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Articles by Greg Diamond
Greg’s Mostly Concurring (and Loquacious), Endorsement Post
I have had a hell of a disastrous year when it comes to blogging availability. I was not able to contribute effectively to Vern’s “official” endorsements. But I’ve read and enjoyed Vern’s take! There are just a few places where I disagree, and there are others where I want to underline Vern’s thinking in more controversial areas. (Vote for a registered Republican for Lieutenant Governor???
You Have to Know When to 'Hold' Them
Doc's note: This week, I'm in Las Vegas for the Stansberry Research Conference & Alliance Meeting. That means it's a great time to share this classic essay from my colleague and Ten Stock Trader editor Greg Diamond, which we last published in March 2025... If you approach investing like gambling, you're doing it wrong. In this issue, Greg shares two insights from a professional gambler that can help you avoid the pitfalls of the poker table and manage your risk.
Diamond on Becerra and the Wealth Tax (Prop. 40)
Democratic candidate for governor Xavier Becerra reiterated his opposition Friday to a proposed wealth tax on billionaires… Becerra didn’t give a reason for his opposition to Prop. 40, the proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires; he told Politico in January it was “sketchy policy” without elaborating on why.
Mitch’s Brew: How long can McConnell stay Schrödinger’s Senator?
cartoon taken off Instagram On Sunday Michael J. Tallon had this to say: I don’t think Mitch McConnell is dead. I think he is incapacitated, possibly in a coma or otherwise fully unable to perform his duties as a Senator – and here’s why. First, remember: Washington is filled with lawyers and the personally risk-averse. Most are willing to gamble with your wealth and freedom, but they are far more judicious when faced with risking their own.
World Cup: FIFA, Balogun & Trump
FIFA’s decision to defer Balogun’s punishment at Trump’s request is terrible, mostly because it places an asterisk on the USMNT’s accomplishments if they beat Belgium — and indeed however far they go. We will never know if we succeeded only because FIFA was bribing Trump for a peaceful event. And frankly, that’s the way Trump likes things: winning becomes a testament to his own power and influence, and he doesn’t really care for fair competitions anyway. To him, they miss the point.
Greg: Becerra vs. Steyer on the Environment
Tom Steyer was recently asked by his biggest environmental supporter what his climate change policy was. His reported answer: “Make polluters pay. Center environmental justice. Clean is cheap, [so] deploy clean energy everywhere.” And then one more line that we’ll get to momentarily. It’s a good, if incomplete, approach. My question is: Do you really think that Becerra would disagree with any of that? It seems pretty similar to things he’s tried to do and proposed.
Greg for Becerra: Chevron & Climate Change
This post is about climate change policy and why Tom Steyer supporters have things backwards and his prime opponent, Xavier Becerra, has things right. Let’s begin with California’s outsized role in national *and* world politics. Our successes are emulated. But our failures can become disasters — because if WE can’t achieve something, how can less wealthy and influential polities be expected to do it?
Swalwell Implodes Into Geyser of Toxic Waste; What Now?
Aggregate polling results from day that Eric Swalwell’s sexual harassment accusations were confirmed, from 270toWin.com. Republicans shaded in orange, Swalwell in baby blue, other Democrats in green, Others in gray. Yes, the same information is posted three times, because it’s that important! (Also it fits the dimensions of our graphics.) Over the weekend, news spread (at least among political activists) that long-awaited accusations that Rep.
Top2 #3: Spring Sprang; GOP Trap Sprung?
Do click https://www.270towin.com/2026-governor-polls/california#google_vignette for raw poll results! Top2 #1 is here; Top2 #2 is here [Initial note: I re-read the fine print and realized that the above link will factor in as many as five different polls from separate pollsters, so Chad Bianco’s weirdly high result in one poll remains on the list until they poll again or someone new knocks them off. Regardless, that poll is a month old — and stale.
Top Two ‘Ides of March’ Update: Bianco Going Stale?
This post continues a discussion that began here about the contentious, and potentially disastrous, primary for California Governor. Republicans have finally figured out how to take advantage of the peculiarities of the Top Two primary system, including monomaniacal pursuit of self-interest by Democrats, and are poised to possibly freeze all Democratic candidates out of the runoff in the general election this fall, in which the Top Two vote recipients, regardless of party, will compete.
