Journalist. Associate Multimedia Producer @reuters, formerly @indiatoday and I believe good journalism can make this world a better place.
Articles by Vijay Srinivas
Why RBI may keep repo rate unchanged, adopt hawkish tone on inflation
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to leave the repo rate unchanged at 5.25 per cent on Wednesday (August 5), extending its pause for a third consecutive meeting as Governor Sanjay Malhotra's panel balances inflation that has edged above target against slowing growth and an uncertain global backdrop.
Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence
Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) offer a compelling alternative to autoregressive (AR) generation by enabling bidirectional context and iterative refinement. However, their reliability under natural input noise and adversarial attacks remains under-explored. To address this, we systematically evaluate DLM robustness and calibration against AR baselines, using two parameter-matched pairs (LLaDA-8B vs.
‘CJP protests may have ended, but youth movement is far from over’ | Interview
The resignation of Dharmendra Pradhan as Union Education Minister may have ended the immediate phase of the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP)-led agitation, but it is "not the end" of the youth movement, says author and senior journalist Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay. He argues that the protests have demonstrated that sustained public mobilisation can still force political accountability and that young Indians are unlikely to remain silent after securing what they see as their first major victory.
కరూర్ లో ఎవరూ సీఎం విజయ్ ను నిందించడం లేదా ఎందుకు?
à°à°¤ à°à°¡à°¾à°¦à°¿ తమిళనాడౠà°à°¨à±à°¨à°¿à°à°² à°ªà±à°°à°à°¾à°°à° à°¸à°à°¦à°°à±à°à°à°à°¾ విà°à°¯à± నిరà±à°µà°¹à°¿à°à°à°¿à°¨ à°à°°à±à°°à± పరà±à°¯à°à°¨ à°¤à±à°µà±à°° విషాదà°à°à°¾ మారిà°à°¦à°¿. à° à°¸à°à°à°à°¨ à°à°°à°¿à°à°¿à°¨ తరà±à°µà°¾à°¤ à°°à±à°à± à°¨à±à°¨à± à°¸à±à°µà°¯à°à°à°¾ à°à°°à±à°°à± à°µà±à°³à±à°²à°¾à°¨à±.
10 months after stampede, Karur was waiting for Vijay, not answers | Reporter's Diary
The morning after the stampede last September, I walked through Velusamypuram on the outskirts of Karur and felt like I'd stepped onto a battlefield in slow retreat — slippers scattered by the hundreds across the road, flags and posters of the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) — yet to come to power then — torn and trampled into the mud, the leftover wreckage of a rally that had ended in many deaths.
‘‘కరూర్ బాధితులకు ఉద్యోగాలు ఇవ్వడం తప్పుకాదు’’
à°à°°à±à°°à± à°¤à±à°à±à°à°¿à°¸à°²à°¾à°à°²à± మరణిà°à°à°¿à°¨ వారి à°à±à°à±à°à°¬à°¾à°²à°à± à°à°¦à±à°¯à±à° నియామఠపతà±à°°à°¾à°²à± à°
à°à°¦à°¿à°¸à±à°¤à±à°¨à±à°¨ సమయà°à°²à± à°¸à±à°à° విà°à°¯à± à°¤à±à°µà±à°° à°à°¾à°µà±à°¦à±à°µà±à°à°¾à°¨à°¿à°à°¿ à°à±à°°à°¯à±à°¯à°¾à°°à°¨à°¿ à°à°¾à°à°à±à°°à±à°¸à± à°à°à°ªà± à°à±à°¯à±à°¤à°¿à°®à°£à°¿ à°
à°¨à±à°¨à°¾à°°à±.
Karur visit: CM Vijay broke down in tears, says MP Jothimani
Congress MP Jothimani has described Tamil Nadu Chief Minister C Joseph Vijay's visit to Karur on Friday (July 10) as one of the most emotional programmes she has attended, saying he broke down in tears while handing over compassionate job appointment orders to families of stampede victims. In an exclusive chat with The Federal, Jothimani, who represents Karur in the Lok Sabha, said both the families receiving the orders and those on the dais struggled to hold back their emotions during the event.
