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Articles by Issam Samiri
Have better data solved the UK’s productivity puzzle?
Productivity matters. Labour productivity – defined as the output produced by some measure of labour quantity (workers or hours worked) – is the long-run driver of wages and living standards. Higher output per worker allows firms to pay higher wages without raising prices, and enables governments to fund public services without raising tax rates.
Endogenous Defaults, Value-at-Risk and the Business Cycle (updated version)
Leverage in the banking sector reduces lenders’ funding costs, enabling them to provide cheaper financing to the economy. However, this benefit comes with increased volatility. During economic downturns, banks often scale back their leverage due to heightened risk perceptions. This reduction in leverage raises borrowing costs during these periods, prompting firms to cut back on investments, which can further deepen the economic slump.
Levelling Up: What's Gone Wrong and How Should it Change?
The UK is home to many world-leading innovators and businesses, but economic growth and underlying higher productivity has been disproportionately concentrated in London and the South East of England. This concentration creates stark geographic inequalities, adversely affecting opportunities and quality of life across the country in significant ways. A striking example of this inequality is the 15-year difference in life expectancy between the best and worst-performing local authorities.
How are the UK’s Devolved Nations Faring Ahead of the General Election?
The UK is approaching a general election – due at the latest in January 2025 but expected in the second half of this year. Many of the big policy issues will be of broad concern across the country, but some will be of particular importance for the UK’s devolved nations.
Productivity, Living Standards and Wellbeing: Comparing the UK and Australia
Why is it useful to compare the UK to Australia? World Bank data show that real GDP per capita, adjusted for purchase power parity (PPP), for the UK and Australia, follows very similar patterns. In fact, from at least 1990 up until 2008, they differed by less than £700, the UK GDP being the highest. The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) affected the UK more severely, causing its GDP to drop about £2,100 below that of Australia.
UK Business Investment: Economists, Managers, Financiers
This review assesses research using a framework that integrates three perspectives: that of the economist, the business manager, and the financial investor. Each perspective has a voluminous research output, but an integrated view might offer new insights and direction for future research that are particularly relevant for the UK.
Productivity - NIESR
Unskilled workers have experienced little wage progression in the UK in recent years. The tax and benefit system has until recent propped up incomes at the bottom of the distribution,... The Covid-19 pandemic struck the world economy in the midst of a decade that witnessed a broad-based decline in productivity growth. Lockdowns closed many businesses, jobs were either permanently or...
Where Are We With Regional Inequalities in the UK?
Where are we with regional inequalities in the UK? The UK remains one of the most spatially unequal and over-centralised countries among the 38 members of the OECD. Some of the stylized facts that underline this chronic condition are, first, the significant extent of inter- and intra-regional disparities of wealth, health and other indicators of prosperity and well-being and, second, the disparities of resources and decision-making powers between different tiers of government.
What's Happening to Levelling Up?
What progress has been achieved to date? The UK has some of the highest regional inequalities among the 38 OECD countries, notably in terms of GDP and productivity.
Evidence Session Summary: Public Investment
This workshop, organised on behalf of the Productivity Commission, will explore the theme of ‘investment’. Paul Fisher, Chair of the London Bullion Market Association and formerly Deputy Head of the... 11:00 to 13:00 11 October, 2023
Uncovering Scotland's Productivity Performance
This research on productivity in Scotland is part of an important body of work at the Institute on the causes of the UK’s poor productivity performance and the drivers of differentials in regional productivity growth.
An Independent Assessment of the Mini-Budget
On 23 September 2022 the new Chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng, presented a ‘mini budget’ in which he unveiled ‘The Growth Plan’ that is to be the centrepiece of economic policy for the new government. This mini budget was published against a background of high inflation and recession in the United Kingdom. The tax changes announced, together with recent announcements around support for households and firms in covering their energy costs, mark a significant ‘fiscal event’.
Northern Ireland’s Productivity Problem
The Covid-19 pandemic struck the world economy in the midst of a decade that witnessed a broad-based decline in productivity growth. Lockdowns closed many businesses, jobs were either permanently or... 18:30 to 19:30 9 December, 2021
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