Our estimates are based on the results reported so far, the results of the previous election and demographic data. Unlike reported results, they attempt to account for precincts that have not yet reported their votes. The shaded area in the gauge below shows the range of our forecasts. Right now, our most likely estimates span to . Our model starts with the assumption that the race is tied and updates as the vote is counted. The more we know, the narrower our range will be.