Hubert Moolman
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Articles by Hubert Moolman
Silver and the Dow: What is Happening?
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: Summary The Dow is potentially in a danger zone, close to a peak, but could still go higher for at least 3 months. Silver will likely not peak before the Dow does. Silver could potentially make a significant peak within 1 year from now. Silver could potentially make an even higher peak between 2032 and 2034. Continue to be bullish on silver.
Silver and the Dow: What is Happening?
Summary The Dow is potentially in a danger zone, close to a peak, but could still go higher for at least 3 months. Silver will likely not peak before the Dow does. Silver could potentially make a significant peak within 1 year from now. Silver could potentially make an even higher peak between 2032 and 2034. Continue to be bullish on silver. Since 1966, the Dow has made a new nominal all-time high after every significant Dow/Gold ratio peak.
Silver And The Dow: What Is Happening? (Technical Analysis)
Aug 17, 2026, 9:31 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The Dow is potentially in a danger zone, close to a peak, but could still continue higher for at least 3 months. Silver will likely not peak before the Dow does. Silver could potentially make a significant peak within one year from now. Silver could potentially make an even higher peak between 2032 and 2034. Continue to be bullish on silver. Since 1966, the Dow has made a new nominal all-time high after every significant Dow/Gold ratio peak.
Silver Is Emulating Gold’s Post-2024 Rise
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: The silver and gold market presents itself as a paradox when we get declines during bull markets that are normally associated with bear markets. This is especially true for silver, which declined about 50% since the recent high, which is almost like the start of the 2011 bear market, and yet silver is undoubtedly in a bull market. Fortunately, this is not the first time that this has happened, with 2008 being a prime example.
Silver Is Emulating Gold’s Post-2024 Rise
The silver and gold market presents itself as a paradox when we get declines during bull markets that are normally associated with bear markets. This is especially true for silver, which declined about 50% since the recent high, which is almost like the start of the 2011 bear market, and yet silver is undoubtedly in a bull market. Fortunately, this is not the first time that this has happened, with 2008 being a prime example. And just like for 2008, it is a contrarian signal.
Silver Is Emulating Gold’s Post-2024 Rise
The silver and gold market presents itself as a paradox when we get declines during bull markets that are normally associated with bear markets. This is especially true for silver, which declined about 50% since the recent high, which is almost like the start of the 2011 bear market, and yet silver is undoubtedly in a bull market. Fortunately, this is not the first time that this has happened, with 2008 being a prime example. And just like for 2008, it is a contrarian signal.
Silver Is Emulating Gold's Post-2024 Rise
May 14, 2026, 10:45 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The silver and gold market presents itself as a paradox when we get declines during bull markets that are normally associated with bear markets. Silver is more likely to go higher even faster than it has since 2020, while some might even call for the start of a bear market. Just like gold, silver made an important bottom 21 weeks after its breakout.
Silver Prices Will Still Go Much Higher
by Hubert Moolman, Survival Blog: Silver is trying to get back into this important channel previously pointed out: (Click to expand.) This puts the current bull market in a similar position to 2004 in the previous bull market. In other words, it is still very early in this bull market. If you consider the current bull market structure in this context, then it should be apparent that silver prices are currently not as overextended as many may think.
Silver Prices Will Still Go Much Higher
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: Silver is trying to get back into this important channel previously pointed out: This puts the current bull market in a similar position to 2004 in the previous bull market. In other words, it is still very early in this bull market. If you consider the current bull market structure in this context, then it should be apparent that silver prices are currently not as overextended as many may think. It would be like saying silver at $5.60 in 2004 was overpriced.
Silver Prices Will Still Go Much Higher
Silver is trying to get back into this important channel previously pointed out: This puts the current bull market in a similar position to 2004 in the previous bull market. In other words, it is still very early in this bull market. If you consider the current bull market structure in this context, then it should be apparent that silver prices are currently not as overextended as many may think. It would be like saying silver at $5.60 in 2004 was overpriced.
