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Articles by Ira Schwartz
Outbreak-size distributions under fluctuating rates
We study the effect of noisy infection (contact) and recovery rates on the distribution of outbreak sizes in the stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered model.
Election 2024 Debate Reagan
FILE- President Reagan acknowledges the crowd after his speech in front of the Brandenburg Gate in West Berlin on June 12, 1987, where he said "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!" As most Republican White House hopefuls gather Wednesday at Reagan’s presidential library for a debate, expect to hear more homages to the “Great Communicator.”
Mikhail Gorbachev, who steered Soviet breakup, dead at 91
MOSCOW — Mikhail Gorbachev, who as the last leader of the Soviet Union waged a losing battle to salvage a crumbling empire but produced extraordinary reforms that led to the end of the Cold War, died Tuesday. He was 91. The Central Clinical Hospital said in a statement that Gorbachev died after a long illness. No other details were given.
Russia Obit Gorbachev
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Outbreak Size Distribution in Stochastic Epidemic Models
Abstract Motivated by recent epidemic outbreaks, including those of COVID-19, we solve the canonical problem of calculating the dynamics and likelihood of extensive outbreaks in a population within a large class of stochastic epidemic models with demographic noise, including the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and its general extensions.
Optimal periodic closure for minimizing risk in emerging disease outbreaks
Loading metrics Open Access Peer-reviewed Research Article Jason Hindes , Simone Bianco, Ira B. Schwartz Jason Hindes, Simone Bianco, Ira B. Schwartz Published: January 6, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244706 Figures Abstract Without vaccines and treatments, societies must rely on non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies to control the spread of emerging diseases such as COVID-19.
Reagan statue being dedicated in Berlin to mark Wall fall
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