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Articles by Julia Vassileva
Russian Strategy Is in Flux. American Interests Are Not.
Russian strategy is in flux, and the flux is accelerating. The American interests it threatens have not moved at all. That asymmetry is the most useful thing to carry away from CNA’s Sept. 10 panel on understanding the Russian military, where Michael Petersen, Jeffrey Edmonds and Dmitry Gorenburg presented research on preemption, escalation and Russia’s next high command, with Dara Massicot moderating. Their findings do not sort neatly by discipline. They sort by stake.
When the Lie Comes First: Reading Russia’s Pretexts as Warning Signs
On July 20, 2026, Russia’s foreign intelligence service accused Germany of secretly building a nuclear bomb—a claim with no even remotely plausible evidence behind it, aimed at a country that gave up nuclear weapons by treaty in 1990.[1] The next day, a deputy foreign minister of Russia announced that Moscow would now take Germany’s “nuclear research” into account in its military planning.
Securing Tomorrow: A Look at the 18th International Conference on Cyber Conflict
Article from Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Rather than converging on a single challenge, the Conference on Cyber Conflict 2026 proceedings reveal three broader trends shaping the future of cyber conflict (from legal, strategic, policy, and technical perspectives): the growing role of artificial intelligence in military decision-making, persistent challenges surrounding cyber deterrence and attribution, and the increasing importance of alliance coordination and resilience.
Living on the Edge: NATO’s Eastern Frontier, Article 5, and Russia’s Motive
Ukraine Article from Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Something has changed lately along the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)’s eastern frontier. Incursions — drones, fighter jets, airspace violations — are no longer rare headlines, but part of a pattern. To grasp what is at stake, Julia Vassileva steps into the shoes of those living on the border with Russia, asks what NATO’s promises amount to when tested in practice, and probes what Moscow might hope to gain.
Afghanistan and the EU as a Peace Mediation Actor: Achievements and Value Added - Can It Complete/Complement the Peace Process?
The following article aims to analyse the involvement of the European Union (EU) as a peace mediation actor in Afghanistan. I argue that given the difficult conditions on the ground, the EU has made considerable achievements in its engagement in complementing the process, but that a completion of the Afghan peace process is yet not in sight. The piece builds on an interview conducted with the EU Special Envoy for Afghanistan, Ambassador Roland Kobia.
Culture during Covid-19: A Conversation with Vienna’s Kunsthistorisches Museum, Belvedere Museum, Jewish Museum, and Albertina Museum
Culture during Covid-19: A Conversation with Vienna’s Kunsthistorisches Museum, Belvedere Museum, Jewish Museum, and Albertina Museum. By Julia Vassileva The Covid-19 times brought many governance measures, but the closure of all museums and cultural institutions in Austria in early March 2020 was a particularly sad one.
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