The Only Investing Goal That Matters
Doc's note: Human nature is one of the biggest drivers of what happens in the stock market... For example, when folks get fearful, we see massive sell-offs. But today, as Greg Diamond – editor of Ten Stock Trader – explains, you can use human nature to help you gain an investing edge and hit the only goal of investing that matters... "Human nature never changes..." "History repeats itself..." These adages stick around because they're true. They even apply to the market...
You Have to Know When to 'Hold' Them
My college roommate, Steve O'Dwyer, is one of the best poker players on Earth. His career earnings in the card game surpass $45 million. When poker became popular enough to be broadcast on ESPN more than 20 years ago, he and I got hooked... We'd play $5 "hands" on Thursday nights on the East Carolina University campus. Now, while I enjoyed the game, Steve took things to an entirely different level.
Your Mindset Can Make or Break Your Trading Career
Editor's note: You could be the limiting factor for your portfolio... Some folks think they can grow their wealth if they simply know which stocks to buy. But when things go south, they lose their resolve and get out for good. According to Ten Stock Trader editor Greg Diamond, having the right mentality can help mitigate risks and help you bounce back after a sour trade.
The Trading Lesson That Changed My Career
Editor’s note: Finding great businesses with stable histories is important. But understanding patterns in price movements could be the most important lesson in the market. In this issue, Ten Stock Trader Editor Greg Diamond explains how his trading method caught the market crash in 2020 before the first leg lower… and how understanding the past can lead to profits in the future. “I’ll give you $1,000 if you burn that book right now.” I was 22.
The Trading Lesson That Changed My Career
"I'll give you $1,000 if you burn that book right now." I was 22. Sitting at my desk, I was lost in my reading – studying for my Chartered Financial Analyst ("CFA") exam. Just a few weeks earlier, I had started working at a hedge fund. My boss had trained under a trading legend. It was a huge opportunity to work with him. I was excited, but aware of the pressure. I wanted to learn as much as I could as quickly as possible. But I was startled when my boss walked up and told me to burn my book.
The Silver Lining of the Software Sell-Off
"Never play macho man with the market." Paul Tudor Jones learned that the hard way... In 1979, the legendary trader lost 70% of his clients' equity on a single trade. He got overly aggressive with a bid in the cotton market. But that early failure fueled his later successes. It also inspired some contrarian viewpoints... For one, Jones found that strong markets are often the best times to sell. The recent "SaaSpocalypse" may be showing us the opposite... There's opportunity to buy in weak markets.
Top-Twopocalypse Day Arrives for Democrats
Top-Tupac-alypse! Get it? No? Ok. Also pictured: Chad Bianco, top left; Steve Hilton, top right; Col. Kurtz, bottom left, and I think that’s Eric Swalwell, bottom right. I’ve decided that I should admit my own bias about what I want in a Governor here at the top.
Trading Goals Every Investor Should Have
Doc's note: Ask an investor why they invest and they'll probably give you a simple answer… To make money. But just having a goal to make money doesn't mean you'll succeed. That's especially true during times of wild market swings as we're seeing today. As Greg Diamond – editor of Ten Stock Trader – explains, if you want to ensure success, there are two other goals you need to have... Many traders fail over the long term for one major reason... They don't have strategic trading goals.
A Major Move Is Brewing
The U.S. stock market has entered a period of uncertainty... It fell slightly after the bombing of Iran on February 28. But the market's "support" levels are still holding – for now. Importantly, I see some promising setups forming. Whatever the catalyst – whether it's turmoil in Iran or something else – I'm not concerned with the why behind market moves. All I care about is how we can capitalize on them.
How to Invest With the Power of Human Nature
Editor's Note: The markets, like humans, can be predictable... While not identical, market swings have patterns... And if you know how to analyze them, you can identify where things are likely headed next. In today's Masters series, adapted from the March 14, 2025 issue of DailyWealth, Ten Stock Trader editor Greg Diamond explains how technical analysis revealed patterns that helped warn of the 2007 financial crisis – and how it can identify future crashes...