Silver Prices Will Still Go Much Higher (Technical Analysis)
Apr 15, 2026, 7:45 AM ET, , , , , , Summary Silver is currently only about 58% higher than its 1980 peak (the peak of the last major bull market). A major bull market does not generally end as close as 58% higher than its previous major bull market did. Current bull market is contextually similar to the 1970s. Silver is trying to get back into this important channel previously pointed out: This puts the current bull market in a similar position to 2004 in the previous bull market.
An Interesting Development on the Silver Chart
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: It is normal for volatile reactions to happen at key levels (or a short time after), like previous peaks or upward-sloping resistance lines. Often these reactions (or consolidations) can have a similar shape or structure. This was recently the case for the gold chart illustrated on my premium blog to project gold’s future movements.
An Interesting Development On The Silver Chart (Technical Analysis)
1.24K Followers Comments (3) Summary It is normal for volatile reactions to happen at key levels (or a short time after), like previous peaks or upward-sloping resistance lines. The silver chart is now potentially facing a situation of breakouts at upward-sloping lines. If the patterns continue in a similar manner, then we could see silver move past $200 over the coming months.
An Interesting Development on the Silver Chart
It is normal for volatile reactions to happen at key levels (or a short time after), like previous peaks or upward-sloping resistance lines. Often these reactions (or consolidations) can have a similar shape or structure. This was recently the case for the gold chart illustrated on my premium blog to project gold’s future movements.
Again: The US Dollar or Silver?
Over the last 55 years, there have been virtually no significant silver rallies during a period when the US Dollar Index (DXY) was rising (as shown here Over the last 55 years, there have been virtually no significant silver rallies during a period when the US Dollar Index (DXY) was rising (as shown here). The current silver rally is no different. Significant silver rallies occur when the US dollar is in decline against most major currencies.
Why Silver Continues To Be A Must-Buy
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: Even at close to $100 an ounce, silver is still a must-buy. Here is why: Silver vs The Quantity of US Dollars Buying silver today with US dollars is a lot like buying silver in 1972.
Why Silver Continues To Be A Must Buy (NYSEARCA:SLV)
1.2K Followers Comments Summary Buying silver today with US dollars is a lot like buying silver in 1972. It was only during brief periods before the 1919 and 1980 silver peaks that silver was able to outperform the Dow. The current setup on the silver chart is a lot like the start of the silver bull market of the early 2000s. In those days, silver was under $6 and considered cheap. asbe/iStock via Getty Images Even at close to $100 an ounce today, silver is still a must-buy. Here is why: 1.
Why Silver Continues To Be A Must-Buy
Even at close to $100 an ounce, silver is still a must-buy. Here is why: Silver vs The Quantity of US Dollars Buying silver today with US dollars is a lot like buying silver in 1972. Below, is a chart that shows the silver price relative to the monetary base (currency in circulation plus reserve balances): When buying an ounce of silver today, you are using the same amount of US dollars relative to the total amount issued (according to the FED) as you would have circa 1972.
The Silver Melt-Up in Charts
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: The gold/silver ratio appears to be in free fall. There is a fractal setup on the chart similar to the 2010/2011 silver rally: I have marked the two fractals (1 to 3) to show how the current collapse of the gold/silver ratio could play out. If this similarity continues, then we could see the gold/silver ratio go below the 2011 low. This would likely mean considerably higher silver and gold prices.
The Silver Melt-Up in Charts
The gold/silver ratio appears to be in free fall. There is a fractal setup on the chart similar to the 2010/2011 silver rally: I have marked the two fractals (1 to 3) to show how the current collapse of the gold/silver ratio could play out. If this similarity continues, then we could see the gold/silver ratio go below the 2011 low. This would likely mean considerably higher silver and gold prices.
