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Articles by Shalini Chawla
Pakistan and The Mecca Pact: Between Opportunities and Risks
CAPSS was established in 2001 as an autonomous defence research and analysis body for research and focused analyses on issues related to national security, defence, and aerospace issues in the evolving strategic and international security environment.
Iran war, peace talks and Pakistan's stakes
The two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran, the pause in the conflict in West Asia, and the start of talks in Islamabad raised hope for peace. However, an uncertain outcome of the talks has left the ceasefire in jeopardy. Even though the proposals from the US and Iran have been discussed widely, the details and, more importantly, the future of the talks remain unclear.
Pakistan Air Force: Assessing Capabilities and Modernisation Trends
The four-day India-Pakistan conflict, triggered by the gruesome Pahalgam terror attack on April 22, showcased the decisive strikes, precision, penetration through Pakistan's air defence system, and battlefield control of India’s defence apparatus. Pakistan’s air defence and strike capabilities struggled to perform and stood paralysed.
भारत का तालिबान 2.0 के प्रति रूख: सतर्क एवं सतत – South Asian Voices
हाल की भारतीय पहल, जैसे कि जनवरी 2025 में विदेश सचिव विक्रम मिस्री की तालिबान शासन के विदेश मंत्री के साथ बैठक और नई दिल्ली द्वारा अफ़ग़ान दूतावास का नेतृत्व करने के लिए तालिबान प्रतिनिधि को संभावित रूप से स्वीकार करने के समाचारों ने, काबुल के संबंध में भारत के उद्देश्यों, वर्तमान दृष्टिकोण और भविष्य की दिशाओं के बारे में कई उत्सुकताओं को जन्म दिया है| लेकिन पिछले दो दशकों में अफ़ग़ानिस्तान के साथ भारत की सहभागिता को देखते हुए, इन कार्यों को उसकी पिछली पहलों की निरंतरता के रूप में देखा जा...
Pak leadership seems uneasy
EVEN after struggling with the intense blowback of its use of terror as a foreign policy tool and being on the brink of economic default, Pakistan's thinking has not altered. While India has covered an astounding journey in terms of its strategic, financial and diplomatic growth, Pakistan has failed to overcome the challenge of its identity crisis post 1947. It continues to thrive on its hostility with India.
India-Taiwan Convergence: Towards A Strategic Partnership – South Asian Voices
It has become increasingly evident to much of the Indian strategic community that despite rhetoric, China does not share India’s desire for friendship and cooperation. Since 2007, China has consistently asserted an aggressive posture in its longstanding border dispute with India.
India’s Approach to Taliban 2.0: Cautious and Persistent – South Asian Voices
Recent Indian moves such as foreign secretary Vikram Misri’s meeting with the Taliban regime’s foreign minister in January 2025 and news reports of New Delhi potentially accepting a Taliban representative to head the embassy have generated a lot of curiosity regarding India’s objectives, current approach, and future course of action vis-à-vis Kabul.
Imran’s street politics hardens battlelines in Pak
PAKISTAN witnessed another socio-political crisis as a protest by former Prime Minister Imran Khan’s supporters, who came out in thousands and marched towards Islamabad’s D-Chowk, turned violent last week. The protesters demanded the release of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) leader and other party functionaries. Rallies, sit-ins and protests have been a signature move for the cricketer-turned-politician, who is incarcerated in Rawalpindi’s Adiala Jail and is embroiled in over 150 cases.
India’s deft balancing act on foreign policy front
THE Narendra Modi government outlined two axioms of India’s foreign policy — ‘Bharat First’ and ‘Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam’ (the world is one family) — when it came to power in June this year. Its intention has been to maintain the momentum of the foreign policy initiatives that yielded success in the last decade. After the 2024 General Election, questions were raised about the government’s ability to steer decisions on foreign policy because of the lack of an absolute majority in the Lok Sabha.