क्या पासपोर्ट अब नागरिकता का सबूत नहीं? केंद्र सरकार के बयान ने बढ़ाई उलझन
हाल हॠमà¥à¤ à¤à¥à¤à¤¦à¥à¤° सरà¤à¤¾à¤° नॠसà¥à¤ªà¤·à¥à¤ à¤à¤¿à¤¯à¤¾ à¤à¤¿ à¤à¤¾à¤°à¤¤à¥à¤¯ पासपà¥à¤°à¥à¤ यातà¥à¤°à¤¾ à¤à¤°à¤¨à¥ à¤à¤¾ दसà¥à¤¤à¤¾à¤µà¥à¤à¤¼ हà¥, लà¥à¤à¤¿à¤¨ यह ठपनॠà¤à¤ª मà¥à¤ नाà¤à¤°à¤¿à¤à¤¤à¤¾ à¤à¤¾ ठà¤à¤¤à¤¿à¤® पà¥à¤°à¤®à¤¾à¤£ नहà¥à¤ माना à¤à¤¾ सà¤à¤¤à¤¾à¥¤ à¤à¤¸ बयान à¤à¥ बाद दà¥à¤¶à¤à¤° मà¥à¤ à¤à¥à¤°à¤® à¤à¥ सà¥à¤¥à¤¿à¤¤à¤¿...
పౌరసత్వంపై కేంద్రం మరోసారి గందరగోళ వాదన
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పాస్ పోర్ట్ పై కేంద్రం గందరగోళ వాదన
à°ªà±à°°à°¸à°¤à±à°µà° పౠà°à±à°à°¦à±à°°à° à°¤à±à°¸à±à°à±à°à±à°à°¿à°¨ à°à±à°¤à±à°¤ వాదన పౠà°à°à°¦à°°à°à±à°³à° à°¨à±à°²à°à±à°à°¦à°¿. పాసౠపà±à°°à±à°à± à°
à°¨à±à°¦à°¿ à°à° à°ªà±à°°à°¯à°¾à°£ పతà±à°°à° మాతà±à°°à°®à±à°¨à°¨à°¿ à°
ది à°ªà±à°°à°¸à°¤à±à°µà°¾à°¨à°¿à°à°¿ à°à°à±à°µà°à°à°¿ à°à°§à°¾à°°à° à°à°¾à°¦à°¨à°¿ à°µà±à°²à±à°²à°¡à°¿à°à°à°¿à°à°¦à°¿.
‘MEA statement on passport bizarre, sends out confusing message’ | Talking Sense with Srini
The Centre's recent clarification that an Indian passport is a travel document and not conclusive proof of citizenship has triggered widespread confusion, with many questioning how a document issued after extensive government verification can suddenly be seen differently. In the latest episode of Talking Sense With Srini, The Federal's Editor-in-Chief, S Srinivasan, argued that the clarification was both unnecessary and poorly timed. "To an ordinary citizen, it looks bizarre," Srinivasan said.
‘సీఎం విజయ్’ పాలనలో విప్లవాత్మక మార్పులు తీసుకొచ్చారు
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'CM Vijay triggered a revolution': Cong MP Praveen Chakravarty | Interview
Speaking to The Federal on the occasion of Vijay's 52nd birthday, Chakravarty said the Chief Minister was aware of the high expectations people had from his government, and had prioritised delivering a corruption-free administration. Congress Rajya Sabha MP Praveen Chakravarty hailed Chief Minister Vijay's performance in the first few weeks of his tenure, saying he had already "triggered a revolution" in Tamil Nadu and made a strong start with his focus on eradicating corruption.
‘AIలో భారత్కు ఇంకా అవకాశం ఉంది’
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फाउंडेशनल AI मॉडल से आगे की सोच, भारत के लिए क्या है सही रास्ता?
पिà¤à¤²à¥ लà¤à¤à¤ दॠवरà¥à¤·à¥à¤ सॠà¤à¤¾à¤°à¤¤ मà¥à¤ à¤à¤°à¥à¤à¤¿à¤«à¤¿à¤¶à¤¿à¤¯à¤² à¤à¤à¤à¥à¤²à¤¿à¤à¥à¤à¤¸ (AI) à¤à¥ लà¥à¤à¤° à¤à¤ सवाल लà¤à¤¾à¤¤à¤¾à¤° à¤à¤°à¥à¤à¤¾ मà¥à¤ हà¥âà¤à¤à¤¿à¤° à¤à¤¾à¤°à¤¤ à¤à¤¾ à¤
पना फाà¤à¤à¤¡à¥à¤¶à¤¨à¤² AI मà¥à¤¡à¤² à¤à¤¹à¤¾à¤ हà¥?
