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Abstract Event attribution studies assess whether and to what extent human-induced climate change has altered the likelihood or severity of extreme weather events. In recent years, studies have become routine, particularly for heatwaves in many regions, and for heavy rainfall in parts of Asia and Europe. As this body of research grows, a key question emerges: when does a new attribution study add scientific or societal value?
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Globally, fires in 2025 burned the second-lowest area on record since 2002 and emitted the third-lowest CO2 total. Yet, a third successive year of extreme wildfire emissions prevailed in Canada, and catastrophic fires in Los Angeles, South Korea and Europe killed over 90 people and forced over 300,000 evacuations.
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