Senior editor and chief economics writer for @fivethirtyeight. Adjunct @cunyjschool. Formerly with The Wall Street Journal. Links/RTs are not endorsements.

The Income Gap Began To Narrow Under Obama

fivethirtyeight.com — This is More Economics In Real Terms , a weekly column analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? or drop a note in the comments. Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump don't agree on much. But there's one theme that's central to both of their campaigns: The U.S.

Obamacare Has Increased Insurance Coverage Everywhere

fivethirtyeight.com — When congressional candidates last hit the campaign trail in 2014, one word seemed to be at the top of the agenda for virtually every Republican: Obamacare. But that was before most of the law's provisions took effect. Two years later, the health law seems to have faded as a campaign issue.

Don’t Believe Trump’s Tax Math - Or Anyone Else’s

fivethirtyeight.com — This is More Economics In Real Terms , a weekly column analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? or drop a note in the comments. Let's get this out of the way right off the top: Donald Trump says his new tax-cut plan will pay for itself.

The Recovery Finally Reached Most Americans In 2015

fivethirtyeight.com — The Great Recession officially ended in 2009. But 2015 may go down as the year the recovery finally began for most Americans. The Census Bureau reported Tuesday that the median U.S. household made $56,516 in 2015, up 5.2 percent from 2014 after adjusting for inflation.

St. Louis Is The New Startup Frontier

fivethirtyeight.com — This is More Economics In Real Terms , a weekly column analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? or drop a note in the comments. In 2013, when I was a reporter for The Wall Street Journal, I flew to St. Louis to learn about the city's budding startup scene.

Perspective: Don’t blame "skills gap" for lack of hiring in manufacturing

plantservices.com — By Ben Casselman, for FiveThirtyEight Manufacturers posted 379,000 job openings in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. That's up more than 280 percent - close to quadruple - since the recession ended more than seven years ago. When it comes to actually filling those jobs, though, the rebound has been far more gradual.

Don’t Blame A ‘Skills Gap’ For Lack Of Hiring In Manufacturing

fivethirtyeight.com — U.S. factories are hiring again. Or they're trying to, anyway. Manufacturers posted 379,000 job openings in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. That's up more than 280 percent - close to quadruple - since the recession ended more than seven years ago.

Trump and Clinton Can Both Spin The Latest Jobs Report

fivethirtyeight.com — There are two main stories about how the U.S. job market is doing, less than 10 weeks before Election Day, one positive and one negative. The positive story (mostly told by Democrats) holds that the job market, like the economy as a whole, is in basically solid shape.

The Consequences: A Look Behind The Claims On Immigration

fivethirtyeight.com — Welcome to the latest installment of " The Consequences," a series of chats about the issues being debated in this year's political campaign. Throughout the campaign, we'll gather a group of FiveThirtyEight staffers and guests for a conversation on subjects in the news, particularly when the subjects are complex and could use a little illumination.

The Economic Recovery Hasn’t Reached America’s Schools

fivethirtyeight.com — This is In Real Terms , a weekly column (now on Mondays!) analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? or drop a note in the comments. As millions of children across the country head back to school this month, they will be returning to schools with fewer teachers than in past years.
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Sep 23, 2016

RT @jasongay: "belichick could beat bills with lawn chair at QB" (belichick cuts lawn chair, signs lobster pot) beats bills with lobster…

Sep 23, 2016

RT @uscensusbureau: This Harper’s Weekly newspaper from April 6, 1861 details the newly released statistical analysis from the 1860 Cen… https://t.co/BwREqoAypx

Sep 23, 2016

@kpedersen77 @NateSilver538 our model shows her with a 30% chance in AZ, 20% in GA, double digits in a few others.

Sep 22, 2016

@mugzypayton You're right, we wouldn't. Trend holds even looking at those under 65 and is too big to be explained by employment gains.

Sep 22, 2016

@mugzypayton @FiveThirtyEight That's the last year before most of the major provisions of the ACA took effect.


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