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Articles by Nelson Alves
Innodata: The Next Leg Depends On Turning AI Services Into Agentic Infrastructure
Oct 13, 2026, 11:38 AM ET Summary Innodata (INOD) is evolving beyond a data provider, aiming to become an indispensable AI infrastructure layer through reusable datasets and model evaluation systems. INOD’s Digital Data Solutions segment grew revenue 57% to $220.9M, in 2025, driven by AI engineering data volumes and a shift toward high-value, IP-leveraged offerings.
Marvell: The Market Is No Longer Trading On FY 2027
Sep 30, 2026, 7:51 AM ET, , Summary Marvell is evolving into a dual business: high-margin connectivity and fast-growing custom silicon for hyperscalers, positioning itself as a core AI infrastructure provider. Despite FY2027's seemingly high valuation, MRVL's upside is compelling when considering FY2028 estimates and its asymmetric risk/reward profile. Custom silicon growth drives revenue, but gross margins may compress; merchant networking remains a high-quality margin anchor.
Muse Might Be The Product That Makes Meta's AI Spend Make Sense
Sep 23, 2026, 10:05 AM ET, Summary Muse doesn’t really need to be the smartest model in the world. It needs to be smart enough, reliable enough and sufficiently embedded in people’s lives that they start giving it jobs instead of prompts. There is a huge difference between AI that produces information and AI that produces economic outcomes. That shift is potentially much more important for Meta than whether Muse wins any model leaderboard.
The Scarcity Trade Is Starting To Eat The Capital Cycle
Sep 10, 2026, 11:35 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary For a while, the story was actually pretty constructive. Energy scarcity was pushing up commodity prices, but higher prices were also improving the expected returns on new investment. If the only thing moving was Brent, I would be much less worried. The equity tape is telling us that the real bottleneck is downstream.
Delek US Holdings: The Refining Cycle Is Strong, But The More Interesting Story Is What Survives It
Summary Delek US Holdings is capitalizing on favorable refining conditions, strong execution, and strategic transformation into a cleaner refining and logistics business. DK’s operational improvements—especially at Big Spring—are driving higher yields, reliability, and crude flexibility, providing structural advantages beyond current crack spreads.
The Market May Be Telling Us We're Entering A Capital Formation Cycle
Sep 03, 2026, 12:05 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary I’ve been looking at my clustering stock screener, and I think it is giving us a much more interesting macro signal than simply “energy stocks are strong.” What jumps out is that the portfolio...
Denison Mines: Phoenix Is Becoming Real, But The Market Still Wants Proof
Sep 02, 2026, 6:00 AM ET, Summary Denison Mines is transitioning from a uranium optionality play to a tangible developer, with Phoenix entering full-scale construction and first production targeted for 2028. DNN has adeptly monetized uranium inventory to fund Phoenix, minimizing dilution risk, though convertible debt and future funding needs remain material considerations.
Paysign: The Bull Case Is No Longer About Prepaid Cards
Summary Paysign is transforming from a prepaid card processor to a higher-margin healthcare payments and program management platform. Q2 pharma revenue surged 89%, outpacing plasma, with 148 active affordability programs and gross margins rising to 63.3%. Plasma remains a stabilizing, cash-generating base, while pharma drives growth and strategic expansion into programmable healthcare capital flows. A few years ago, there was a much simpler way to describe Paysign, Inc. (PAYS).
The Market Is Trying To Tell Us Something About 2027
Aug 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The market is beginning to discount a high-nominal-growth, investment-heavy economy in which capital is no longer free, but returns on scarce capital are high enough to compensate.
10x Genomics: The Turnaround Is Real, But Atera Now Has To Deliver (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Atera could meaningfully boost instrument sales in late 2026 and drive recurring high-margin consumables revenue from 2027 onward. TXG’s valuation already prices in significant Atera success, but the risk/reward remains skewed to the upside with favorable chart dynamics. Key risks include Atera manufacturing constraints, potential cannibalization of Xenium, rising competition, and ongoing share dilution.