Afghanistan: The Taliban and world nations find a way to engage, without formal recognition
The Taliban, in their current position, have managed to develop varied dynamics in their external relations. Two years of the Taliban regime after the US exit in 2021 have seen a curious evolution of strategic, security, and political dynamics in Afghanistan, which has not only brought in a new normal for the global community but will have complex regional implications. The Taliban have very much monopolised power as they have moved from an insurgent movement to a functional government.
Why did Imran Khan Lose the Unwritten No-Confidence Motion of the Military?
Author: Dr Shalini Chawla, Distinguished Fellow, CAPS Keywords: No-confidence Motion, Imran Khan, Pakistan Military, Pakistan-US, Pakistan Elections. The no-confidence motion was tabled against Pakistan’s Prime Minister, Imran Khan, on March 28th by the opposition legislatures in the National Assembly. The countdown for exit seems to have begun for the cricketer turned politician, who had no experience of governance before taking the PM’s seat.
China worried about US withdrawal from Afghanistan
From a strategic point of view, a good foothold in Afghanistan would provide leverage to China in terms of containing the expansion of the other major players, the US and Russia, in the region. President Joe Biden’s announcement of complete withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan by September 11, 2021 has sparked serious apprehensions and disappointments at the global level.
Pak will continue to amplify its anti-India narrative
Pakistan is trying to build its anti-India narrative where it wants to project India as a threat to not only Pakistan, which has been its stance for decades, but India as a threat to the entire Muslim population of the world. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan blamed India for the terrorist attack in Balochistan on 3 January, which killed 11 coal miners belonging to the Shia Hazara community.
Mapping China’s interests and engagement in Afghanistan
As the intra-Afghan negotiations progress and the US troop withdrawal is in sight, there are plausible apprehensions about the future of Afghanistan. Certainly Afghanistan requires support from the international community, especially regional actors who have vested strategic, economic, and security interests in Afghanistan.
A deepening nexus
Written by Shalini Chawla | September 30, 2020 3:45:18 am Beijing ; Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan, left, and China's Premier Li Keqiang attend a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing Saturday, Nov. 3, 2018.AP/PTI(AP11_3_2018_000004B) With the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) meeting in sight, Pakistan is gearing up to gather support from China to avoid the blacklisting.
Indo-China conflict: What’s in it for Pakistan? Original
Pakistan is likely to push for more Chinese equipment in the coming times despite its economic challenges. It will also continue to escalate the nuclear threat to push for the Kashmir agenda and attract global attention It would be good to understand what could Pakistan gain in the India-China tensions, given its deep reliance on Beijing.
A new low for India-Pak diplomatic ties
Retaliation: India expelled Pakistan High Commission staffers after two Indian diplomats were kidnapped in Islamabad. Shalini Chawla Distinguished fellow, centre for air power studies India has asked Pakistan to cut down the strength of the High Commission in Delhi by 50 per cent and has decided to do the same for the Indian mission in Islamabad. While the Indian diplomatic mission in Islamabad has constantly faced disturbing instances, the situation has worsened in the last year.
Why Pakistan’s proxy war will now intensify
Covert strategy: 25-30 Pakistani terrorists infiltrated into the Valley in April. Shalini Chawla Distinguished Fellow, Centre for Air Power Studies While the world is engrossed in its fight against the global pandemic, Pakistan’s strategic assets do find this period as the optimal time to intensify its covert war strategy of ‘bleed India’.
One year of the US-Taliban agreement: Where does Afghanistan stand?
The US-Taliban agreement inked last year on 29 February 2020 after exhausting rounds of complex negotiations engaging the Taliban and the US representatives paved an exit plan for the US and foreign forces from Afghanistan by 1 May 2021.
Drumming up N-hysteria
Shalini Chawla Distinguished fellow, Centre for Air Power Studies, New Delhi Lt GEN Khalid Kidwai (retd), former Director General of Strategic Plans Division, Pakistan, in his speech at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), London, on February 6, blamed India ‘as the critical determinant of the state of strategic stability in South Asia’.
