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Articles by Pascal Seiler
Price Setting before and during the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices
Price rigidity is a cornerstone of modern macro-economic models because sluggish price adjustment is central to monetary nonneutrality. A monetary stimulus affects real activity and transmits only gradually into inflation when prices do not respond immediately to shocks.
The Ukraine war has raised long-term inflation expectations
Inflation continues to rise in many countries. Until recently, central banks such as the ECB or the Swiss National Bank considered the current rise in inflation to be temporary, albeit more persistent than expected. They attributed the elevated inflation rates to base effects, supply bottlenecks, and demand shifts, all related to the pandemic, and expected these transitory factors to diminish over the course of the year.
How is the dollar doing?
By Alejandro A. Tagliavini * The dollar expanded its gains on global markets on Tuesday, reversing a month-long decline in part as appetite for risk decreased and investors waited for the next data and political speeches. Given the reigning caution, the main stock indices fall and the returns of government bonds advance slightly, with which the attractiveness of the dollar increases, they described from Scotiabank.
Weighting bias and inflation in the time of Covid-19
Weighting bias and inflation in the time of Covid-19: Evidence from Swiss transaction data Sharp changes in consumer expenditure may bias inflation during the Covid-19 pandemic. This column measures the effects of the Covid-induced weighting bias on the Swiss consumer price index by quantifying the changes in consumer spending using public data from debit card transactions, updating CPI basket weights and constructing an alternative ‘Covid price index’.
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