Why India should stop worrying about building an AI foundational model Original
For nearly two years, India's artificial intelligence debate has been framed by a single question: Where is the country's own foundational AI model? While the US has produced giants such as OpenAI, Anthropic and Google, and China has demonstrated the disruptive potential of low-cost models such as DeepSeek, India is still searching for its answer.
TN white paper’s bigger warning is not debt, but revenue slump: Economist
The TVK government's assessment paints a worrying picture of the state's finances, citing rising debt, widening deficits, mounting liabilities at state-owned enterprises, and growing demographic pressures. Tamil Nadu's latest white paper was meant to spotlight the fiscal legacy of the previous government. Instead, it may have exposed a deeper problem that has survived successive administrations.
‘‘ముడి చమురు ధరలు తగ్గే అవకాశం ఉంది’’
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ತೈಲ ಗ್ರಾಹಕರಿಗೆ ನಿರಾಳ: ಹಾರ್ಮುಜ್ ಜಲಸಂಧಿ ಮುಕ್ತ, ಕಚ್ಚಾ ತೈಲ ದರ ಇಳಿಕೆ ಸಾಧ್ಯತೆ!
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अमेरिका-ईरान समझौते से थमेगा तेल संकट, 30 दिन क्यों हैं अहम?
ठमà¥à¤°à¤¿à¤à¤¾ à¤à¤° à¤à¤°à¤¾à¤¨ à¤à¥ बà¥à¤ शà¥à¤à¥à¤°à¤µà¤¾à¤° (19 à¤à¥à¤¨) à¤à¥ à¤à¤¿à¤¨à¥à¤µà¤¾ मà¥à¤ à¤à¤ ठà¤à¤¤à¤°à¤¿à¤® समà¤à¥à¤¤à¥ पर हसà¥à¤¤à¤¾à¤à¥à¤·à¤° हà¥à¤¨à¥ à¤à¥ सà¤à¤à¤¾à¤µà¤¨à¤¾ हà¥à¥¤ माना à¤à¤¾ रहा हॠà¤à¤¿ यह समà¤à¥à¤¤à¤¾ वà¥à¤¶à¥à¤µà¤¿à¤ तà¥à¤² à¤à¤ªà¥à¤°à¥à¤¤à¤¿ मà¥à¤ सà¤à¤à¤¾à¤µà¤¿à¤¤ बाधाà¤à¤ à¤à¥ लà¥à¤à¤° ततà¥à¤à¤¾à¤²...
Oil prices under pressure as US-Iran interim deal reopens Strait of Hormuz, says analyst
Oil prices could remain under pressure after the US and Iran reached an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, reducing fears of supply disruptions through one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints, according to commodities analyst Anuj Gupta.
‘US-Iran truce a relief for oil markets, but toughest challenges remain’ | Interview
An interim accord expected to be signed by the US and Iran in Geneva on Friday (June 19) could reduce immediate concerns over disruptions to global oil supplies, though the agreement leaves the toughest issues between the two sides for future negotiations.
ನೆಹರೂ ಆಡಳಿತಾವಧಿ ದಾಖಲೆ ಮುರಿದ ಪ್ರಧಾನಿ ಮೋದಿ: ಭಾರತ ಗಳಿಸಿದ್ದಾದರೂ ಏನು? ಶ್ರೀನಿವಾಸನ್ ವಿಶ್ಲೇಷಣೆ
ಪà³à²°à²§à²¾à²¨à²¿ ನರà³à²à²¦à³à²° ಮà³à²¦à²¿ à²
ವರೠà²à²µà²¾à²¹à²°à³à²²à²¾à²²à³ ನà³à²¹à²°à³ à²
ವರ à²
ಧಿà²à²¾à²°à²¦ ದಾà²à²²à³à²¯à²¨à³à²¨à³ ಮà³à²°à²¿à²¸à²¿à²¦à³à²¦à²¾à²°à³. ಠಮà³à²²à² à²
ವರೠà²à²¾à²°à²¤à²¦ à²
ತೠದà³à²°à³à²à²à²¾à²² ಸà³à²µà³ ಸಲà³à²²à²¿à²¸à²¿à²¦ à²à³à²¨à²¾à²¯à²¿à²¤ ಪà³à²°à²§à²¾à²¨à²¿ à²à²à²¬ ಹà³à²à³à²à²³à²¿à²à³à²à³ ಪಾತà³à²°à²°à²¾à²¦à²°à³.