Rubrik Is No Longer Just A Backup Company
Summary Rubrik’s product suite includes immutable data protection, anomaly detection, sensitive-data monitoring, threat hunting, identity recovery, identity resilience controls, cyber recovery simulation and threat containment. The objective is not merely to preserve a backup. It is to determine the blast radius of an attack, find a clean recovery point and restore the minimum viable business without reintroducing the attacker. This distinction matters for valuation.
Liquidia: YUTREPIA's Launch Opens Upside If Growth Remains And Margins Follow
Summary YUTREPIA's commercial launch continues to scale, with Q2 product sales of $170.4 million, up 31% sequentially. Q2 largely resolved the margin concern: product gross margin remained about 93.7% despite fully costed inventory, while operating margin reached roughly 49.8%. The key debate has shifted from profitability to growth. Liquidia now needs about $210 million of quarterly revenue in Q3 and Q4 to reach the current $725 million FY2026 consensus.
The Old World's Bill
Aug 12, 2026, 1:25 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary By the middle of the 2030s, the number of people aged 80 and above is projected to exceed the number of infants worldwide.
Atlanticus Holdings: The Market Is Pricing Mercury Before The Margins Fully Arrive
Aug 07, 2026, 12:58 PM ET Summary Atlanticus’ Q2 strengthened the investment case. The company delivered an 89% increase in operating revenue, 66% EPS growth and approximately 26% organic managed-receivables growth excluding Mercury. The quarter did not solve every issue. Net interest margin remained below the prior-year level, operating expenses grew quickly, and part of the fair value benefit came from purchase price adjustments.
Credit Says The Capital Goods Recession Story Doesn't Hold Up
Aug 07, 2026, 12:20 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary Every market shock produces a story fast enough to explain it, and the...
Lam Research: My Watch List Resolved Bullish, And The Stock Fell 7% Anyway
Jul 30, 2026, 4:10 PM ET, Summary In its July 29 Q4 print, Lam Research saw revenue $6.72B against a $6.60B guide; EPS $1.82, against a $1.65 guide; gross margin 52%, which is the highest quarterly level in twenty years, FY2026 revenue $23.2B; and a fourth consecutive record quarter.
Lam Research's Q4 2026 Earnings As A Leading Indicator For IREN's August Print
Jul 25, 2026, 12:45 AM ET Summary Lam Research sits 3-4 steps upstream of IREN renting an energized GPU: equipment order, chip/HBM production, accelerator assembly, datacenter deployment, rental. LRCX is a leading indicator for the backdrop IREN is priced against, not for IREN’s execution. That is still valuable - it tells you whether the neocloud multiple is standing on solid demand.
Things Are Getting Interesting In Macro Kingdom
Jul 24, 2026, 10:05 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary Today is a risk-off session with an oil supply shock overlay, not a clean trend day. The collateral liquidity matters here.
The Steepener Was Built On A Barrel Of Oil
Jul 22, 2026, 3:35 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The index did nothing for two weeks. Underneath it, money fired every long-duration haven and bought small banks and energy. The bank thesis is a steepener bet, and the steepener is riding an oil premium.
IREN Wasn't Waiting For Another Whale
Summary IREN has announced $2.8 billion of new multi-year contracts with a group of AI developers. The customer list now includes Perplexity, Figure AI, Together AI, Fluidstack, Fireworks AI, Fal AI and Hume AI, alongside Microsoft, NVIDIA and one unnamed leading AI developer. If IREN allocated most of its remaining capacity to one buyer, that buyer would gain leverage over pricing, contract terms and future renewals.
IREN Wasn't Waiting For Another Whale
The gigantic marine creature can be seen breaking through the ice to take several breaths of air before returning to the deep. In April 2025, …
Penguin Solutions: 74% Of Revenue Is AI, But 89% Of The Profit Is A Memory Cycle
Summary Penguin Solutions’ Q3 print on July 7 showed a record quarter, guidance raised, and AI now three-quarters of the business. Memory added $145M of the $154M in total revenue growth. Memory operating income more than quintupled and is now 89% of total segment operating income. And memory’s own gross margin went up, 21% to 30%. The Advanced Computing segment, which owns the AI narrative, saw revenue coming in flat. Its cost of goods rose 35%.
