Andrei Tanase

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the short-term macroeconomic effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 on the economies of Bulgaria, Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Romania and compares these effects observed in these countries with those recorded in Germany, France and Italy. The analysis relies on the estimation of Bayesian SVARs for each economy with the war shock identified using the Geopolitical Risk Index.

Conflicts of Interest The authors declare no conflicts of interest. Supporting Information Filename Description ctr70227-sup-0001-Appendix.docx52.7 KB Appendix A: summary table of data points collected. Supplemental Figure 1: Flow chart of records collected, excluded and reasons for exclusion. References 1, , , et al., “Logistical Factors Influencing Cold Ischemia Times in Deceased Donor Kidney Transplants,” Transplantation 100, no. 2 (2016): 422–428, https://doi.org/10.1097/TP.0000000000000844.

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