PM मोदी ने तोड़ा पंडित नेहरू का रिकॉर्ड, नमो युग में भारत को क्या मिला?
à¤à¤¾à¤°à¤¤à¥à¤¯ राà¤à¤¨à¥à¤¤à¤¿ मà¥à¤ à¤à¤ बहà¥à¤¤ बड़ा मà¥à¤² à¤à¤¾ पतà¥à¤¥à¤° सà¥à¤¥à¤¾à¤ªà¤¿à¤¤ हॠà¤à¥à¤à¤¾ हà¥à¥¤ नरà¥à¤à¤¦à¥à¤° मà¥à¤¦à¥ à¤à¤¾à¤°à¤¤ à¤à¥ à¤à¤¤à¤¿à¤¹à¤¾à¤¸ मà¥à¤ सबसॠलà¤à¤¬à¥ समय तठसà¥à¤µà¤¾ à¤à¤°à¤¨à¥ वालॠनिरà¥à¤µà¤¾à¤à¤¿à¤¤ पà¥à¤°à¤§à¤¾à¤¨à¤®à¤à¤¤à¥à¤°à¥ (Longest-Serving Elected PM) बन à¤à¤ हà¥à¤à¥¤ à¤à¤¨à¥à¤¹à¥à¤à¤¨à¥ à¤à¤¸...
‘‘మోదీ పుష్కరకాలంలో ఏం సాధించారు?’’
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PM Modi breaks Nehru's record: What has India gained? | Talking Sense With Srini
As Narendra Modi became India's longest-serving elected Prime Minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record, The Federal's Editor-in-Chief S Srinivasan said the most consequential legacy of the Modi years has been a fundamental shift in India's political and ideological landscape. Speaking on Talking Sense With Srini, Srinivasan argued that Modi's biggest achievement was not merely electoral success but what he described as a "civilisational transformation" of India.
తమిళనాడులో ‘అన్నామలై’ పార్టీకి చోటుందా?
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Can Annamalai's experiment succeed after Vijay's rise? | Talking Sense With Srini
Former Tamil Nadu BJP president K Annamalai has formally parted ways with the Bharatiya Janata Party and launched a new movement, “We the Leaders”, which he says will eventually evolve into a political party. The move has triggered fresh debate about whether Tamil Nadu’s political landscape has room for another challenger beyond the established Dravidian parties and the latest entrant TVK, which in fact formed the government under actor-politician Vijay.
RBI holds rates as rupee nears psychological 100-mark; GDP forecast cut to 6.6 pc
The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee kept its benchmark repo rate unchanged at 5.25% on Friday (June 5), choosing to hold its ground for the third consecutive meeting even as uncertainty clouds the economy.
सिद्धारमैया के बाद अब कर्नाटक में शिवकुमार युग? क्या 2028 में दिला पाएंगे जीत
à¤à¤°à¥à¤¨à¤¾à¤à¤ à¤à¥ राà¤à¤¨à¥à¤¤à¤¿ मà¥à¤ लà¤à¤¬à¥ समय सॠà¤à¤² रहॠसतà¥à¤¤à¤¾ à¤à¥ à¤à¥à¤à¤à¤¤à¤¾à¤¨ à¤à¤à¤¿à¤°à¤à¤¾à¤° ठपनॠनिरà¥à¤£à¤¾à¤¯à¤ मà¥à¤¡à¤¼ पर पहà¥à¤à¤ à¤à¤ हà¥à¥¤ डà¥à¤à¥ शिवà¤à¥à¤®à¤¾à¤° à¤à¤¾ मà¥à¤à¥à¤¯à¤®à¤à¤¤à¥à¤°à¥ बननॠà¤à¤¾ सपना ठब पà¥à¤°à¤¾ हॠà¤à¤¯à¤¾ हà¥à¥¤ महà¥à¤¨à¥à¤ à¤à¥ ठà¤à¤à¤²à¥à¤, ठà¤à¤¦à¤°à¥à¤¨à¥...
