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Abstract Human-induced warming is modifying the water cycle. Adaptation to posed threats requires an understanding of hydrological responses to climate variability. Whilst these can be computationally modelled, observed streamflow data is essential for constraining models, and understanding and quantifying emerging trends in the water cycle.
Since the beginning of the millennium, European hydroclimate had been fluctuating between pluvial and dry conditions (Fig. 1a; solid line). Several departures from the average conditions can be identified at the climatic scale (30 years), according to their severity and spatial extent (median scPDSI below 0.3 and ratio of grid cells above 0.7; see Methods).
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