You Have to Know When to 'Hold' Them
Editor's note: The key to successful trading isn't constant action... It's discipline. Markets tempt investors to overtrade, chase excitement, and abandon strategy. But as Ten Stock Trader Editor Greg Diamond explains, lasting success comes with patience. In this issue, Greg explains a few lessons he learned around poker tables that can help investors avoid gambling with their portfolios... My college roommate is one of the best poker players on Earth.
One by One, the 'Generals' Are Falling
When the Zweig Forecast and Professional Tape Reader newsletters launched in the 1980s, subscribers couldn't read them on a website. They had to pick up the phone. Financiers Martin Zweig and Stan Weinstein would record their latest market findings. And investors would call in on Friday afternoons to listen to the tapes. These were the early days of technical analysis. While technology has come a long way since then, some of Zweig and Weinstein's insights live on...
OJB’s First 2026 Endorsement: Mark Newgent in TX-3
This is intended not only for my local audience, but also for the Democratic residents of Texas’s third Congressional District, a mere 1449 or so miles from me. (21 hours and 38 minutes, though I could save 7 minutes through a toll road.) If you think you know anyone in this district — I believe that Plano, Allen, and McKinney are the largest cities — then please send this to them or someone who knows them so that they will see it before they vote in-person tomorrow.
CDP Platform Urges Just Middle East Peace!
Well, here’s a pleasant surprise! (Its publication here is largely swiped from a Facebook post by Kev Abazajian; I can’t get a usable direct link, but you can find it through his Facebook feed.
“Turn Off Your Phone’s Face ID!” NoKings Tips
We don’t NidNoking! Nidoking is a Poison type! See you Saturday! The most important non-obvious thing I’ve learned ahead of tomorrow’s No Kings Day rallies is this: For tomorrow, at least, you don’t want to get ICE Agents, fake ICE Agents, or others to get into your phone — and the wealth of information it contains about you simply by holding it up to your face. If you have an iPhone, go to “Face ID & Passcode” and turn off “iPhone unlock.” I’m disabling a few others as well, just in case.
Chumley Tries to Confuse Melahat’s Judge. UPDATE – he gives her SIX MONTHS in jail.
At left, Chumley; At right, Melahat’s flex: clockwise from Hillary Clinton, not-yet-disgraced Melahat Rafiei, Jordan Brandman, squeezed-in consultant George Urch, and Jose “Olio” Solorio. I’m reproducing Chumley’s Illiberal OC’s post from yesterday, with my comments in italic, in full for purposes of criticism and rebuttal. Each point gets its own number to facilitate further discussion. “As much as I hate nitpicking,” GAD: Dan does not hate nitpicking at all.
Why Is Pam Bondi’s DOJ Indulging Melahat?
I often unfold a story by writing slowly so you can follow my reasoning without spoiling the surprise payoff. Not this time. If Melahat Rafiei gets the plea deal that both her lawyers and the DOJ’s lawyers propose, she will become the instrument of Pam Bondi, who will control her fate with the threat to void her plea agreement. Melahat will use her cunning, charm, and craft to serve as a semi-undercover agent of espionage, sabotage, and havoc on behalf of the Trump Administration.
Is Orange County Soft on Political Corruption?
OC District Attorney Todd Spitzer famously (and obnoxiously) ran for reelection on a platform of “NoLAinOC”. (I think I’ve missed a hashtag there.) I was offended at that at the time, as it seemed to champion the sort of lawbreaking in policing that LA’s former DA was trying to stanch. But now I think that maybe Spitzer had a point.
Is Valerie Amezcua Still “Smart?”
Santa Ana’s worst (though also second-best) Mayor since the quarter-century of Miguel Pulido, Valerie Amezcua, recently celebrated her own smartitude by counseling that when bad people are coming for you the best thing to do is to keep your head low and hope that they home in on one of the other tasty nuggets in the flock.
NYT’s David Brooks Botched His ‘Tyrants’ Analogy
I’m trying to scale back my coverage of national and international politics recently because I get apoplectic, but I’m making an exception for a small opinion piece in last Thursday’s New York Times. I’m also presenting you with a gift article containing it. It’s called Trump’s “Single Stroke of Brilliance.” It’s by mostly anti-MAGA conservative and longtime columnist David Brooks.
Judge Jeffrey Ferguson Guilty of Second-Degree Murder.