The Silver Melt-Up In Charts
1.17K Followers Comments Summary The gold/silver ratio appears to be in free fall. There is a fractal setup on the chart similar to the 2010/2011 silver rally. Around the same time when the gold/silver ratio broke down, silver prices broke out of the cup that formed starting in 2008. In a similar manner, silver broke out of the cup (in 2025), which started forming in 2011 at around the same time when the gold/silver ratio broke down.
Random Thoughts on Silver (Young People Do Take Note)
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: When silver hit $50, many were worried about a 1980 scenario where silver collapsed in the months that followed. This was an incorrect comparison, as silver at $50 in 2025 should rather have been compared to 1973: https://x.com/picturegold/status/1978121558422941728 Instead of a collapse, this is what should be expected.
Random Thoughts on Silver (Young People Do Take Note!)
When silver hit $50, many were worried about a 1980 scenario where silver collapsed in the months that followed. This was an incorrect comparison, as silver at $50 in 2025 should rather have been compared to 1973: https://x.com/picturegold/status/1978121558422941728 Instead of a collapse, this is what should be expected.
Random Thoughts on Silver (Young People Do Take Note)
When silver hit $50, many were worried about a 1980 scenario where silver collapsed in the months that followed. This was an incorrect comparison, as silver at $50 in 2025 should rather have been compared to 1973: https://x.com/picturegold/status/1978121558422941728 Instead of a collapse, this is what should be expected.
Update: Tracking The Silver Bull Market - Key Channels and Fractals
by Hubert Moolman, Survival Blog: Editor’s Introductory Note: Today’s short feature post is from our friend Hub Moolman, in South Africa. Hub’s analysis includes two very useful charts. While I don’t rely on technical analysis, I do find that it often provides useful confirmation for the study of market fundamentals. For the big market traders, the current silver market seems to be transitioning from the “disbelief” stage to the “mania” stage.
Update: Tracking The Silver Bull Market, Key Channels and Fractals
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: Even with the successful breakout of the $50 level, silver is still cheap, as pointed out in the chart below. Silver has recently come out of the bottoming pattern that started around 2014 when silver broke down below the channel. That bottoming pattern is very similar to the early 2000s bottoming pattern that started in October 2000 when silver broke down below the channel.
Update: Tracking The Silver Bull Market - Key Channels And Fractals (Technical Analysis)
1.16K Followers Comments Summary Silver has recently come out of the bottoming pattern that started around 2014 when silver broke down below the channel. There will come a time when silver could be considered expensive, but that will probably only be another $1000 or more higher. In a previous article I have shown how significant silver peaks occurred within 8.5 years after the Dow/gold ratio peak, with the Great Depression silver peak occurring the soonest (6 to 7 years after).
Gold and the Final Phase of the US Bank Run
The US dollar banking system is coming to the end of its current and biggest bank run. Since the inception of the gold standard in 1879 in America, gold has continued to be the ultimate measure of its banking system. On the gold chart, there are clear patterns that show how the current and previous US dollar bank runs are related. The bank run tends to end when the banking system is again fully capitalized, when measured in terms of gold.
The Last Time Silver Surpassed a Long-held All-time High This Happened
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: Previously, I have shown how the Dow has actually outperformed silver and gold since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. Here is how that looks on a chart (from longtermtrends.net): The S&P 500 is in red, the Dow in blue, and gold and silver in their native colours. The stock market has significantly outperformed precious metals, with silver being the worst performer.
The Last Time Silver Surpassed a Long-held All-time High This Happened Original
Previously, I have shown how the Dow has actually outperformed silver and gold since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. Here is how that looks on a chart (from longtermtrends.net): The S&P 500 is in red, the Dow in blue, and gold and silver in their native colours. The stock market has significantly outperformed precious metals, with silver being the worst performer.