China spurring Pakistan’s defence build-up
Shalini Chawla Distinguished Fellow, Centre for Air Power Studies, New Delhi The China-Pakistan strategic alliance has been expanding for five decades now and in the last three months, after the revocation of Article 370, China’s unflinching support to Pakistan has been discernible.
Decoding Pakistan’s nuclear brinkmanship
Opinion » CommentPosted at: Sep 18, 2019, 6:43 AM; last updated: Sep 18, 2019, 6:43 AM (IST)Pakistan’s nuclear posturing suffered a blow to some extent with India’s airstrikes in Balakot on February 26 in retaliation to the Pulwama terror attack. But it seems that Pakistan’s reliance on nuclear weapons to serve its strategic objectives has not been altered. Its reliance on nuclear deterrence has intensified, with constantly growing asymmetries between India and Pakistan over the last two decades.
Delhi Cabinet gives ‘in principle’ nod to free bus travel for women
New Delhi, August 29 The Delhi Cabinet on Thursday gave “in principle” approval to its scheme of providing free travel to women in Delhi Transport Corporation (DTC) and cluster buses. The approval was given in a meeting of Delhi Cabinet chaired by Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal. The scheme will begin from October 29, Delhi Transport Minister Kailash Gahlot said. Women will be able to get free rides using ‘single-journey passes’ to be available with the bus conductors.
Delhi HC clears release of Punjabi movie ‘Kaum De Heere’
New Delhi, August 29 The Delhi High Court has allowed the release of Punjabi film “Kaum De Heere” which was slated to be released in August 2014 and set aside CBFC’s earlier order withdrawing movie’s certification for public screening. “Kaum De Heere” is a Punjabi movie which allegedly glorifies assassination of former prime minister Indira Gandhi by Satwant Singh, Beant Singh and Kehar Singh.
Comedy of errors over ‘Pak-trained commandos’ entering India
Ajay Banerjee Tribune News Service New Delhi, August 29 It was a literally a comedy of errors on Thursday morning, when several media houses and social media platforms started flashing reports of how ‘Pakistan-trained commandos have entered Gulf of Kutch, Gujarat, through the ‘Harami Nallah’ and they are trained in underwater attacks’. This indicated an imminent threat of a terror strike.
Myanmar filmmaker jailed for one year after criticising military
Yangon, August 29 A Myanmar filmmaker was sentenced to a year in prison on Thursday for criticising the military, as free expression advocates warned of "grave threats" to those who challenge the powerful armed forces. Min Htin Ko Ko Gyi, an activist and founder of human rights film festivals, was detained in April following a Facebook post in which he slammed the 2008 military-drafted constitution.
BJP membership to increase by 7 crore: Nadda
Vibha Sharma Tribune News Service New Delhi, August 29 BJP working president JP Nadda on Thursday said the party membership has increased 5,81,34,242 in the membership drive that ended on August 20. This is the online membership. If offline figures of more than 62 lakh online and other numbers that are being calculated are added, the party’s members would be 7 crore, said Nadda calling the membership drive which a huge success.
Dhoni not included, Hardik back in squad for T20 series against South Africa
New Delhi, August 29 Mahendra Singh Dhoni did not figure in the Indian team for the upcoming three-match T20 series against South Africa while Hardik Pandya returned as the only change in the 15-member squad. Dhoni, who had taken a two-month sabbatical from the sport, is currently vacationing in the United States, having served the Territorial Army for 15 days. It couldn’t be ascertained whether the selectors spoke to Dhoni about his availability for the home series against South Africa.
India’s highest sky cycling installed in Kullu's Gulaba
Tribune News Service Mandi, August 29 Adventure activity ‘sky cycling’, touted to be India’s highest, has been installed at Nature Park at Gulaba in Kullu district on Thursday. The activity will be open to tourists in about 15 days. To promote eco-tourism in Kullu district, the forest department is focusing on constructing nature parks at key locations where tourists can spend leisurely moments under the lap of nature.