DK Shivakumar as CM: Can Congress's 'troubleshooter' win 2028 election?
DK Shivakumar’s long wait for Karnataka’s top post is finally over. After months of speculation, internal lobbying and visible tensions within the Congress, veteran leader Siddaramaiah has stepped down as Chief Minister, paving the way for his deputy to take charge ahead of the 2028 Assembly election. Governor Thaawarchand Gehlot on Friday (May 29) accepted Siddaramaiah's resignation and dissolved the Council of Ministers headed by him.
విజయ్ మోడల్ రాజకీయాలు ద్రవిడ పార్టీల పునాదులు కదిలిస్తున్నాయా?
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Why Vijay’s ‘inclusive Cabinet’ could become a new headache for DMK
In the latest episode of The Federal 's flagship YouTube program Talking Sense With Srini , The Federal Editor-in-Chief S Srinivasan argued that Vijay’s power-sharing model could fundamentally reshape Tamil Nadu politics. Tamil Nadu Chief Minister C Joseph Vijay may have done more than just form a new government. He may have redrawn the state’s political power structure.
India’s real economic crisis is structural, not oil shock: Surjit Bhalla
As Prime Minister Narendra Modi urges Indians to tighten spending on gold, fuel and foreign travel amid surging crude prices and renewed turmoil in West Asia, economist Surjit Bhalla argues that India’s economic challenges run far deeper than the current oil shock. In an exclusive interview with The Federal, Bhalla says the real problem is structural: collapsing foreign direct investment, weakening investor confidence, policy uncertainty and stalled reforms.
‘‘ఇంతకుముందు నుంచే బలహీనంగా ఉన్నాము’’
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विकास की रफ्तार पर सवाल, क्यों घट रहा निवेशकों का भरोसा?
à¤à¤¾à¤°à¤¤ à¤à¥ वà¥à¤¯à¤¾à¤ªà¤ à¤à¤°à¥à¤¥à¤¿à¤ सà¤à¤à¥à¤¤à¤ à¤à¤¾à¤à¤à¤¼à¥à¤ पर à¤à¤²à¥ हॠसà¥à¤¥à¤¿à¤° दिà¤à¤¾à¤ दॠरहॠहà¥à¤, लà¥à¤à¤¿à¤¨ ठहरॠहà¥à¤ मà¤à¤¦à¥à¤°à¥, à¤à¤®à¤à¥à¤° पड़तॠपà¥à¤°à¤¤à¥à¤¯à¤à¥à¤· विदà¥à¤¶à¥ निवà¥à¤¶ (à¤à¤«à¤¡à¥à¤à¤) à¤à¤° ठमà¥à¤°à¤¿à¤à¤¾-à¤à¤°à¤¾à¤¨ सà¤à¤à¤°à¥à¤· à¤à¥ बà¥à¤ बढ़तॠà¤à¤à¥à¤à¥ तà¥à¤² à¤à¥...
Why India's tough economic reality can't be ignored anymore | Talking Sense With Srini
India’s macroeconomic indicators may still look stable on paper, but concerns are mounting over stagnant wages, weakening foreign direct investment (FDI), and the economic impact of rising crude oil prices amid the escalating US-Iran conflict. In the latest episode of Talking Sense With Srini by The Federal, Editor-in-Chief S Srinivasan argued that India’s current economic stress predates the geopolitical crisis and stems from deeper structural weaknesses.
Dayanidhi Maran, son Karan to launch digital entertainment venture
Former Union Minister Dayanidhi Maran and his son Karan Dayanidhi Maran are set to launch a digital entertainment venture focused on mobile-first streaming content, according to people familiar with the matter. The business, which will operate under the newly created Maran Group, is expected to debut as a subscription-led video platform targeting younger, mobile-native audiences.
Can TVK survive fragile majority? Tamil Nadu Minister Arunraj interview
With C Joseph Vijay taking over as Tamil Nadu’s new Chief Minister, the fledgling TVK government is still finding its feet, with the political spotlight rapidly shifting from the swearing-in spectacle to questions over stability, governance and coalition arithmetic.
