade For 2016" With 5.4% Loss Just 11 Days Into 2016, As US Banks Tumble
Less than two months ago, on November 19, Goldman released its list of top trades for 2016, #1 of which was the infamous long USDJPY, short EURUSD equial-weighted basket which has led to massive losses for anyone who had put it on. At the current rate of carry trade unwinds, we expect that trade will be closed out shortly, and may have been overnight when the USDJPY plunged to the lowest since the ETFlash crash.
Man Who Stormed Paris Police Station With Meat Cleaver Tied To German Sex Attacks
The “Iron Chancellor” was already under intense pressure to effectively repeal Germany’s open-door policy on Mid-East refugees after attacks in Paris left 130 dead and a bomb scare in Hannover forced the evacuation of two soccer stadiums. Then, on New Year’s Eve, hundreds of men purportedly of “Arab origin” sexually assaulted women gathered in Cologne’s city center in what has been variously described as a premeditated mass attack.
THe PeoPLe'S Plunge PRoTeCTioN TeaM...
Many were excited on Thursday to see a spike in the silver price. We were not quite so exuberant, and in 13 hours the market took back the entire move and more.
Industrial Recession Now Inevitable As Manufacturing ISM Worst In Six Years
Following China's disappointing drop in Manufacturing PMI overnight, this morning started off poorly with Canada's PMI crashing to its lowest reading since records began at 47.5. Then US Manufacturing PMI tumbled to 51.2 - its lowest print since October 2012 (with US factory orders collapsing to weakest since 2009).
12,000 Oil Tanker Trucks Parked At Iraq-Turkey Border Aren't Carrying ISIS Crude, Kurds Swear
In our classic piece “ISIS Oil Trade Full Frontal: "Raqqa's Rockefellers", Bilal Erdogan, KRG Crude, And The Israel Connection,” we discussed how Masoud Barzani and the Iraqi Kurds transport some 600,000 b/d of crude to the Turkish port of Ceyhan in defiance of SOMO amid an ongoing budget dispute between Baghdad and Erbil.
Which Assets Have Priced In A Chinese Economic Collapse? Barclays Explains
On August 11, the day Beijing shocked the world by devaluing the yuan, a whole host of commentators suggested that the move was designed to bolster China’s bid for SDR inclusion. To be sure, the timing would have been right.
German Soccer Stadium Evacuated, Subway Stations Closed After Ambulance Full Of Explosives Reportedly Discovered
Four days after the terrorist attacks in Paris was canceled shortly before the scheduled kick-off in Hannover the international football match between Germany and the Netherlands. According to information from the local paper, an ambulance has been discovered with explosives. In the field of the stadium in Hanover is a so-called troublemaker have been seen, which is known to the authorities.
Volkswagen Tumbles Again As Emissions Scandal Deepens, Gas Engines Dragged In: Wall Street's Reaction
The thing about sweeping corporate scandals is that once you start finding out where all the bodies are buried you usually discover that whatever event or revelation served as the impetus for the investigation was in fact just the tip of the proverbial iceberg.
White House Press Briefing - Live Feed
It appears President Obama, not wanting to provide every alternative-media site with a perfect 'compare and contrast' from September 2014's "putting U.S. troops on the ground would be a profound mistake," has handed the responsibility for announcing American "boots on the ground" in Syria to his Press Secretary. "If you like your boots on the ground, well, you can keep them.. in Syria." Presenting with minimal commentary (details are here), a gentle reminder from the not so disant past...
Yuan Soars Most In A Decade As China Moves To Relax Capital Controls
Just two days ago, we took another look at the various means by which Chinese citizens circumvent Beijing’s capital controls. As a reminder, Chinese are only allowed to move up to $50,000 from the country in any given year, presenting a problem for anyone trying to dodge an export-boosting, double-digit deval or for anyone just trying to smuggle a few million out to buy an overpriced penthouse in Manhattan.
Caught On Tape: Furious French Workers Attack Air France Executives, Rip Their Clothes Off
Earlier today amid the general gloom of Europe's sliding non-manufacturing PMIs, the one place that stood out like a sore thumb bucking the deteriorating trend, was France which not only posted an increase from August but also beat expectations.
Lord Of The Flies: Dystopia Is Arriving
Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – zero – Voltaire I was driving around Denver yesterday doing my “boots on the ground” due diligence scouting of the local housing market. I continue to see some “sold” and “under contract” signs but I’m seeing a pile-up forming in new “for sale,” “price reduced,” and “for rent” signs. The traffic update on the sports radio reported a back-up at an intersection in Denver caused by a fist-fight that had broken out between two drivers.
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