Macro Note: The Tech Unwind Grew A Second Leg, And It's Healthcare
Jul 11, 2026, 2:25 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The “sell AI” trade that started in early summer has quietly grown a positive side, and that side is healthcare. I’m now treating healthcare, biotech specifically, as the emerging leadership until the tape says otherwise, and I’ve started scaling in. Our screen, the one built to flag momentum before it’s too obvious, came back last week with about 80% healthcare on the confirmed breakout leg. Quick one before the weekend.
6 Names Just Started Moving Together, And Cybersecurity Is An Interesting Basket
Jul 08, 2026, 11:30 AM ET, , , , , , , Summary Six names show top-decile relative strength, trend-confirmed, all within about 2% to 7% of their own 52-week highs, at the same time: Tenable Holdings, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto, Fortinet, Okta, and Datadog. That’s a coherent basket, not one ticker running hot on its own story.
Astera Labs: The AI Connectivity Toll Booth Is Real; So Is The Price You're Paying For It
Summary Everyone can recite the GPU capex numbers; fewer people have looked at the plumbing that has to scale in lockstep with it, and Astera is the cleanest pure-play expression of that plumbing. The stock hit an all-time high of $499.48 on June 30, then fell roughly 16% into early July, closing at $406.42, a sharp, single-week reminder of how much air is in this multiple before a single estimate even needs to change.
Twist Bioscience: An AI And Rate Cut Play Dressed In A Lab Coat
Summary Twist Bioscience leverages a semiconductor-based platform for DNA synthesis, driving scalable, AI-enabled drug discovery and robust sequential revenue growth. TWST's DNA Synthesis & Protein Solutions segment remains the growth engine, with 28% YoY growth and expanding margins; gross margin now exceeds 50%. Balance sheet strength is notable, with $172M net cash and no debt, supporting a credible path to Q4 adjusted EBITDA breakeven if execution holds.
The Week The AI Trade Broke, And Why The Data Says 'Rotation,' Not 'Recession'
Jul 03, 2026, 11:35 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary For two days, the market did the thing that makes people panic.
Ligand Pharmaceuticals: The Bull Case Is A Biotech ARM, The Bear Case Is Just Another Royalty Trust
Summary Over the past twelve months, Ligand Pharmaceuticals has run from a 52-week low of $112 to a 52-week high of $306, close to a triple. The stock jumped in the final week of June, but the proximate cause was the pricing of $625M of convertible notes due 2031 (struck around a $334 conversion price, a 27.5% premium to the $262 reference) - capital earmarked for the XOMA acquisition.
Biotech Is The Rate Cut Trade In Disguise
Jun 29, 2026, 5:20 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary Biotech is now the deepest pocket of leadership in the entire Nasdaq. Of the stocks that currently clear a strict leadership bar - top-decile relative strength, in a confirmed uptrend, liquid, sitting at new highs - 30% are biotech or healthcare. Everyone can see biotech is moving.
The Disinflation Trade Has A New Address: Genomics
Jun 26, 2026, 2:20 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary For the last two weeks, the headline has been a rotation out of mega-cap tech, while breadth broadens underneath them. The money didn’t leave the market, it split into baskets. And this week, one of those baskets resolved into focus: genomics. There is one asset class that is pure leverage to falling long rates: long-duration growth, companies whose value sits far out in the future, discounted back at a rate that is now dropping.
Backblaze: Wall Street Is Waking Up To The Backup Company It Once Left Behind
Jun 26, 2026, 10:31 AM ET Summary Backblaze is transforming from a legacy backup provider into a critical AI infrastructure player, highlighted by a $335M CoreWeave deal. B2 Cloud Storage, offering low-cost, egress-free object storage, is driving growth and margin expansion as AI workloads demand multi-cloud flexibility. Operating leverage is accelerating: revenue grew 12% while adjusted EBITDA surged 60%, with margin gains from scale, depreciation changes, and cost discipline.
