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Articles by Haka Matohi
Futures Rebound On Weaker Yen; Oil Hits 2016 Highs
In recent days, we have observed a distinct trading pattern: a ramp early in the US morning, usually triggered by some aggressive momentum ignition, such as today's unexplained pump then dump in the EURUSD... ... with stocks rising after the European open, rising throughout the US open, then peaking around the time the US closed at which point it is all downhill for the illiquid market.
S&P Erases "Great" Jobs Bounce As Bonds Surge
What goes up (for no good reason) must come down (for fundamental and earnings-driven reality)... The ISM bounce died too this morning... Gold is also lower as bonds surge... So after all that, the market finally sees through March payrolls. Average: Your rating: None Average: 1 (1 vote)
Good" News Is Bad Again? Bonds Bid, Stocks Skid Post-Payrolls
It appears Goldman clients are once again taking a bath. Having proposed that with monetary concerns temporarily sidelined, "good news should be good news for risky assets," today's better-than-expected jobs print (following China's better than expected PMIs) has sent stocks lower, bonds higher, and crack gold and oil...
Assad Ready For Snap Elections As Kremlin Denies Report Of Russia-US Plan To Help Him Flee Syria
Last week, Bashar al-Assad celebrated one of the most significant (at least from a symbolic perspective) military victories in the history of his government’s campaign against opposition groups battling for control of Syria. With the help of Russia and Hezbollah, Assad’s army liberated the ancient city of Palmyra from Islamic State.
Centralization vs. Decentralization
While the 20th century unequivocally belonged to the centralization of resources and capital, both human and monetary, we are now undergoing a shift of seismic proportions in the 21st century. And understanding this is so utterly crucial to your personal wealth. The issue of decentralization is one of the most important discussions of our time. It is being thrust upon individuals, corporates and governments alike as waves of capital shift at increasing speed.
Don't Blame It All On Donald Trump
The other week, feeling sick, I spent a day on my couch with the TV on and was reminded of an odd fact of American life. More than seven months before Election Day, you can watch the 2016 campaign for the presidency at any moment of your choosing, and that’s been true since at least late last year.
One Hedge Funds Warns The Market Will (Again) Be Sharply Disappointed By The ECB
In the aftermath of this weekend's disappointing G-20 summit in Shanghai in which the much anticipated "grand Chinese devaluation" was not only not discussed, but any abrupt devaluation was taken off the table (if only for the time being), the market has shifted its attention to the next big policy event, which is the March 10 ECB announcement where much more easing is already priced in.
Heads You Lose, Tails You Lose
Banks, economists, brokers, financial advisers and other experts did not see the first crisis coming in 2008 and they are not seeing it now.
70% Of Jobs Added In January Were Minimum Wage Waiters And Retail Workers
For those curious where the big jump in earnings came from, the answer appears rather simple: the reason, according to the BLS' breakdown of jobs added in January (per the Establishment survey), of the 151,000 jobs added in the past month, retail trade added 58,000 jobs in January, while employment in food services and drinking places, aka waiters and bartenders, rose by 47,000 in January. In other words, 70% of the job gains in January went to minimum wage workers.
"This Is Not Normalizing... And No, We Don't Have Any Precedent"
Financial repression authority Daniel Amerman returns this week to discuss the ramifications of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in nearly a decade: The key to understand the situation here is that this is not normalizing, and we don’t have a precedent. We really don’t.
Why Did The Market Surge In October? Here Is The U.S. Treasury's Explanation
We have heard many explanations for the torrid market rally since last September, ranging from the rational - short squeeze - to the generic - "bad news is good news under central planning" to the deranged - "ignore the news, the U.S. economy is actually stronger and China is recovering." And now, courtesy of the U.S. Treasury's Office of Financial Research, here is the official explanation from the government itself.
UBS Gets Probation For Rigging $5 Trillion-A-Day FX Market
UBS was “confounded” last week when the Justice Department decided to void a 2012 agreement under which the bank would escape prosecution for its role in manipulating the world’s most important benchmark rate in exchange for ratting out its FX rigging co-conspirators. As a reminder, the DoJ is set to extract guilty pleas from a number of TBTF bank logos sometime in the supposedly near future (reportedly later today).
Commodities Gone Wild
Let's do a basic return on investment math to see if you've got value on your trades. You got in at 9, ground beef was 79 cents a pound, a loaf of bread was 99 cent, a gallon of gas was 3-4 bucks? Now today what price is silver and gold today respectively to the costs of daily goods and services? Sweet fuck all. It's not worth anything, it's just as much a part of the market manipulation as anything else is.
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