Kyle Dropp
New York
Co-Founder/President of the global decision intelligence company @MorningConsult Former @dartmouth, @stanford @washingtonpost @UWMadison. Let’s connect!
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Articles by Kyle Dropp
Brass Politics
Sign in and save to read later Print this article Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Get a link Request Reprint Permissions In September, retired Admiral John B. Nathman took center stage at the Democratic National Convention to endorse President Barack Obama. He did so with serious support: behind him stood more than 30 other veterans and retired officers from several branches of the military.
Announcing Morning Consult Economic Intelligence
We are excited to announce the launch of Morning Consult Economic Intelligence – the largest global consumer confidence tracking platform ever created, covering over 15,000 daily survey interviews across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Australia, Russia, Japan, India, and China. In 2014, we launched Morning Consult with a relentless focus on delivering to business executives and government leaders unrivaled survey data on what people think in real time.
Military Campaigns: Veterans’ Endorsements and Presidential Elections
In Military Campaigns: Veterans' Endorsements and Presidential Elections, published by the Center for a New American Security, experts Dr. James Golby, Assistant Professor at the United States Military Academy; Kyle Dropp, Ph.D. candidate in Political Science at Stanford University; and Dr. Peter Feaver, Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at Duke University, examine whether military endorsements impact a campaign's ability to secure votes.
Elite Military Cues and Public Opinion About the Use of Military Force:
Do military endorsements influence Americans’ political and foreign policy views? We find that senior military officers have the ability to nudge public attitudes under certain conditions.
Listening to the Generals: How Military Advice Affects Public Support for the Use of Force
In Listening to the Generals: How Military Advice Affects Public Support for the Use of Force, James Golby, Kyle Dropp and Peter Feaver report that public expression by senior military officials of opposition or support for use of force abroad has a measurable impact on U.S. public opinion. The authors disclose the results of their national survey, noting that the findings could lead political leaders to seek public endorsements from senior military leaders that will politicize the military.
Nearly Half of Americans Don’t Know Puerto Ricans Are Fellow Citizens (Published 2017)
More than three million Americans in Puerto Rico are struggling to meet basic needs after a devastating strike from Hurricane Maria, but their plight seems to be attracting far less public or political attention than the woes caused by the recent hurricanes in Texas and Florida. One potential explanation is the congested news environment.
Nearly half of Americans don’t know Puerto Ricans are fellow citizens
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Nearly Half of Americans Don’t Know Puerto Ricans Are Fellow Citizens
© Victor J. Blue for The New York Times Lining up to buy gasoline in Humacao, P.R., on Sunday. More than three million Americans in Puerto Rico are struggling to meet basic needs after a devastating strike from Hurricane Maria, but their plight seems to be attracting far less public or political attention than the woes caused by the recent hurricanes in Texas and Florida. One potential explanation is the congested news environment.
Nearly half of Americans don’t know Puerto Ricans are also U.S. citizens
NEW YORK — More than three million Americans in Puerto Rico are struggling to meet basic needs after a devastating strike from Hurricane Maria, but their plight seems to be attracting far less public or political attention than the woes caused by the recent hurricanes in Texas and Florida. One potential explanation is the congested news environment.
Study: Phrasing Does Little to Affect Public Sentiment on Travel Ban
Polls have shown varying levels of support for President Donald Trump’s controversial, stalled executive order temporarily banning refugees and citizens from seven predominantly Muslim countries from entering the United States. A new Morning Consult study shows that how questions were phrased on the issue does little to affect voter sentiment. Morning Consult surveyed more than 22,000 registered voters across the U.S. from Feb. 10 through Feb.
One-Third Don’t Know Obamacare and Affordable Care Act Are the Same (Published 2017)
A sizable minority of Americans don’t understand that Obamacare is just another name for the Affordable Care Act. This finding, from a poll by Morning Consult, illustrates the extent of public confusion over a health law that President Trump and Republicans in Congress hope to repeal. In the survey, 35 percent of respondents said either they thought Obamacare and the Affordable Care Act were different policies (17 percent) or didn’t know if they were the same or different (18 percent).