MaxLinear: The AI Optical Story Is Real, And A 6-Bagger Has Already Paid For It
Jun 26, 2026, 10:05 AM ET Summary MaxLinear surfaced at the top of a momentum-breakout screen across the Nasdaq, a stock that had spent two years dead in the mid-teens and then exploded to ~$100 in a matter of weeks on a volume spike north of 30 million shares. This is a beaten-down connectivity company that reinvented itself as an AI optical-interconnect play, with the inflection landing in the most recent two prints. The chart and the fundamentals point to the same conclusion.
Forget The Macro Narrative, Look At The Cross-Section
Jun 25, 2026, 2:50 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The “generals”, the mega-caps that have led this entire bull market,...
Redwire: The Market Is Starting To Reprice This Space SPAC Into A Defense Infra Platform
Summary Redwire Corporation has transitioned from a speculative space SPAC to a high-growth space and defense infrastructure company, driven by strong Q1 results. RDW's Q1 revenue grew 57.9% YOY, with gross margin expanding from 14.7% to 26.6%, primarily due to defense segment growth following the Edge Autonomy acquisition. At 7.1x sales, RDW now trades in line with high-growth defense peers; further rerating depends on sustained growth, margin improvement, and managing dilution risks.
United Microelectronics: The Market Is No Longer Pricing It As A Sleepy Mature-Node Foundry
By Nelson Alves, Seeking Alpha Summary United Microelectronics is evolving from a mature-node foundry to a specialty capacity platform, benefiting from trends like embedded high voltage and power management. UMC's Q1 results showed 5.5% revenue growth, improved utilization, and management guiding for higher ASPs and gross margins approaching 30%. 22 nm revenue hit a record 14% of the total, with expanding specialty applications signaling less commoditization and more differentiated offerings.
IREN: The Pricing Power Breadcrumbs Are Starting To Add Up
May 22, 2026, 11:40 AM ET Summary IREN no longer looks like a pure “AI demand is big” story; it is increasingly a story about whether scarce, energized, deployable infrastructure can command better economics in a market that still cannot clear. For IREN, not all existing contracts immediately reprice upward. They likely do not. The significance is that future negotiations may take place in a tighter market than the one in which the company signed its earliest anchor arrangements.
United Microelectronics: The Market Is No Longer Pricing It As A Sleepy Mature-Node Foundry
May 22, 2026, 9:21 AM ET, , , , Summary United Microelectronics (UMC) is evolving from a mature-node foundry to a specialty capacity platform, benefiting from trends like embedded high voltage and power management. UMC's Q1 results showed 5.5% revenue growth, improved utilization, and management guiding for higher ASPs and gross margins approaching 30%. 22nm revenue hit a record 14% of total, with expanding specialty applications signaling less commoditization and more differentiated offerings.
Everspin Technologies: When Memory Upgrades To Strategic Infrastructure
May 15, 2026, 11:47 AM ET Summary Everspin is being re-rated from a niche MRAM supplier into a potential strategic memory infrastructure company, supported by defense validation, Microchip second-source capacity, and long-term STT-MRAM/UNISYST optionality. The core thesis is that MRAM is not competing on the lowest cost per bit, but on mission-critical persistence in systems where data loss is unacceptable: defense, aerospace, DCs, and industrial automation.
Nebius: The AI Factory Thesis Is Becoming Visible In The Numbers
Summary Nebius’ Q1 2026 earnings were not just strong. They were a signal that the company is moving from AI infrastructure promise to AI infrastructure execution. Revenue grew 684% year over year to $399 million, while Nebius AI Cloud revenue reached $389.7 million, up 841% year over year. The AI cloud business now represents roughly 98% of group revenue, which means the investment case has become much cleaner: Nebius is now primarily an AI cloud and AI factory company.
Nvidia: The Industrial Planner Of The AI Age
May 09, 2026, 12:35 AM ET Summary For twenty years, the market learned to value tech through software instincts: users, APIs, developers, distribution, network effects, gross margins. But AI breaks that mental model because AI is not just software. AI is throughput. And throughput is physical. NVIDIA has become the firm that tells the rest of the ecosystem: build around this rack, this network, this software stack, this power envelope, this deployment cadence, this roadmap.