फ्लोर टेस्ट के बाद AIADMK में टूट के संकेत, कानूनी लड़ाई तय
तमिलनाडॠविधानसà¤à¤¾ मà¥à¤ 13 मठà¤à¥ विà¤à¤¯ सरà¤à¤¾à¤° नॠविशà¥à¤µà¤¾à¤¸ मत à¤à¥à¤¤à¤à¤° ठपनॠसरà¤à¤¾à¤° बà¤à¤¾ लà¥, लà¥à¤à¤¿à¤¨ à¤à¤¸ फà¥à¤²à¥à¤° à¤à¥à¤¸à¥à¤ नॠराà¤à¥à¤¯ à¤à¥ राà¤à¤¨à¥à¤¤à¤¿ मà¥à¤ à¤à¤ नठसवाल à¤à¤¡à¤¼à¥ à¤à¤° दिà¤à¥¤ विà¤à¤¯ à¤à¥ नà¥à¤¤à¥à¤¤à¥à¤µ वालॠठलà¥à¤ªà¤®à¤¤ सरà¤à¤¾à¤° à¤à¥...
Trust vote won, but AIADMK's fracture is the real story
The Vijay-led minority government passed its first major test in the Tamil Nadu Assembly on May 13, securing 144 votes in the confidence motion. But even as the trust vote settled the immediate question of the government's survival, it opened a set of far more consequential ones — about the future of the AIADMK, the legal validity of rebel votes, and the political complications now entangling Vijay's own stated ideological positions.
Did DMK leave Tamil Nadu in a debt crisis, as Vijay claims? | Talking Sense With Srini
Tamil Nadu’s new Chief Minister C Joseph Vijay has begun his tenure with a familiar political refrain: accusing the previous government of leaving behind a financial mess. In his inaugural address at Chennai’s Nehru Stadium, Vijay alleged that the DMK regime had burdened the state with debt of nearly Rs 10 lakh crore, while promising a “white paper” on the state’s finances.
మెజార్టీకి చేరువలో విజయ్..
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तमिलनाडु में BJP को विजय के साथ मिलकर रोकेंगे CPI-CPM, राजनीतिक तहलका!
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TN govt formation: CPI, CPM likely to back Vijay’s TVK as numbers near majority mark
In a significant political development in Tamil Nadu, the Left parties, CPI and CPM, are likely to extend support to actor-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), top sources in the Left camp told The Federal on Friday (May 8). The move could bring Vijay within touching distance of the majority mark as intense behind-the-scenes negotiations continue over government formation in the state.
‘‘ఎగ్జిట్ పోల్స్ ఎగ్జాట్ పోల్స్ అయ్యే అవకాశాలు తక్కువ’’
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Are exit polls losing the plot amid rising uncertainty? | Talking Sense With Srini
Exit polls for the 2026 Assembly elections have thrown up sharply divergent projections across key states, highlighting the complexity of Indian voting behaviour and the limits of psephology. On Talking Sense With Srini, The Federal’s Editor-in-Chief S Srinivasan delved into these trends, cautioning against reading too much into the headline numbers. In Tamil Nadu, the most striking anomaly is the wide gap in projections for actor Vijay’s TVK.
తమిళనాడులో టీవీకే ప్రత్యామ్నాయం కాగలదా?
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Has UDF broken Pinarayi's hat-trick chances? Exit poll discussion
Exit polls for the Kerala Assembly election point to a narrow advantage for the United Democratic Front (UDF), but stop short of indicating a decisive wave—suggesting that the state’s political contest remains finely balanced. The projections hint at a possible return to Kerala’s long-standing pattern of alternating governments, even as the Left Democratic Front (LDF) attempts to retain power for a rare consecutive term.
Who has the edge in battleground Tamil Nadu? | Exit polls | Elections 2026
The tightly contested Tamil Nadu election appears to be tilting towards the DMK alliance, but not without a significant disruption: actor-turned-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) emerging as a formidable third force. Exit polls suggest a DMK-led victory, yet the scale of that win—and the deeper political churn beneath it—remains uncertain ahead of counting day.
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