A jury has found Judge Jeffrey Ferguson, 74, guilty of second-degree murder, for the drunken fatal shooting of his wife in Anaheim Hills two years ago. Sentencing is scheduled June 13, and hopefully until that time he is kept somewhere where he cannot harm himself or others, especially with firearms. I think that my advice for the Judge to try to negotiate it down to voluntary manslaughter looks pretty good.
Palm Sunday, Vonnegut, & Facetious Jesus
[Originally posted on this site on April 2, 2023, and it may be returned there soon] I published a piece on the title essay from Kurt Vonnegut’s book “Palm Sunday” in Daily Kos during the first week of April, 2007; I did so again in 2009. But I don’t think I’ve ever done so here.
We Have Not Earned a Happy Passover This Year
I come from a long and great cultural tradition of cosmopolitan left-liberal Jews: leaders in natural science, social science, literature, the arts, philosophy, and human rights. I identify this tradition with serving God, however conceived — or at least serving “godliness” and goodness. My flavor of Judaism — agnostic and steeped in ethics and consideration for others in the present, from the past, and the uncertain future — as legitimate as any other.
Anaheist: Decoding Sidhu’s 2022 Self-Exoneration Letter
And oh, how they laughed! But who will laugh last? Mayor Harry Sidhu is now just plain old Target of FBI Investigation Sidhu, allegedly smart businessman, after resigning today with the protestations of innocence and unjust persecution that we’ve already seen from Melahat Rafiei.
‘Jailhouse Snitch’ Litigation Dropped — But Not Over? | Orange Juice Blog
Something seems fishy and incomplete in Tony Saavedra‘s story in the Register this afternoon this Tuesday afternoon: “ACLU drops jailhouse informant lawsuit against OC Sheriff’s Department“. When I read that, my heart dropped. The explanation boosted me a little — the ACLU rep, Summer Lacey, says that it looks like the Sheriff’s Department has cleaned up its act re jailhouse informants and agreed to provisions to prevent recurrence of these issues.
"Human nature never changes..." "History repeats itself..." These adages stick around because they're true. They even apply to the market. Market swings are nothing more than the graphic representation of human behavior... expressed on a chart of buyers and sellers. And this market behavior tends to repeat. That's how technical analysis works. We know what's happening because we've seen this all before. Today, I'll explain more about how we can use this to our advantage as investors...
Today’s Extreme Fear Is Paving the Way for Opportunity | Wide Moat Research
Editor’s Note: Investors are fearful… understandably so. As of writing, the S&P 500 is down 4.5% year to date, and new tariffs from the White House have markets on edge. But, according to Greg Diamond, fear brings opportunity for nimble traders. As he shows, the market’s correction could soon be nearing an end, and investors can use the volatility to their advantage. Fear and greed drive investor behavior… And today, extreme fear is entering the market.
Today’s Extreme Fear is Paving the Way for a Massive Opportunity
Fear and greed drive investor behavior… And today, extreme fear is entering the market. These human emotions have been the foundation of CNN’s Fear & Greed Index – an investing tool launched in 2012. This index helps us gauge the mood of the market. Excessive fear tends to push stock prices down… while excessive greed tends to inflate them. And when these emotions hit a fever pitch, they’re often contrarian indicators. The Fear & Greed Index is sitting around 20 right now.
How to Invest With the Power of Human Nature
"Human nature never changes..." "History repeats itself..." These adages stick around because they're true. They even apply to the market. Market swings are nothing more than the graphic representation of human behavior... expressed on a chart of buyers and sellers. And this market behavior tends to repeat. That's how technical analysis works. We know what's happening because we've seen this all before. Today, I'll explain more about how we can use this to our advantage as investors...
Today's Extreme Fear Is Paving the Way for Opportunity
Fear and greed drive investor behavior... And today, extreme fear is entering the market. These human emotions have been the foundation of CNN's Fear & Greed Index – an investing tool launched in 2012. This index helps us gauge the mood of the market. Excessive fear tends to push stock prices down... while excessive greed tends to inflate them. And when these emotions hit a fever pitch, they're often contrarian indicators. The Fear & Greed Index is sitting around 20 right now.
Katie Porter Jumps into Governor’s Race: Sorting through the Consequences.