The Market Is Discovering The Industrial Supply Chain Of AI
May 06, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary The last week’s biggest winners are telling a cleaner story than the index. This is not just a speculative AI rally. The pattern running through the strongest performers is more specific: the market is beginning to reward the physical stack behind AI. The market is no longer only paying for the obvious AI front end.
Amprius: Energy Density As A Weapon System
Summary Amprius is a high-performance lithium-ion battery supplier targeting UAVs and defense with silicon anode technology, prioritizing energy density over cost. AMPX achieved a commercial inflection in 2025, with revenue up 202% to $73M and gross margins turning positive, despite negative free cash flow and dilution risk.
A Tape-First Read: The Market Is Re-Cohering Into A New Regime Cluster
Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary Markets don’t just move, they organize. And right now, the tape is telling me a new organizing principle is snapping back into place.
Navitas: The Power Bottleneck Bet Inside The AI Infrastructure Buildout
Summary Navitas Semiconductor is attempting to reposition itself from a mobile GaN story into a high-power infrastructure semiconductor company exposed to AI data centers, grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification. The thesis is no longer about making consumer chargers smaller. The thesis is about whether AI infrastructure runs into a power bottleneck so severe that the entire power delivery architecture has to change.
Build, Not Bid: Investing After The Easy Money Era
Apr 22, 2026, 2:20 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary If the 2010s were an era where capital chased what was easy to buy, the 2020s-2030s look like an era where governments will force capital toward what is hard to build: power, grids, housing supply, industrial resilience. The key point is not that "QE was bad" in some moral sense.
Lightwave Logic: A Materials Bet On The Bottleneck In AI Optics
Apr 21, 2026, 12:15 PM ET Summary Lightwave Logic is positioned as a semiconductor-compatible electro-optic polymer IP platform. LWLG's business model leverages material supply, IP licensing, and royalties, enabling scalable economics if adopted by foundries. The recent stock breakout reflects rising market confidence in LWLG's polymer becoming standard in AI data center silicon photonics.
Rastreio ocular de estudantes com autismo e deficiência intelectual em expressões emocionais
Ayuda Buscar en la ayuda Buscar en la ayuda Rastreio ocular de estudantes com autismo e deficiência intelectual em expressões emocionais Autores: Guilherme T. Trindade, Priscila Benitez, Nelson Torro Alves, André Castelo Branco Soares, Jordão Frazão Soares, Tardelly de Araújo Cavalcante Localización: Avaliaçao Psicologica: Interamerican Journal of Psychological Assessment, ISSN-e 2175-3431, ISSN 1677-0471, Vol. 25, Nº.
The War Premium Is Being Sold: What The Tape Is Telling Us
Apr 17, 2026, 9:45 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Summary Since the Iran war began, the market has behaved like it usually does in a real-time stress test: it paid up for protection first, then began to withdraw that payment once the worst-case path didn’t continuously intensify.
Cisco: The Stock Is Building 'Cause' While Fundamentals Pivot To AI Networking And Campus Refresh
Apr 13, 2026, 4:57 AM ET, Summary Cisco's most recent quarter reads like more than a routine beat-and-raise cycle. Revenue grew roughly 10% year over year to $15.35B. The way to frame Cisco today is that it's being repriced from “mature networking plus dividend” into something closer to “critical AI-era infrastructure with platform optionality.”. The reason Cisco isn’t universally treated as the next AI infrastructure compounder is that the market can see the friction points.
Paysign: The Market Is Finally Repricing A Pharma Margin Story
Summary Paysign is evolving beyond a niche prepaid card processor, with patient affordability now driving higher-margin growth. 2025 results highlight a 40.5% revenue increase to $82M, with pharma revenue surging to $33.9M and gross margin expanding to 59.4%. PAYS trades above peer sales multiples, reflecting its shift to a high-value workflow business, while price-to-cash flow remains attractive if cash conversion holds. Investment thesis Paysign (PAYS) looks increasingly overlooked by the market.
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