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Articles by Ross Babbage
Trump’s International Strategy Is Becoming Clearer
Action by the U.S. President is methodically stripping China and Russia of their partners. Donald Trump’s behaviour during this presidential term reveals a surprisingly deep strategic logic. The core goal remains to restore absolute American superiority over China and Russia. But Trump wants to avoid confronting these major rivals directly. He is rather working to isolate Beijing and Moscow from their international partners and deprive them of any major means of external support.
Trump’s international strategy is becoming clearer
Donald Trump’s behaviour during this presidential term reveals a surprisingly deep strategic logic. The core goal remains to restore absolute American superiority over China and Russia. But Trump wants to avoid confronting these major rivals directly. He is rather working to isolate Beijing and Moscow from their international partners and deprive them of any major means of external support.
Sky’s ‘War Cabinet’ manufactures panic and prophecy over proof
Sky’s ‘War Cabinet’ manufactures panic and prophecy over proof By Binoy Kampmark | 21 August 2025, https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/skys-war-cabinet-manufactures-panic-and-prophecy-over-proof,20069 Sky News assembling a cabinet of experts to talk about Australia’s readiness for war is a problem we should be worried about, writes Dr Binoy Kampmark. TWENTY-FOUR-HOUR NEWS networks have demonstrated that surfeit kills discretion.
Sky's 'War Cabinet' manufactures panic and prophecy over proof
Sky News assembling a cabinet of experts to talk about Australia's readiness for war is a problem we should be worried about, writes Dr Binoy Kampmark. TWENTY-FOUR-HOUR NEWS networks have demonstrated that surfeit kills discretion. The search for fillers, distractions and items that will titillate, enrage or simply sedate, is an ongoing process.
The independent case for boosting defence - Openforum
The Australian government’s dispute with the United States over the level of defence spending has distracted our media and public from the core issue. The main driver of increased defence spending should not be requests from US officials but the Australian government’s determination to prepare the nation properly for the much more dangerous security challenges we now face.
The Rainbow Warrior 1985-2025. Part 1: French State Terrorism and the end of innocence.
Immediately after murdering Fernando Pereira and blowing up Greenpeace’s ship the Rainbow Warrior in Auckland harbour, several of the French agents went on a ski holiday in New Zealand’s South Island to celebrate. Such was the contempt the French had for the Kiwis and the abilities of our police to pursue them. How wrong they were. To mark the 40th anniversary of the French terrorist attack Little Island Press has published a revised edition of Eyes of Fire first released in 1986.
The ADF reserve system is obsolete. We need a dramatically expanded force
Australia needs to radically reorganise its reserves system to create a latent military force that is much larger, better trained and equipped and deployable within days—not decades. Our current reserve system is not fit for purpose. It was designed many decades ago to support distant expeditionary operations, not the prospect of major war in our immediate region emphasised in the 2023 Defence Strategic Review (DSR).
Deterrence and alliance power: Why the AUKUS submarines matter and how they can be delivered
The AUKUS program to deliver eight nuclear-powered conventionally armed submarines to Australia is a large, technologically challenging, and industrially demanding venture. Many doubts have been raised about its practicality. This report addresses each of those critiques squarely. It concludes that some concerns are warranted but others have been ill-informed or driven by outdated assumptions.
JoiningFORCES: The 2024 ASPI Defence Conference
The Australian Strategic Policy Institute is pleased to announce that our annual defence conference, ‘JoiningFORCES’, will be held on 4-5 June 2024 in Canberra. Explore the full agenda here. The JoiningFORCES conference will explore ways to bridge national and international boundaries to deliver more joint, collective and effective defence.
PGM: Ross Babbage on deterrence and defence strategy; jailed terrorists and the risk of reoffending
Please enable javascript to access the full functionality of this site news PGM: Ross Babbage on deterrence and defence strategy; jailed terrorists and the risk of reoffending PGM: Ross Babbage on deterrence and defence strategy; jailed terrorists and the risk of reoffending As we fast approach ASPI’s 2023 conference on deterrence and disruption, this week’s podcast begins with a conversation between conference speakers Bec Shrimpton and Dr Ross Babbage about military, political and economic...
U.S. dashes hopes after China meeting
Positive outcomes of a recent meeting between China and the U.S. were dissolved by aggression and warmongering from the American media, writes Dr William Briggs. THE MEETING in Beijing between Chinese President Xi Jinping and United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken was broadly pitched as a positive event. Some see, in this meeting, the pathway to a more responsible approach from the USA in bilateral relations.
U.S. dashes hopes after China meeting
Positive outcomes of a recent meeting between China and the U.S. were dissolved by aggression and warmongering from the American media, writes Dr William Briggs. THE MEETING in Beijing between Chinese President Xi Jinping and United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken was broadly pitched as a positive event. Some see, in this meeting, the pathway to a more responsible approach from the USA in bilateral relations.
U.S. dashes hopes after China meeting
Positive outcomes of a recent meeting between China and the U.S. were dissolved by aggression and warmongering from the American media, writes Dr William Briggs. THE MEETING in Beijing between Chinese President Xi Jinping and United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken was broadly pitched as a positive event. Some see, in this meeting, the pathway to a more responsible approach from the USA in bilateral relations.
