Alyzeh Orakzai on Muck Rack

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Articles

Mean daily temperatures can predict the thermal limits of malaria transmission better than rate summation

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By Marta S. Shocket, Joey R. Bernhardt, Kerri Miazgowicz, Alyzeh Orakzai
| biorxiv.org
Abstract Temperature shapes the distribution, seasonality, and magnitude of mosquito-borne disease outbreaks. Mechanistic models predicting transmission often use mosquito and pathogen thermal responses from constant temperature experiments. However, mosquitoes live in fluctuating environments. Rate summation (nonlinear averaging) is a common approach to infer performance in fluctuating environments, but its accuracy is rarely validated.
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