Update: Tracking The Silver Bull Market, Key Channels and Fractals
Even with the successful breakout of the $50 level, silver is still cheap, as pointed out in the chart below. Silver has recently come out of the bottoming pattern that started around 2014 when silver broke down below the channel. That bottoming pattern is very similar to the early 2000s bottoming pattern that started in October 2000 when silver broke down below the channel.
Gold: The US Dollar Bank Run Is Speeding Up
by Hubert Moolman, Gold Seek: Previously, I have shown how the US dollar banking system is in the midst of a bank run. We have entered the critical part of this bank run. The US dollar banking system has become too debased, and nations are running to an asset like gold as a reserve asset instead. It can be described as very similar to the events since Nixon ended the direct convertibility to gold in 1971.
Silver: The Big Winner During Debt Collapse
by Hubert Moolman, Survival Blog: After major interest rate turnarounds (bottoms), silver is usually the big winner. The reason is clearly explained here. What it comes down to is simply that interest rates reflect the value that the market places on money. When interest rates are high, the market places a high value on money. When interest rates are low, the market places a low value on money.
Silver: The Big Winner During Debt Collapse
1.16K Followers Comment (1) Summary After major interest rate turnarounds (bottoms), silver is usually the big winner. When interest rates are high, the market places a high value on money. When interest rates are low, the market places a low value on money. Silver is the best form of money historically, so expect it to outperform during periods of high interest rates. enter89/iStock via Getty Images After major interest rate turnarounds (bottoms), silver is usually the big winner.
Silver: The Big Winner During Debt Collapse
After major interest rate turnarounds (bottoms), silver is usually the big winner. The reason is clearly explained here. What it comes down to is simply that interest rates reflect the value that the market places on money. When interest rates are high, the market places a high value on money. When interest rates are low, the market places a low value on money. Silver is the best form of money historically, so expect it to outperform during periods of high interest rates.
Silver: The Big Winner During Debt Collapse
Silver Seek After major interest rate turnarounds (bottoms), silver is usually the big winner. The reason is clearly explained here. What it comes down to is simply that interest rates reflect the value that the market places on money. When interest rates are high, the market places a high value on money. When interest rates are low, the market places a low value on money. Silver is the best form of money historically, so expect it to outperform during periods of high interest rates.
Silver Price Forecast: Hurtling Towards Jubilee and Sovereign Debt Defaults
Previously, I showed how the silver chart has formed two remarkable, similar patterns over a period of 125 years. Here is an updated version of the chart (only closing values): The first is a 49-year pattern from 1919 to 1968, whereas the second is a pattern that started circa 1980 and is shaping up to be very similar to the first pattern, especially in terms of timing (note that there may be rounding differences due to the yearly closing balances).
Silver Price Forecast: Hurtling Towards Jubilee and Sovereign Debt Defaults
Silver Seek Previously, I showed how the silver chart has formed two remarkable, similar patterns over a period of 125 years. Here is an updated version of the chart (only closing values): The first is a 49-year pattern from 1919 to 1968, whereas the second is a pattern that started circa 1980 and is shaping up to be very similar to the first pattern, especially in terms of timing (note that there may be rounding differences due to the yearly closing balances).
Gold’s Mania Phase, Debt Collapse and War
by Hubert Moolman, Gold Seek: The current gold bull market continues to track the one of the 1970s and appears to be in the mania phase. Here is an update of my 1970s gold bull market comparison: I have marked out two patterns that show how the recent breakout puts gold in the acceleration phase of the bull market. Both patterns start at the Dow/Gold ratio peak (1966 and 1999 respectively).
Gold’s Mania Phase, Debt Collapse and War
The current gold bull market continues to track the one of the 1970s and appears to be in the mania phase. Here is an update of my 1970s gold bull market comparison: I have marked out two patterns that show how the recent breakout puts gold in the acceleration phase of the bull market. Both patterns start at the Dow/Gold ratio peak (1966 and 1999 respectively). After the Dow/Gold ratio peaks, gold went on strong bull run, which continued even after the 1973 and 2007 Dow peaks , respectively.