‘Smile diplomacy’ is welcome, but war may be coming
The Australia government’s campaign to ‘stabilise’ the relationship with China appears to be bearing some fruit. A few channels of communication are being revived and access to the Chinese market is being restored for some Australian exports. Chinese diplomats have halted their ‘wolf warrior’ tactics and are signalling that more progress may be possible if both sides exercise ‘mutual respect’.
Book launch: The Next Major War: Can the US and Its Allies Win against China?
Skip to main navigation Skip to content Skip to sidebar Please enable javascript to access the full functionality of this site event Book launch: The Next Major War: Can the US and Its Allies Win against China? Breadcrumb Home Book launch: The Next Major War: Can the US and Its Allies Win against China? Book launch: The Next Major War: Can the US and Its Allies Win against China?
A War With China Would Be Unlike Anything Americans Faced Before
By Ross Babbage A major war in the Indo-Pacific is probably more likely now than at any other time since World War II. The most probable spark is a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. President Xi Jinping of China has said unifying Taiwan with mainland China “must be achieved.” His Communist Party regime has become sufficiently strong — militarily, economically and industrially — to take Taiwan and directly challenge the United States for regional supremacy.
Uma guerra contra a China não seria parecido com nada que os americanos já enfrentaram; leia artigo
Uma grande guerra no Indo-Pacífico é possivelmente mais provável agora do que em qualquer outro momento desde a 2.ª Guerra. A centelha mais provável é uma invasão chinesa a Taiwan. O presidente chinês, Xi Jinping, afirmou que unificar Taiwan com a China continental “deve ser alcançado”. Seu regime de Partido Comunista se tornou suficientemente forte — militarmente, economicamente e e industrialmente — para tomar Taiwan e desafiar diretamente os Estados Unidos por supremacia regional.
OPINION EXCHANGE | A war with China would be unlike anything Americans have faced before
Opinion editor's note: Star Tribune Opinion publishes a mix of national and local commentaries online and in print each day. To contribute, click here. ••• A major war in the Indo-Pacific is probably more likely now than at any time since the Second World War. The most probable spark is a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
Opinion | A War With China Would Be Unlike Anything Americans Faced Before
Guest Essay Send any friend a story As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Anyone can read what you share. By Ross Babbage Dr. Babbage is the author of the forthcoming book “The Next Major War: Can the U.S. and Its Allies Win Against China?” Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning.
Disruption and Deterrence: The 2023 ASPI Conference
The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) is pleased to announce that we will hold our annual conference, ‘Disruption and Deterrence’, on 14-15 September 2023. More Information and Registration Our region and our world are in a period of major strategic disruption, with China’s rise creating instability in the Indo-Pacific and Russia’s illegal war against Ukraine bringing catastrophic war to Europe for the first time in decades.
The West slumbers as its enemies run amok
The Western world—the countries of Nato and the European Union and their allies in Asia and elsewhere—is waking up to an old threat in new clothes. Political warfare is back. Many would say it never went away, writes Edward Lucas. The countries of eastern Europe, for example, felt the cold breath from their eastern neighbour even in the supposedly sunny 1990s. But now Russia, along with China, has refined and developed its approach.
Game plan - The need to rethink our national security strategy
Opinion | 03 June 2019 | Ross Babbage Opinion 03 June 2019 By: Ross Babbage 0 SHARES Not since the years preceding the Second World War has Australia’s geo-strategic reality been more unpredictable – the rise of China, combined with the relative decline of the US, the emergence of other regional powers and asymmetric threats all challenge long-term national security, explains Dr Ross Babbage.
Comprehensive coercion: China’s ‘political warfare’ campaign against Australia
Some strange things have been said about the Australia–China relationship during recent weeks. Some commentators have blamed the Turnbull government for mishandling relations with Beijing and for making too much of a fuss about China’s militarisation of the South China Sea. John Howard has suggested that, while there will always be differences between the two countries, current tensions could be remedied by face-to-face meetings between the national leaders.
Six China myths and the need to diversify our Asian links | The Strategist
When considering Australia’s future in Asia, many of us have had difficulty looking beyond China—but we have many better options in Asia. At the core of our misperceptions are six myths about the potential for cooperation with Beijing. The first myth is that China is driven by a political and business culture broadly compatible with ours where business and politics operate independently.
China's South China Sea Challenge: What Should Donald Trump Do?
Last month it appeared that the Chinese were again on the move in the South China Sea. The provincial administrator of Beijing’s land claims in the region told Chinese state media that work would soon begin on an on Scarborough Shoal, a large reef system just 140 nautical miles west of Subic Bay, well within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone.
How Donald Trump Can Stave Off Defeat in the South China Sea
What should the Trump administration do about Beijing’s adventurism in the South China Sea? China is asserting sovereignty over some 80 percent of this strategic waterway and reinforcing its claim by maintaining by far the largest military, coastguard and maritime militia presence in the region.
The case for a new Australian grand strategy
It’s time for Australians to come to grips with their more troubling security outlook and debate how best to strengthen their deterrence and defensive capabilities. That’s the core message in my essay Game Plan: The Case for a New Australian Grand Strategy, which was recently published by the Menzies Research Centre. Let me summarise a few of the key points for fellow readers of The Strategist. What are some of the major changes in Australia’s security outlook? Let me touch on just six.
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