Abstract Background Family history of depression (FHD) is a known risk factor for the new onset of depression. However, it is unclear if FHD is clinically useful for prognosis in adolescents with current, ongoing, or past depression. This preregistered study uses a longitudinal, multi-informant design to examine whether a child’s FHD adds information about future depressive episodes and depression severity applying state-of-the-art predictive out-of-sample methodology.
