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Abstract Rapid decision-making during exotic animal disease outbreaks necessitates the early characterisation of transmission dynamics; however, in practice, a strategic balance between accuracy and speed is required. This study presents a simplified and practical approach for field response, leveraging initial kernel estimates from spatial data to predict outbreak risks without the need for high-dimensional data or complex models.
As a journalist, you can create a free Muck Rack account to customize your profile, list your contact preferences, and upload a portfolio of your best work.