The smart money has been on Katie Porter running for Governor if Kamala Harris didn’t. Well, either Kamala isn’t running or Katie got tired of waiting; either way, she has just announced. I have excised all of the fundraising appeals and volunteer seeking from the email below because I’m treating this as news rather than a campaign letter; accordingly, I got rid of the “Paid for by” part, because she didn’t.
LEAVE CARRIE ALONE! Trump’s Invite is a PsyOp!
Someone on a site I frequent listed many of the musicians who will have appeared as part of the Trump Inauguration activities and said that they deserved “the Carrie Underwood treatment.” That may or may not be so, but I can think of one such singer who doesn’t deserve it: Carrie Underwood herself. This may seem like a small matter, but it isn’t.
HB to Pay Dearly for Mikie Gates’s Sins
Comes now the judicial ruling in 2023-01329927 Clayton-Tarvin v. City of Huntington Beach, the case brought by Lee Fink of Irvine’s Brower Law Group; Brea attorney Brett Murdock; and City of Orange attorney Gregory Pleasants; against the City for wrongfully withholding critical evidence of its settlement with owner of the Pacific Air Show, with whom the city settled on extremely favorable terms for that plaintiff, who previously and subsequently donated substantially to Councilmembers’ campaigns.
Jimmy Carter Died at the Perfect Moment
Everyone has been talking since the new broke today about how decent and honest and an actual faith-faithful Christian Jimmy Carter was, as well as his being essentially the anti-Trump when it came to post-Presidential behavior, and that’s all true.
Christmas Holiday Open Thread: The Mumps
[Jack Foster illustration for “Santa Has the Mumps” by Sharon Sala] I simply want to let it be known that insipid Jimmy Fallon’s insipid “couple name” for Donald Trump and Elon Musk — “Elonald” — is NOT the official couple name, as anyone with an operating sense of humor should already know. By Orange Juice Blog decree, their official couple name is: “The Mumps.” This is appropriate in too many ways to express here. This is a regular Open Thread.
Election Results “Tasty Bites” Open Thread!
The rules are: reactions to ONE RACE (or set of associated races) per top-level comment! You can have as many comments as you’d like — and you can reply to each top-level comment (so long as you stay on topic) as often as you’d like. (But note that Neshanian Rules do apply.) See the first comment for an example. This is not a generalized Open Thread, it is just a political results commentary Open Thread.
Levin, Schiff, Voted For BAD Anti-Liberties Law
(These first few paragraphs are paraphrased from a private Democratic Party site; I doubt that the author seeks recognition here, but if I hear otherwise I’ll gladly offer credit.) Last Tuesday, H.R. 9495 came before the House of Representatives and received the support of all but one Republican and a surprising and distressing number of Democrats. It would give the White House the ability to strip the tax-exempt status of organizations simply because they disagree with their advocacy.
2nd Saturday Night’s Alright for Tallying!
NOTE THAT TOTAL RESULTS FOR RACES IN MORE THAN ONE COUNTY HAVE NOT YET BEEN ADDED. BUT DEREK TRAN IS FINALLY AHEAD! Website Updated: 11/16/2024 4 :53:18 PM Unofficial Election Results Voter Turnout: 73.6% Ballots Counted: 1,370,354 Registered Voters: 1,861,450 Precincts Reporting: 100% Total Precincts: 2,294 Showing 212 of 212 contests Contest: PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT, VOTE FOR 1 Candidate Name Total Votes Percentage KAMALA D. HARRIS/TIM WALZ (DEM) 669,091 49.76% DONALD J.
Saturday Night’s All Right for Results Updating!
Skip to Content Website Updated: 11/16/2024 4:53:18 PM Refresh DisplayAuto-Refresh Results Precincts Reporting Voter Turnout Reports https://www.facebook.com/plugins/like.php?locale=en_US&href=https://www.facebook.com/OCROV/&layout=button&action=like&show_faces=false&share=false&size=large...
Bacon Time! GOP Won the House; MAGA Didn’t!
If we had subheaders, this one’s would be: “And Here’s What We Can Do About That Now.” It’s very rare that I can scoop the New York Times on even one issue of national political importance, but even after a three-hour blackout at my house I can still do it.
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