Republicans Have One Big Incentive to Stick With Trump
Despite the growing protests against President Trump’s executive action on refugees and other people from seven predominantly Muslim countries, relatively few members of his party have spoken out against the policy — a familiar pattern since the election. To date, no congressional Republicans have consistently resisted Mr. Trump or his agenda even though his approval ratings are already historically low for a new president.
How We Conducted Our 'Shy Trumper' Study
Are there “shy Trump” voters? It’s a question that many have asked since Morning Consult released a blockbuster study during the primaries that showed GOP voters were less likely to say they support Donald Trump to a live interviewer than via a self-administered interview online. But will “shy Trumpers” play a large factor in the general election? In a follow-up to the study from the primaries, Morning Consult, in partnership with POLITICO, devised a definitive study to test this claim.
Where’s Outrage Over F.B.I. Disclosure? Not Among Voters
The 2016 Race By Kyle Dropp and Brendan Nyhan Nov. 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton and President Obama are outraged about the F.B.I. director James Comey’s decision to disclose further inquiries into her handling of confidential email, but are the American people?
It Lives. Birtherism Is Diminished but Far From Dead.
America’s most prominent birther has finally disavowed the myth he helped to create. Will Donald J. Trump’s concession affect the public’s belief about whether President Obama was born in the United States? Results from a new Morning Consult poll of registered voters suggest that fewer Americans now believe that President Obama was born outside the country — the false claim that Mr. Trump renounced last Friday — although birtherism continues to linger among a subset of the public.
Concerns About Hillary Clinton's Health Abound, Poll Shows
Following a caught-on-camera health scare for Hillary Clinton over the weekend, a new Morning Consult survey reveals widespread concerns about her health among registered voters. The poll, taken Sept. 12 through Sept. 13, shows that eight in 10 (79 percent) said they have heard a lot or some about Clinton’s health concerns. It’s a high figure.
How We Determined Our 2016 Likely Voter Model - Morning Consult
For those who follow Morning Consult’s election polling, you may have noticed something different about our results today. We have shifted to likely voters. Through the election, Morning Consult will release likely voters results along with the broader registered voter population. Most pollsters do not release details describing how they created their likely voter model, which can make it difficult to determine why polls differ.
Trump Surges Past Clinton With Post-Convention Bump
The Republican National Convention came in for criticism from much of the major media outlets. However, a new Morning Consult survey indicates the typical post-convention bump that a party tends to receive following their gathering. In the national poll, conducted from July 22 through July 24, Donald Trump pulls ahead of Hillary Clinton by 4 points, a sizeable swing from the past week, when the former secretary of State was clinging to a 2-point lead.
Why Donald Trump Performs Better in Online Polling
Republicans are more likely to say they want Donald Trump in the White House if they are taking a poll online versus in a live telephone interviews. And, if you’re a highly-educated or engaged Republican voter, it turns out that you’re far less likely to tell another human being you want Trump as president.
Why Donald Trump Performs Better in Online Polling
Republicans are more likely to say they want Donald Trump in the White House if they are taking a poll online versus in a live telephone interview. And, if you’re a highly-educated or engaged Republican voter, it turns out that you’re far less likely to tell another human being you want Trump as president. That’s what we found in a new Morning Consult study, where we aimed to answer a prominent question raised by Trump’s sustained lead in the polls: Does he perform better online than on the phone?
This new tool puts 50,000 poll questions and 100 demographics at your fingertips
Donald Trump has sent the polling world into a frenzy. The billionaire’s sustained lead in the Republican presidential race has raised questions about the accuracy of polling and produced many hypotheses about why his lead has proved so durable. For researchers who want to use polling data to understand a phenomenon like Trump, a key challenge is that polling data is scattered across the Internet, locked behind expensive subscriptions, and unavailable in standard statistical software.
The less Americans know about Ukraine’s location, the more they want U.S. to intervene
Joshua Tucker: The following is a guest post from political scientists Kyle Dropp (Dartmouth College) Joshua D. Kertzer (Harvard University) and Thomas Zeitzoff (Princeton University). Since Russian troops first entered the Crimean peninsula in early March, a series of media polling outlets have asked Americans how they want the U.S. to respond to the ongoing situation.
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