Terror threat: Security heightened at Kandla, Mundra ports
Bhuj, August 29 Security has been beefed up at Kandla and Mundra ports and other key installations in Gujarat’s Kutch district following intelligence inputs of a possible infiltration by terrorists through the sea route, police said on Thursday. The move comes days after the Indian Navy also warned of a possible terror attack from the sea side.
India condemns Pak’s statements as ‘irresponsible’
New Delhi, August 29 Condemning as “highly irresponsible” the statements by Pakistani leadership after the abrogation of Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir, India on Thursday said they are intended to project an “alarmist” situation far from the ground realities, and asked Pakistan to behave as a normal neighbour.
Man Kaur hails Fit India Movement, says country can progress if citizens are healthy
Chandigarh, August 29 Centenarian sprinter Man Kaur on Thursday hailed the central government's 'Fit India Movement', saying a country can progress only if its citizens are healthy. The 103-year old sprinter and her 81-year-old son Gurdev were among the veteran athletes, who attended the function in New Delhi on Thursday morning.
Olympics, Commonwealth Games bigger than cricket events: Sehwag
Mumbai, August 29 Former India opening batsman Virender Sehwag on Thursday made a bold statement that multi-sport events like the Olympics and the Commonwealth Games are bigger than cricket events. Sehwag, who interviewed two athletes at a book launch programme here, also said other sportspersons get too little “facilities” as compared to what cricketers get. “I always used to think Olympics and Commonwealth Games are bigger than cricket (events).
This man is working tirelessly to strengthen embankments
Deepkamal Kaur Tribune News Service Lohian (Jalandhar), August 28 Even as flood water inundated his house for nearly a week and now water has completely receded, Gurpreet Singh (34) of Janian Chahal village here is not staying back at his place so that he could resume his routine again. Day and night, he continued unloading sandbags weighing 40 kg or more and dropping them at the breach site of the embankment along his village.
Puneet bags 8 medals in World Police Games
Deepankar Sharda Tribune News Service Chandigarh, August 28 For 35-year-old Puneet Rana there is no stopping whenever it comes to bag laurels in swimming. The Haryana Police swimmer claimed eight medals in the recently concluded World Police Swimming Games in Chengdu (China). Rana bagged one gold medal each in the 50m and 100mbreaststroke events, one silver medal in 50m freestyle and one bronze in butterfly event.
Pakistan says Kashmir issue its top foreign policy agenda
Islamabad, August 29 Pakistan on Thursday said the resolution of the Kashmir issue as per the UN resolutions was its top foreign policy agenda. India has not been engaging with Pakistan since an attack on the Air Force base at Pathankot in January of 2016 by Pakistan-based terrorists, maintaining that talks and terror cannot go together.
Pak’s strategic posturing over Article 370
Opinion » CommentPosted at: Aug 29, 2019, 6:29 AM; last updated: Aug 29, 2019, 6:29 AM (IST)At this point, Pakistan is restricted in terms of intensifying militancy in the Valley, which has been the preferred option for the state. Consequently, Pakistan is likely to maximise its energy on the diplomatic front to intensify its Kashmir narrative and wage a propaganda war against India. Impact: Revoking of Article 370 has generated intense reactions in Pakistan.
Why Pakistan Taliban is claiming it killed Benazir Bhutto
The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has for the first time claimed responsibility for the assassination of the former prime minister Benazir Bhutto on December 27, 2007. Pakistan Taliban’s claims are published in a book, Inqilab Mehsood South Waziristan - From British Raj to American Imperialism, written by a senior Taliban leader Abu Mansoor Asim Mufti Noor Wali. The book was published on November 30, 2017, at Maseed Computer Centre at Barmal, in Afghanistan’s Paktika province.
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