Adam Scaife on Muck Rack

Adam Scaife

Exeter
As seen in: BBC, Color Research & Application, Nature, Wiley, Wiley Online Library, Science Magazine, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Mondaq and
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Articles

Interdependent Extratropical Atmospheric Responses to Arctic Sea Ice Loss, QBO, and ENSO

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By Amber McGraw Walsh, James A. Screen, Adam Scaife
| ametsoc.org
Keywords: Sea ice; ENSO; Quasibiennial oscillation; Stratospheric circulation; Teleconnections 1. Introduction The Arctic is warming almost 4 times faster than the global average (Rantanen et al. 2022). This warming has been accompanied by significant sea ice decline, with both ecological and climatic implications (Stroeve and Notz 2018).
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ENSO phase transition enables prediction of winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead

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By Kiwook Kim, Myong-In Lee, Adam Scaife, Doug Smith 
| Nature
Abstract The winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a dominant mode of climate variability affecting temperature and precipitation across the Northern Hemisphere, yet its prediction at seasonal-to-decadal (S2D) lead times remains challenging. Here, using multi-year hindcasts from a multi-model ensemble initialized on 1 November for 1962–2019, we show that NAO skill one year ahead improves significantly when the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) undergoes a phase transition next year.
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How Will Tropical Pacific Trends Affect the Future of the Southern Annular Mode?

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By Weiteng Qiu, Matthew Collins, Adam Scaife
| Wiley Online Library
1 Introduction Changes in the Southern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation are dominated by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM, Rogers & Loon, 1982; Thompson & Wallace, 2000). The positive phase of the SAM is characterized by a poleward shift of the westerlies with higher sea level pressure in the midlatitudes and lower sea level pressure at high latitudes. The SAM has exhibited a significant positive trend during austral summer prior to 2000 (Banerjee et al., 2020; Marshall, 2003, 2007).
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