Gold: The US Dollar Bank Run Is Speeding Up
Previously, I have shown how the US dollar banking system is in the midst of a bank run. We have entered the critical part of this bank run. The US dollar banking system has become too debased, and nations are running to an asset like gold as a reserve asset instead. It can be described as very similar to the events since Nixon ended the direct convertibility to gold in 1971.
Tracking The Silver Bull Market - Key Channels And Fractals (Technical Analysis)
Sep. 03, 2025 10:30 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The recent silver breakout means that silver is likely on an almost clear path to the target area. Given that silver actually rallied on a sustained basis for at least 2 years before each of those peaks, we are likely to see silver rally for most of the coming 20 months. When considering that we are probably very close to monetary reform, the rest of this decade will certainly make for interesting times.
Tracking The Silver Bull Market | Key Channels and Fractals
The recent silver breakout means that silver is likely on an almost clear path to this target area (previously presented): The current bottoming pattern from around 2014 to now is very similar to the early 2000s bottoming pattern. I have highlighted two similar patterns (marked 1 to 5). The bottoming period of the early 2000s started when silver broke down at the black support line (bottom of the channel) in late 2000 and made a low at point 5.
Key Channels and Fractals
Silver Seek Silver is on a clear path towards this target area. The bottoming pattern that has been in place from 2014 until now is similar to the bottoming pattern of early 2000s. I have marked two patterns that are similar (marked 1-5). Silver’s bottoming phase of the early 2000s began when it broke through the black support line at the channel’s bottom in late 2000. It then made a low of point 5 at this time.
Silver and the Potential for Monetary Reform
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: We are creeping closer to the potential for monetary reform previously pointed out. Interestingly, the famous $50 level for silver could represent the risk area for this expected reform. It is likely that when silver crosses the $50 barrier, we officially enter reset territory based on the similarity of the silver chart to the 1940s when the Bretton Woods agreement was formed.
Silver and the Potential for Monetary Reform
We are creeping closer to the potential for monetary reform previously pointed out. Interestingly, the famous $50 level for silver could represent the risk area for this expected reform. It is likely that when silver crosses the $50 barrier, we officially enter reset territory based on the similarity of the silver chart to the 1940s when the Bretton Woods agreement was formed. Both cycles start at major gold/silver ratio bottoms (or silver peaks) in 1919 and 1979, respectively.
Silver is Very Close to a Mania Phase
by Hubert Moolman, Silver Seek: Silver is getting very close to a mania phase based on signals from the Dow/gold ratio previously presented. Furthermore, since it is normal for silver to lag gold’s performance, and given that gold has performed so well over the last couple of years, it is expected that we would likely see an even better performance by silver over the coming years.
Silver is Very Close to a Mania Phase
Silver is getting very close to a mania phase based on signals from the Dow/gold ratio previously presented. Furthermore, since it is normal for silver to lag gold’s performance, and given that gold has performed so well over the last couple of years, it is expected that we would likely see an even better performance by silver over the coming years.
Silver Is Very Close To A Mania Phase (Technical Analysis)
Jul. 07, 2025 9:20 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , Summary Silver made a significant bottom some years after the Dow/gold ratio peak. Once in the bull market, significant silver peaks occurred within 8.5 years. It is likely that silver could rally for most of the coming 22 months if the current setup continues to mimic the previous ones. Silver is getting very close to a mania phase based on signals from the Dow/gold ratio previously presented.
How Financial Collapse is Manifesting on the Gold Chart
The gold bull run of the 1970s started with a default when the US defaulted on its gold obligations in August of 1971. The current gold bull market will likely end closer to major debt defaults. During the 1970s, the US and the world had a completely different debt profile than today. Debt levels were much lower than today, and GDP was growing faster than debt, as is evident in the following chart. The risk of a sovereign debt default is clearly much higher today than during the 70s.
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